Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Ferndale
Sunday - September 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FER-1   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(2/5/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(2/5/3)-(6/3/8/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FER-2   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(6/3/8/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(6/3/8/7)-(3/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FER-3   WIN (6/3/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/8/7)-(6/3/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/8/7)-(6/3/8/7)-(6/3/8/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/8/7)-(3/1/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/3/8/7)-(3/1/6)-(5/7/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FER-4   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(5/7/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(5/7/6/3)-(5/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FER-5   WIN (5/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/6/3)-(5/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/6/3)-(5/7/6/3)-(5/7/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/7/6/3)-(5/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6/3)-(5/6/2)-(2/6/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FER-6   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(2/6/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(2/6/4/7)-(2/4/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FER-7   WIN (2/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/7)-(2/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/7)-(2/6/4/7)-(2/6/4/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/6/4/7)-(2/4/6/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
FER-8   WIN (2/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/3)-(2/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/3)-(2/4/6/3)-(2/4/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FER-1   09/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOUGH TO CATCH Aug31 Aug17 Aug03 Jul07 May19 (de p)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 126 3.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  AZUCAR CANELA Aug11 Jul26       (truji)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 1.80    
3  BRONZE'S FLOWER Aug31 Jul26 Jul13 Jun29 Jun02 (ramos jesus)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 6.00    
4  MALIBU MARCIA         (hernan)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 8.00 11% 8.50    
5  MAGGIE'S FAYE Aug31 Aug18 Aug03 Jul05 Jun14 (dillenbeck bru)HERRERA HUGO 122 5.00 10% 9.30    
6  LOVELY BRIDE Aug31 Aug17 Aug03 Jul04 Mar22 (de pabl)KING MCKENZIE 122 4.00    
 
FER-2   09/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNAWAY WYWY Sep02 Jun29 Jun09 Mar24 Jan13 (greiner gar)GARCIA EPIFANIO 126 1.40    
2  CITY OF CHAMPIONS Aug31 Aug03 Jul14 May25 Jan14 (preciado )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 126 4.00 24% 3.10    
3  RAY OF THE SEA Aug23 Aug10 Jun30 Jun22 Jun15 (abraham t)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 10.00 9% 10.60    
SCR  DUPLICATION Sep02 Aug09 Jul28 Mar29 Mar08 (maravilla jorge)FLORES P 126 8.00    
5  SEIGE THE DAY Aug31 Jul28 Jun09 May19 Apr27 (greiner gary)HERRERA HUGO 126 5.00 24% 3.10    
6  QUICK INTRO Sep02 Aug23 Jul21 Jun01 Jul04 (de pabl)KING MCKENZIE 126 3.00    
 
FER-3   09/08/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRIME TIME PORTA Aug25 Aug10 Jul20 Jun29 Jun16 (guerre)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 122 12.00    
2  CHICKNFINGERFRIDAY Sep01 Aug18 Jul14 Jun23 May27 (rodriguez )FIGUEROA CERAPIO 126 8.00    
3  WARRENS WORLD Aug02 Jul20 Feb09 Jan19 Dec29 (rodrigue)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 126 2.50 22% 3.60    
4  GORDY'S BOY Aug31 Aug16 Jul28 Jul13 Mar01 (preciado )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 126 8.00    
SCR  DR PESCADO Aug31 Aug11 Feb17 Feb03 Jan12 (rondan feli)GARCIA EPIFANIO 126 5.00    
6  MISSED CALL Sep01 Aug04 Jul06 Jun15 Dec08 (guerr)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 4.00 48% 1.10    
7  THANKS MAGGIO (ARG) Sep01 Aug04 Jul20 Jun16 Jun02 (greiner gary)KING MCKENZIE 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  BIG FLAME Aug23 Jul28 Jun22 Apr15 Mar17 (tamayo isidro)HERRERA HUGO 126 6.00 9% 9.80    
 
FER-4   09/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROJO PEQUENO Jul27 Jun22 Oct08 Oct01 Aug10 (guerrero e)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 10.00 22% 3.50    
2  CONEJO MALO Aug25 Aug18 Jul26 Jul13 Jun22 (ramos je)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 12.00    
3  FORD FLYER Aug23 Aug09 Jul13 Jun28 Jun07 (guerrero )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
4  SIX HOT GRANDS Sep02 Aug24 Aug04 Jul26 Jun30 (stort)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 122 8.00    
5  DR. FLASH DANCER Jan05 Dec09 Nov26 Oct29 May12 (taylor faith)KING MCKENZIE 126 6.00    
6  MONSIEUR Aug24 Aug04 Jul21 Jun21 Jun01 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LIBERTY WOLF Aug25 Aug16 Aug04 Jul20 Jun16 (stortz marcia)MEEKS MICAH 126 3.50    
SCR  FOYT Aug24 Jun29 Jun22 Oct08 Sep17 (craig r)HERRERA HUGO 126 5.00    
 
FER-5   09/08/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EM N HOLL'S FIESTA Sep01 Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 Jul05 (miller quentin )MEEKS MICAH 119 8.00    
2  MORO FIRST CLASS Aug18 Jul27 Jul13 Jun16 Sep30 (rubin )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 8.00    
3  AIRKITA Aug23 Aug09 Jul04 Jun09 May26 (abraham ti)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WARREN'S WILD RIDE Aug03 Jul20 Jul05 Jun14 May17 (lenzini m)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 3.00    
5  JULIET'S KITCHEN Aug18 Aug03 Jul14 Jul05 May27 (ramos jesus)GARCIA EPIFANIO 126 4.00 37% 1.70    
6  SPANISH CHANNEL Aug25 Jul04 Jun16 Oct08 Sep25 (craig r)HERRERA HUGO 126 8.00 14% 6.40    
7  BLUEBERRY MUFFIN Aug25 Nov26 Nov05 Oct13 Sep30 (stortz marcia)KING MCKENZIE 126 4.00 22% 3.50    
8  HARBOR DEAREST Aug23 Aug11 Aug04 Jul14 Jun30 (lagro)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 5.00    
 
FER-6   09/08/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR MAKUNOUCHI Aug25 Aug02 Jul04 Jun16 Oct08 (stortz marcia)MEEKS MICAH 119 10.00    
2  RINGTONE Sep02 Aug16 Aug04 Jun29 Jun13 (oviedo ph)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 5.00 10% 8.60    
3  CRAZY STORM Aug25 Aug08 Jul19 Jul06 Jun21 (gilmour j)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 4.50    
4  JUNIORS KITTY Aug11 Jul27 Jun29 Jun14 May27 (truji)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 119 10.00    
5  MIGHTY RULER Sep02 Oct01 Sep09 Jun24 Jun04 (dillenbeck )GARCIA EPIFANIO 126 5.00 29% 2.50    
6  MISCHIEF'S THIRSTY Sep02 Aug16 Aug04 Jul20 May12 (mcdona)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 8.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  TRIANGLE Sep02 Aug25 Aug02 Jun22 Jun01 (greiner gary)HERRERA HUGO 122 6.00    
SCR  BIG ATTITUDE Sep02 Aug25 Jun15 Jun18 Apr28 (craig r)KING MCKENZIE 126 2.00    
 
FER-7   09/08/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINTER SOLDIER Aug16 Jul27 Apr14 Mar23 Mar02 (stortz marcia)KING MCKENZIE 126 4.50    
2  DANZ TILL TEN Aug25 Aug09 Jul07 Jun23 May11 (dille)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 2.50 37% 1.70    
3  BESKAR Aug24 Aug09 Jul21 Jul06 Mar24 (calvario sa)GARCIA EPIFANIO 126 4.00    
4  CORAZON DE LUCIA Aug24 Aug03 Jun22 Oct01 Sep10 (guerrero e)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 126 12.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  RIVER'S BEHEST Aug31 Dec09 Nov25 Oct08 Jun10 (preciado guillermo)FLORES P 126 10.00    
6  CHELSIESDANZIGLITE Aug25 Aug04 Jul07 Jun23 Jun02 (craig r)MEEKS MICAH 119 6.00 18% 4.70    
7  CARDINAL TRICK Aug25 Jul27 Jul20 Jun09 Jun01 (hansen ro)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  APLOMBADO Aug25 Aug16 Aug02 Jul20 Oct30 (rodriguez fran)HERRERA HUGO 126 5.00    
 
FER-8   09/08/2024 8580ft DIRT RC11 FAST Non-Graded Stake Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOT OF A LIFETIME Aug10 Jun28 Apr24 Apr09 Mar22 (gilmour j)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 12.00    
  (by MANY RIVERS out of PENUCHE ROYALE by CHAPEL ROYAL)
2  MUCINO Jul20 Jun16 Nov11 Oct08 Sep04 (o'neill do)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
  (by NYQUIST out of INDIAN TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
3  MOUNT PELLIAR Aug23 Aug10 Aug20 Jul21 Jan06 (greiner gary)KING MCKENZIE 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of HURRICAN SOURCE by HURRICANE RUN)
4  DRUIDIC Aug25 Aug10 Jul21 Jun09 May18 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 124 5.00 25% 3.00    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of SHARED IMAGE by ROCKY BAR)
5  SEA OF LIBERTY Sep01 Jul28 Jun21 May12 Apr12 (gilmou)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 121 10.00    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of SEEKITANA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  ENOS SLAUGHTER Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 Jun16 Nov18 (trujillo )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 126 4.00 13% 6.60    
  (by GRAZEN out of RULE THE STORM by TRIBAL RULE)
7  HONOS MAN Aug25 Aug04 Jun29 Jun16 May18 (rodri)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 10.00    
  (by AFLEET ALEX out of SHARONS SONG by BADGER LAND)
8  LORD WIMBORNE (IRE) Aug25 Aug10 Jul21 Jul13 Jun30 (ramos jesu)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 4.50    
  (by CANFORD CLIFFS out of ARCTIC FREEDOM by WAR CHANT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.