Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lethbridge
Saturday - September 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LBG-1   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LBG-3   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
LBG-4   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LBG-5   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LBG-6   WIN (7/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/4)-(7/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/4)-(7/2/6/4)-(7/2/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LBG-1   09/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Alberta Bred Purse ($11.75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THAT LITTLE LADY Aug10         (magnuson lyle)APANGO JUAN 124 6.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of EVENT OF DEFAULT by HARD SPUN)
2  FIRE AGAIN         (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 5.00 19% 4.40    
  (by FIRESPIKE out of RESCUE EXPLICIT by EXPLICIT)
3  SHE'S A SNIPER         (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by MR O'PRADO out of INBETWEEN US by GAYEGO)
4  MERT'S TREE LOT         (robson travi)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 4.00 18% 4.40    
  (by IT'S A DANZIG out of MISTY DO IT by MISTER DO IT)
5  ITALIAN GRIZ Aug31 Aug10       (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 2.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of SHE'S ITALIAN by HAIL THE RUCKUS)
 
LBG-3   09/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOBIL CREEK Aug27 Aug14 Jul22 Jul09 Jun10 (mead colten)SIMPSON W 124 1.80 64% 0.60    
2  FLASHING JOKER Aug17 Aug03 Jul28 Jul07 Oct08 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 2.00 ★    
3  KATNISS FIRE Aug03 Jul13 Jun23 May04   (robson travis)APANGO JUAN 124 10.00    
4  LIGHTERANQUICKER Aug17 Aug03 Jul07 Jun15 May24 (blattler c)APANGO JOSE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  NORTHERN GOLD Aug17 Sep17 Aug27 Aug05 Jul29 (perry car)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 3.00    
6  BLUE EYED JO Aug21 Aug14 Jul30 Jul16 Jul02 (miyashiro tansley)BUGEAUD L 124 5.00    
 
LBG-4   09/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TURBO CHICK Aug17 Jul27 Jul14 Jun25   (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 1.80 58% 0.70    
2  STAN'S STARLET Aug14 Jul22 May28 Sep12 Aug30 (miyashiro tan)FUENTES FREDY 124 3.00    
3  EVERYTHING TO GAIN Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 Jul07 Oct08 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 2.50 11% 8.00    
4  GOLDEN TRAIN Aug21 Aug13 Jul30 Jul16 Jul03 (brown all)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 5.00    
5  SWEETNESS TO Aug14 Jul03 Jun05 May28 Apr12 (constant gordon)NELSON RYAN 124 7.00 5% 17.40    
 
LBG-5   09/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST EMERALD Aug25 Aug10 Jul27 Jul14 Apr18 (weaselhead )GORDON GARFIELD 124 3.00 34% 1.90    
2  THE COMRIE RULE Aug24 Aug17 Aug04 Jun28 Oct08 (brown all)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 4.50    
3  PONY GIRL Aug24 Aug11 Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 (robson travis)APANGO JUAN 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  SAYITALL Aug17 Aug04 Jul27 Jul14 Jul07 (snider corey)NELSON RYAN 124 8.00    
5  BIG AL'S PRINCESS Aug17 Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 Jun15 (shearer kr)APANGO JOSE 124 8.00    
6  LIPSTICK LADY Aug28 Jul08 Jun17 Aug29 Aug14 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
 
LBG-6   09/07/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAR ME A MOMENT Aug24 Aug11 Jul21 Jun29 Oct09 (brown alle)APANGO JOSE 124 12.00    
2  AGENT C Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 Jun23 Oct21 (oberholtzer d)FUENTES FREDY 124 4.50 19% 4.10    
3  KOVACS Aug24 Aug03 Jul14 Jun23 Jun08 (gwilliam )STEWART BLANDFORD 124 6.00    
4  GOLDEN BULLET Aug04 Jul30 Jul16 Jun26 Jun18 (calfrobe shawn)NELSON RYAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  KVOTHE Aug11 Jul28 Jul14 Jul01 Jun23 (smith rusty)ROCHA O 124 8.00    
6  SPEEDING STYLE Aug23 Aug04 Jul14 Jul01 Jun23 (depew jim)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 3.00 19% 4.30    
7  JAKE THE GREAT Aug11 Jul27 Jul01 Jun23 Oct09 (magnuson lyle)BUGEAUD L 124 2.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  BLUE JEANS N BEER Aug25 Aug11 Aug04 Jul14 Jun29 (mead colten)SIMPSON W 124 1.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.