Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - September 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/1/3)-(3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(3/4/1)-(2/6/4) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-2   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (3/4/1)-(2/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(2/6/4)-(4/5/3) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-3   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (2/6/4)-(4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(4/5/3)-(5/2/3) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-4   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/5/3)-(5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(5/2/3)-(6/3/5) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-5   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (5/2/3)-(6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(6/3/5)-(1/3/7) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-6   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (6/3/5)-(1/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(1/3/7)-(3/5/2/6) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-7   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (1/3/7)-(3/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ASD-8   WIN (3/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/6)-(3/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/6)-(3/5/2/6)-(3/5/2/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   09/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKEDBLACKBULLET Aug26 Aug05 Jul22 Jun26 Jun12 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 1.40 24% 3.10    
2  AIR FORCE RESERVE Sep04 Aug19 Aug06 Jul22 Jun26 (gardipy j)CUMBERBATCH R 122 4.00    
3  DISTINCT TALE Sep03 Aug06 Jul23 Jul10 Jun26 (hrymak br)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 8.00 15% 5.70    
4  GOLDEN DIVERSION Aug26 Aug21 Aug06 Jul23 Jul15 (delaronde lee)BALROOP SVEN 119 1.60 33% 2.00    
5  ROUGH CUSTOMER Sep04 Aug26 Aug05 Jul22 Jul16 (stanford maria)CHOW CHAVION 122 10.00    
 
ASD-2   09/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEAPARTYTODAY Sep04 Aug19 Jul22 Jul10 Jun19 (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  ENANO CARO Sep09 Aug26 Aug12 Aug06 Jul16 (mooney bill)DALRYMPLE DARIO 119 2.00    
3  DADDYSRAREEDITION Sep04 Aug26 Aug05 Jul09 Jun25 (rowe michael)BALROOP SVEN 122 2.50 41% 1.50    
4  CALL THE COPS Sep09 Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 Jul09 (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 4.00 20% 4.10    
5  DIAMOND CONCERTO Sep02 Aug19 Aug06 Jul15 Jun26 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 3.00    
6  SALTO DEL LUPO Sep09 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Jul02 (duncan)LEWIS ANTHONY 124 15.00    
 
ASD-3   09/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ANNAKHOZANA Sep03 Aug21 Aug12 Jul29 Jul08 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 8.00    
2  SOCIAL ENGAGEMENT Sep02 Jan27 Dec07 Nov18 Oct26 (buffalo marvi)CUMBERBATCH R 123 1.20 48% 1.10    
3  KONTIE Sep02 Aug19 Jul30 Jul16 May21 (pruitt lise)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 112 4.00    
4  SCARLETT'S FLOWER Sep03 Aug21 Aug12 Jul29 Jul03 (jordan)PATTERSON R 123 25.00 5% 19.00    
5  FILLY FATALE Sep03 Aug21 Aug12 Jul23 Jul09 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 2.00    
6  WHERETHEMONEYWENT Sep03 Aug20 Aug04 Jul21 Jul14 (martin dean)ALI RONALD 123 10.00 18% 4.60    
 
ASD-4   09/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 WET FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORO OUTLAW Aug13 Jul30 Jul16 Jul10 Jun19 (tourangea)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 4.50    
2  SAINT PIO Sep09 Aug19 Aug13 Aug05 Jul16 (brown jared)ALI RONALD 124 2.50    
3  HEZADOOZIE Sep03 Aug20 Jul16 Jul02 Jun05 (brown shell)DALRYMPLE DARIO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  YOLA Sep09 Aug26 Aug14 Jul30 Jul08 (dickey elto)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 3.50 36% 1.80    
5  DELVECCHIO Sep03 Aug13 Jul30 Jul16 Jun03 (gardip)PATTERSON R 122 5.00 21% 3.80    
6  STARSHIP CHEWBACCA Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 Jul23 Jul10 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 2.00    
 
ASD-5   09/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIARS CLUB Aug27 Aug20 Aug03 Jul21 Jul14 (delaronde le)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 12.00    
2  EAST RAND Aug28 Aug14 Aug05 Jul22 Jul09 (rawson fred)CHOW CHAVION 122 8.00 10% 9.10    
3  GOLDENEYED Sep04 Aug12 Jul29 Jul23 Jul10 (jordan jennife)DAWKINS DANE 124 20.00 6% 15.50    
4  HIGH PRESS Sep11 Aug13 Jul30 Jul10 Jun18 (gaskin steven)BALROOP SVEN 124 10.00    
5  CLUB CHAMP Sep04 Aug27 Aug12 Jul23 Jul03 (anderson carl)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 1.80 54% 0.90    
SCR  HEAVENLY TRIP Aug19 Aug05 Jul23 Jun26 Jun19 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 6.00    
7  MR. DAZZLE Sep04 Aug20 Aug05 Jul22 Jun24 (dickey el)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 1.60    
 
ASD-6   09/17/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 WET FAST Gold Cup Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXACTING Aug27 Aug14 Aug05 Jul16 Jul02 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 124 2.50    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CENTRING by A.P. INDY)
2  ROUSSETTE Aug24 Aug05 Jul06 Jun28 May11 (delaronde)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 3.50    
  (by BLAME out of ALTESSE by A.P. INDY)
3  MAGIC TIGER Aug27 Aug05 Jul16 Jun26 May20 (anderson wendy)ALI RONALD 119 4.00 16% 5.30    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of FUNNY GAL by LUCKY PULPIT)
4  BIG NICK Aug27 Aug05 Jul16 Jun26 Jun05 (duncan murray)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 5.00    
  (by BAYERN out of APPEARANCE by HARLINGTON)
5  CONVENTION Aug27 Aug14 Aug05 Jul16 Jun26 (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FANCY DAY by SHAMARDAL)
6  BLAZING BO Aug27 Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 Jun10 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
  (by OXBOW out of TAPANEL by TAPIT)
 
ASD-7   09/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 WET FAST Winnipeg Futurity Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEE I'M FOXY Aug28 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09   (brown jared)ALI RONALD 119 1.60 53% 0.90    
  (by KLIMT out of FOXY SARA by EVEN THE SCORE)
2  CONSPIRACYTHEORIST Sep03 Aug21       (anderson wendy)DAWKINS DANE 122 4.50    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of HOLY FORCE by MACHO UNO)
3  BOUND FOR HEAVEN Aug28 Aug14       (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by STANFORD out of RUN FOR RETTS by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
4  PRINCEOFTHEPRAIRIE Aug27 Jul29       (anderson carl)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 15.00    
  (by EDISON out of MILLS BRUSH by CAPE CANAVERAL)
SCR  NORTHERN ECHO Jul16         (nault michael)CUMBERBATCH R 122 6.00    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of I GOT THIS by BORREGO)
6  GO FER Sep03 Aug21       (taphorn mike)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 10.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DELIZIA by DISTANT VIEW)
7  WELCOMETOHOLLYWOOD Aug28 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09   (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of ARCH OF TROY by ARCHARCHARCH)
 
ASD-8   09/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT-11:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY BIRTHDAY Sep09 Jul22 Jul16 Jul01 Jun24 (stanford maria)DAWKINS DANE 123 30.00    
2  OLIVE'S CANDY Sep04 Aug12 Jul30 Jul02 Jun19 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 118 2.50 11% 8.20    
3  I'VE GOT ALL NITE Sep04 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 Jun03 (hartmann)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 3.00 44% 1.30    
4  DRIVING Sep03 Aug28 Aug13 Jul22 Jul16 (maxwell cur)DALRYMPLE DARIO 123 20.00    
5  COMMANDOSLASTDANCE Aug27 Aug06 Jul22 Jul09 Jun19 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 117 1.60 22% 3.50    
6  AU PAIR Aug28 Aug14 Jul15 Jun11 May20 (buffalo marvi)BYNOE DAMARIO 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  BRAD'S SWEETHEART Sep11 May05 Mar22 Mar08 Feb16 (delaronde)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.