Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Lethbridge
Sunday - September 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LBG-1   WIN NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
LBG-2   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LBG-3   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LBG-4   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LBG-5   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LBG-6   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LBG-1   09/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($6.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISTINCT APPROVAL Aug18 Aug11 Jul27 Jul21 Jun29 (cameron dea)GORDON GARFIELD 124 5.00    
SCR  WORKIN NINETOFIVE Aug11 Jul27 Jul14 Jul07 Jun09 (weaselhead )EDWARDS A 124 8.00    
SCR  DAZZLING MIST Aug18 Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 Jun08 (magnuson lyle)BUGEAUD L 124 4.50    
SCR  BAKFIRE BABY Aug24 Aug11 Jul27 Jul21 Jul07 (mead colten)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 2.50    
SCR  JADED TIGER Aug17 Aug10 Aug08 Jul27 Jul13 (magnuson lyle)POWELL ANDRE 124 3.00    
 
LBG-2   09/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Alberta Bred Fillies Purse ($11.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CMON SHARON Jul01 Jun08 Sep23 Sep03 Aug27 (willard m)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 10.00    
  (by BENCH THE JUDGE out of TRUSTY LASS by TEMPERED APPEAL)
SCR  THE RIVER GREY Aug10 Jul07 Sep24 Sep03 Aug05 (marks garr)APANGO JOSE 124 0.20    
  (by CHARMING ASSASSIN out of PRECIOUS LEMON by LEMON DROP KID)
YOGA RULER Aug17 Aug03 Jul21 Jul07 Oct08 (blattler codi)APANGO JUAN 124 6.00    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of MOVE WITH JOY by WHERE'S THE RING)
GWIZZ Jul27 Jul21 Jun28 Oct22 Oct14 (calfrobe kay)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 3.00 62% 0.60    
  (by PALACE out of SHE'S COPACETIC by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
RUNNIN BABY J Aug17 Aug04 Jul14 Jul07 Oct09 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 8.00 10% 9.10    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of NAPANEE by BERNSTEIN)
 
LBG-3   09/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTHERN LASS Aug04 Jul27 Jun22 Sep23 Aug27 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
NORTHERN MISSILE Aug17 Aug04 Jul21 Jul14 Jun28 (weaselhead godf)NELSON RYAN 124 6.00    
FOREST SONG Jul20 Jul13 Jun15 Jun01 Sep23 (schmitt b)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 4.50    
ROTTEN TO THE CORE Aug18 Aug04 Jul07 Jun15 Jun01 (mcconaghie )EDWARDS A 124 2.50 20% 4.10    
GO WITT GO Aug04 Jul21 Jul14 Jun28 Jun01 (smith darcy)BUGEAUD L 124 8.00 12% 7.30    
 
LBG-4   09/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Alberta Bred Three Year Old Purse ($11.75K) 3 ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPE FOREST Aug17         (mead colten)SIMPSON W 124 8.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of CANDALIER by OLD FORESTER)
DISTORTED ROSE Aug17 Jul28 Jul13 Jun23 Jun07 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 2.00 61% 0.60    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of ZANITA ROSAE by SKIMMING)
EDDY BEAR Jul27 Jul07 Jun23 Oct14 Sep23 (depew jim)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 2.50    
  (by EDISON out of PIGTAILS by STEPHANOTIS)
DERMOT'S DILEMMA Aug18 Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 Sep30 (rycroft cli)GORDON GARFIELD 124 4.00 11% 7.90    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of WHINNY MAGOOGIN by LATENT HEAT)
CHICKS DIG CAPES Aug18 Aug09 Jul17 Jul05 Jun21 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of CHECKPLUSCHICK by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
LBG-5   09/01/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Alberta Bred Fillies Purse ($11.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DYLAN'S SAVE Aug04 Jul27 Jul07 Sep29 Sep10 (clarke ch)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 6.00    
  (by O'PRADO AGAIN out of ROYAL RIDE by PULPIT)
WICKED WOMAN Aug18 Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 Jun22 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 2.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of MACHO WOMAN by MACHO UNO)
SASSY CINDERELLA Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 Jun22 Jun16 (rycroft clin)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 4.00 22% 3.60    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of CINDERELLA BRITE by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
I'M OUTTA HERE Aug17 Aug04 Jul27 Jul13 Aug13 (miyashiro tansley)BUGEAUD L 124 8.00 9% 10.30    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of GIMPY by HOLD THAT TIGER)
TEGAN'SBESTWILKO Aug11 Jul27 Jun22 Jun09 Oct07 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
  (by WILKO out of KULKA by VICTORY GALLOP)
 
LBG-6   09/01/2024 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Alberta Bred Purse ($11.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPERIAL GO BOY Aug18 Aug11 Jul28 Jul07 Jun23 (mcconaghie)APANGO JOSE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of TENDRA'S WAY by JADE HUNTER)
NO MOR DISCO Aug18 Aug04 Jul27 Jul07 Oct14 (shearer krist)FUENTES FREDY 124 12.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of DISCO DAMSEL by GILDED TIME)
PAPICHULO Aug18 Aug11 Jul28 Jul14 Jun28 (mcconaghi)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 0.20 45% 1.20    
  (by SCHRAMSBERG out of GONE IN A WHISPER by PENTELICUS)
YNOTGIVEITAGO Aug18 Aug11 Jul27 Jul14 Jun28 (miyashiro tansley)BUGEAUD L 124 3.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of KISS ME GOODBYE by GULCH)
ANELLO Aug18 Aug11 Jul28 Jul14 Jun29 (perry carl)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 5.00 32% 2.10    
  (by WHERE'S THE RING out of BOUNTIFUL by ROYAL ACADEMY)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.