Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Canterbury Park
Thursday - August 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CBY-1   WIN (1/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/9/2)-(1/9/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/9/2)-(1/9/2)-(1/9/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/9/2)-(6/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/9/2)-(6/2/1)-(5/8/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CBY-2   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(5/8/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(5/8/4)-(5/3/2/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CBY-3   WIN (5/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/4)-(5/8/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/8/4)-(5/8/2/4)-(5/8/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/8/4)-(5/3/2/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/8/4)-(5/3/2/7)-(8/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CBY-4   WIN (5/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/7)-(5/3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/7)-(5/3/2/7)-(5/3/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/2/7)-(8/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2/7)-(8/3)-(7/2/8/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CBY-5   WIN (8/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/3)-(8/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (8/3)-(7/2/8/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/3)-(7/2/8/3)-(5/1/7/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CBY-6   WIN (7/2/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/8/3)-(7/2/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/8/3)-(7/2/8/3)-(7/2/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/8/3)-(5/1/7/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (7/2/8/3)-(5/1/7/3)-(6/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CBY-7   WIN (5/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/3)-(5/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/3)-(5/1/7/3)-(5/1/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/7/3)-(6/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
CBY-8   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CBY-1   08/29/2024 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHILO BEDDOE Aug03 Jul14 Jun30 Jun16 May25 (rhone b)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 40% 1.50    
YO DAWG Aug03 Jul07 Jun06 May26 May12 (berndt joe)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 5.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  BODENHEIMER Aug01 Feb01 Dec23 Dec02 Nov11 (lund valori)MORALES ROBERTO 122 6.00    
WHISTLER Aug03 Jul11 Nov13 Sep24 Sep02 (williams mat)FUENTES A 122 8.00    
SCR  FUTURE PERFECT Aug03 Jun13 Jan06 Nov05 Oct21 (robertson m)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 12.00    
KID'S INHERITANCE Jul28 Jul06 May18 Oct28 Sep04 (bethke a)HARR KELSI 122 12.00    
SCR  SAINT CHARLES Aug10 Jul24 Jun30 Jun13 May25 (biehler michael )PENA BRYAN 122 12.00    
SCR  CHANNEL WON Jul07 May25 Feb02 Jan11 Sep16 (tracy tanner)BIRZER E 122 2.50    
HURTS SO GOOD Aug10 Jul24 Jun30 May25 Sep16 (ra)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 25% 3.00    
 
CBY-2   08/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29K) 35 ALL PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEARCY ROAD Jul14 Jun16 May05 Apr21 Mar30 (riecken b)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 8% 10.90    
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of KEY APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
SCR  FLASH HUMOR Jul25 Jul06 Jun16 May26 May17 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 124 2.50 14% 6.30    
  (by FLASHBACK out of LOCUM by DISTORTED HUMOR)
THE MAN THE MYTH Aug10 Jul27 Jul10 Aug30   (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of SHARP CURRENT by TIZNOW)
BAVARIA ROAD         (rosin coty)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 3.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of MINDY SUE by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
TELL 'EM I'M COMIN Aug17 Jul06 Jun22 Jun02 May04 (cline n)HARR KELSI 119 4.50    
  (by UPSTART out of WHAT A REWARD by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
DE ANGELO Aug08 Jul25       (robertson m)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 1.80 56% 0.80    
  (by VIOLENCE out of MARITIMECONNECTION by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
 
CBY-3   08/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STAR MISSION Aug10 Jul25 Jul06 Sep23 Sep13 (wolff perry)WOLFF S 124 6.00    
COWBOY CAUSE Aug10 Jul25 Jul06 Jun08 May18 (litfin vero)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 5.00    
WHODOESITBETTER Jul25 Jul06 Jun15 Sep03 Aug26 (riecken bruce)ARROYO MIGUEL 124 15.00    
KAL EL Aug17 Jul25 Jul11 Jul03 Jun20 (bethke a)PENA BRYAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
MY CALANTE Jul25 Apr22 Mar19 Sep13 Sep03 (roberts)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
COLOR ME LEGENDARY Aug10 Aug01 Jul25 Jul13 Jun29 (gomez aleja)MORALES ROBERTO 124 12.00    
LL'S CLASSY DUDE Jul25 Jul04 Jun16 Sep03 Aug06 (mckinley frank)HARR KELSI 124 20.00    
MR INSENSITIVE Aug18 Aug10 Jul25 Jul11 Jul03 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 124 6.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  COMMISSIONER OSCAR Aug10 Jul11 Jun23 May26 Oct26 (berndt joe)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 3.00    
SCR  RED'S MR Z Aug11 Jun16 Jun06 Apr27 Aug26 (fields pa)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 20.00    
 
CBY-4   08/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 35 ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAT WITH CLASS Aug01         (donlin d)HARR KELSI 119 15.00    
STRAITFROMTHEDUECE Aug01 Jul04 Jun09 May25 Oct26 (biehler m)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 3.00 13% 6.70    
CAT ON THE PROWL Aug17 Aug26 Aug05 Jul01 May28 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 2.00 23% 3.30    
LEGACYINTHEMAKING Aug01 Jul03 Jun16 May26 May03 (sm)DA FAUSTO 119 15.00    
KIRILL THE THRILL Aug01 Jul06 May26 Sep09 Aug27 (robertson m)MORALES ROBERTO 119 3.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  CARPE GOLD Aug01 Jul04 Jun09 May18 Aug26 (bethke )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00    
SWEET BODEMEISTER Aug17 Sep03 Aug16     (kenney ry)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
RIDIN SOLO Aug10 Aug01 Jul11 Jul04 Jun06 (bethke troy)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 5.00    
 
CBY-5   08/29/2024 7260ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MARK IN GREELEY Aug10 Jul28 Jul06 Jun27 May25 (rengstorf tony)HARR KELSI 124 10.00    
SCR  REJECTION HURTS Aug11 Jul25 Jul03 Jun20 Jun01 (berndt joel)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 6.00    
JOHNNY DAR Aug18 Aug10 Jul28 Jul06 May01 (silva jr)PENA BRYAN 124 6.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  INESPERADO (FR) Aug10 Jul03 May25 May01 Apr08 (fuentes rube)FUENTES A 124 8.00    
SCR  GLENDALE Aug04 Jun30 May27 Apr07 Mar10 (roberts)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
SCR  WAR CHEST Jul28 Jul06 May25 May18 Apr07 (rengstorf)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00    
SCR  SUPER WISE Aug04 Jul10 Jun27 Jun06 May25 (scherer gar)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 12.00    
COASTAL WATERS Aug10 Jul28 Jul10 Jun27 Jun01 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  ZUMURUDEE Jul28 Jul06 Apr29 Apr08 Mar13 (woolley ben)MORALES ROBERTO 124 20.00    
10  REDISUR Aug11 Jul28 Jul04 May26 May04 (fields pa)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 15.00    
SCR  SARGE'S SERMON Aug10 Jul28 Jul03 Jun01 Nov23 (biehler mi)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 4.00    
 
CBY-6   08/29/2024 3300ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALHALLA VIXEN Jul24 Jul04       (robertson m)CARMONA SERAFIN 112 6.00    
SAVONA (IRE) Aug18 Jul13 Jun27 May01 Sep13 (martine)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.50 24% 3.10    
O'BABE Aug04 Jun27 May25 Mar27 Feb21 (scherer gar)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 8.00 6% 16.70    
SCR  ROSALINA Aug10 Jul27 Jun29 Jun08 May19 (li)DA FAUSTO 117 15.00    
SCR  A ROZE AND WINE Jul27 Jun28 Mar29 Mar15 Jan13 (biehler michael )PENA BRYAN 122 3.00    
HONORABLE MISCHIEF Jul13 Jun29 May18 Apr28 Mar22 (rosin coty)GALLARDO EDUARDO 117 10.00    
ALWAYS SMILING Aug18 Jul27 Jun27 Jun02 Apr06 (williams mat)FUENTES A 122 5.00 30% 2.30    
MIA BABY Jul27 Jun30 Jun09 Jun01 Apr05 (fields patrick)HARR KELSI 122 10.00 11% 8.10    
SCR  I CAME TO SHAME Aug15 Jul06 Jun13 Jun02 Apr20 (smith georg)MORALES ROBERTO 122 20.00    
SCR  WINGS FROM ABOVE Aug04 Jun27 May25 Apr27 Mar17 (riecken b)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 12.00    
11  SHACKED STATESIDE Jul07 Jun09 May25 Apr21 Apr07 (donlin la)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
 
CBY-7   08/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 35 ALL PT- 9:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMACKOVER LIME Aug08 Jul27 Jul10 Jun23 May18 (li)DA FAUSTO 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
MORE MONEY MO Aug17 Jul24 Jun23 Mar14 Feb11 (espinoza )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 6.00    
BOOSTER Jul24 Jun23 Dec13 Oct07 Sep08 (hanson vi)VALENZUELA A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
UKRAINE STRONG Aug17 Jul24 Jun23 Jun08 Apr26 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 119 5.00    
PROOF OF PURCHASE Jul24 Jul03 Jun23 Jun08 May03 (rushton st)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 4.00 31% 2.20    
BLUES TRAFFIC Aug10 Jul11 Jun23 Jun06 May18 (rhone bernell)ARROYO MIGUEL 124 2.50    
LUCKY SUPER NOVA Aug17 Aug08 Jul24 Jul03 Jun23 (espinoza ed)MORALES ROBERTO 124 5.00 9% 9.50    
 
CBY-8   08/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUESKIESANDANGELS Aug10 Jul27 Jul10 Jun22 Jun01 (martinez )CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 5.00    
CITRUS BAY Aug17 Jul11 Jun02 May18 Apr19 (tranquilino)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00 14% 6.30    
REEF'S DESTINY Jul28 Jun23 Apr26 Apr12 Mar17 (cline n)HARR KELSI 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
MY CRAZY NEIGHBOR Aug17 Jul14 Jun29 May26 May12 (berndt joe)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 2.50    
OUT RUN'M Aug18 Jul28 Jul06 Jun20 May26 (espinoza ed)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 4.00    
TACTICAL ATTACK Jul28 Jul14 Jun23 May25 Feb14 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 1.80 42% 1.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.