Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sweetwater Downs
Sunday - August 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SWF-6   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/4/1)-(5/6/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SWF-7   WIN (8/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/6/5)-(8/2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/6/5)-(8/2/6/5)-(8/2/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/6/5)-(3/2/1/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
SWF-8   WIN (3/2/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/8)-(3/2/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/8)-(3/2/1/8)-(3/2/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SWF-9   WIN (7/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/8)-(7/2/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/2/8)-(7/2/3/8)-(7/2/3/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/2/8)-(8/2/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
SWF-10   WIN (8/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/5/6)-(8/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/5/6)-(8/2/5/6)-(8/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SWF-6   08/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALTERNATE TIME Aug11 Aug04 Jul06 Jun22 Jun08 (gre)DOMINGUEZ FELIPE 128 10.00 5% 19.00    
DISCO DANZING Aug10 Jul13 Jun29 Jun09 Apr15 (simpson lynn)AGUILAR DANIEL 128 3.50    
MO GEE Aug18 Aug04 Jul13 Sep16 Sep03 (butterfield kr)VIRGEN JESUS 128 10.00    
LAS TRES MARIPOSAS Aug16 Aug03 Jun29 Jun22 Jun08 (tsosie terr)OLIVO JUAN 123 6.00    
WAYLAY Aug03 Jul20 Jun29 Jun22 Oct01 (hadley to)IRONEYES R 123 2.00 47% 1.10    
FIRE WHEN READY Jul21 Jun29 Oct07 Sep01 Jul30 (bunn shaw)RIVAS CARLOS 128 4.00 31% 2.20    
FLIGHT SPEED Aug03 Jul20 Jun29 Jun02 May27 (nielsen rodn)CARDENAS JACOB 128 20.00    
WILD FIREMAKER Aug18 Jun29 Jun16 Jun02 May27 (ibanez albert)JIMENEZ DAVID 128 8.00    
 
SWF-7   08/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FURLONGIN FOR LUV Aug03 Jun30 Jun15 Oct01 Sep09 (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 128 3.00    
AMY D Aug11 Aug04 Jun22 Jun08 Oct21 (lavanway dayso)VIRGEN JESUS 123 5.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  QUEEN CORDELIA Jul13 Jun22 Jun08 Jun02 May19 (villegas jessie)LARSEN S 123 6.00    
GO THRU THE HOLE Aug16 Aug04 Jul13 Jun29 Jun15 (story shaun)JOURNET JARRED 128 8.00    
PICKINGUPSTRANGERS Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 May18 Apr26 (simpson lynn)AGUILAR DANIEL 128 8.00 5% 19.00    
NOTACRY Aug03 Jul07 Jun22 Apr23 Apr15 (hadley to)IRONEYES R 123 12.00 8% 11.20    
REVENIR Aug10 Jul28 Jul13 Jun30 Jun23 (ibanez albert)JIMENEZ DAVID 128 3.50    
ROUGE SUNSET Aug18 Aug03 Jul21 Jul06 Jun29 (barriga d)RIVAS CARLOS 128 4.50 51% 0.90    
 
SWF-8   08/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Sweetwater Thoroughbred Futurity Purse ($26.6K) 2 ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY CYCLONE Aug11 Jul07       (hadley tori)CANALES J 121 2.00 6% 16.50    
  (by TYPHOON SLEW out of ROCKHARD LADY by ROCK HARD TEN)
CHILLING VIPER Aug11 Jul20 Jul07     (hadley to)IRONEYES R 124 1.80 9% 10.40    
  (by POTOMAC RIVER out of TENGS WONDER by TENGA CAT)
INVINCIBLE ANGEL Aug11 Jul20       (scudder r)RIVAS CARLOS 121 3.50 61% 0.60    
  (by GIACOMO out of ANGELS O' WAR by WAR POWER)
SUN TAY Aug11 Jul07       (gibbs tyler)CARDENAS JACOB 121 15.00    
  (by TYPHOON SLEW out of AVANTI by GONE ASTRAY)
ZIP IT KAREN Aug11 Jul20       (greene casey)JOURNET JARRED 121 20.00    
  (by FIVE SEASONS out of ASTORMISLAUNCHED by STORM CREEK)
MISS HOTROD Aug11 Jul07       (gibbs tyler)LARSEN S 121 20.00    
  (by POTOMAC RIVER out of CONSENT by PULPIT)
SUN NAT Aug11 Jul07       (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 124 5.00    
  (by TYPHOON SLEW out of JOINT ADVENTURE by FORESTRY)
GRAND JESTER         (goodrich sco)CARILLO DANIEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GRAND MINSTREL out of CAPTIVATING CATHY by FOREST WILDCAT)
 
SWF-9   08/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Sweetwater Accredited Wyoming Bred TB Futurity Purse ($26.6K) 2 ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GINGER IN CHARGE Aug16 Jul21 Jul07     (mitchell ch)CANALES J 121 8.00    
  (by BARKLEY out of SARAH IN CHARGE by HIGH BRITE)
DIAMANTE ELEGANTE Jul21 Jul07 Jun29     (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 121 4.00 14% 6.20    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of CATLADYDUE by ORIENTATE)
MARKING LIGHTS Jul20         (williams )IRONEYES R 124 6.00    
  (by MARKING out of LIGHTS ON BROADWAY by REAL SOLUTION)
ROLLING STORM Jul20 Jul07       (hall dru)JIMENEZ DAVID 124 15.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of FINE LOOKIN LADY by E DUBAI)
SLEW CITY TIZ Aug11 Jul21 Jul07     (mitchell chr)VALENZUELA R 121 15.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of TIZ WILLY by TIZNOW)
BOTTLE CAPS Jul21 Jul07 Jun29 May04 Apr11 (williams )RIVAS CARLOS 124 3.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of AWESOME FOREVER by AWESOME AGAIN)
HIGH FEVER Jul21 Jul07 Jun29 Apr11   (buenrostro ign)RAMOS MANUEL 124 2.00 61% 0.60    
  (by AFLEET ALEX out of C C EINSTEIN by EINSTEIN (BRZ))
ROLLING MY EYES Jul21 Jul07 Jun29     (hall dru)JOURNET JARRED 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of MS MUMBA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
 
SWF-10   08/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Horse Palace Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVELY LOLA Aug11 Jul14 Jun23 Jun08 May01 (simpson shannon)LULL E 123 3.50    
  (by FLATTER out of ROYALTY by BIRDSTONE)
POPS AWESOME Aug03 Apr16 Sep15 Aug19 Aug05 (williams )RIVAS CARLOS 128 8.00 10% 9.40    
  (by DADS CAPS out of WATUSI by AWESOME AGAIN)
SATIN HEART Aug04 Jul14 Sep23 Sep04 Aug26 (scudder r)IRONEYES R 123 5.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of IN GOLD BLOOD by MY GOLDEN SONG)
CLUE Jul14 Jun23 Dec04 Nov07 Oct20 (hall dru)CANALES J 128 4.00    
  (by SWAY AWAY out of COMIC KITTY by COMIC STRIP)
BUCK OWENS Aug11 Jul13 Jun30 Jun08 May25 (story shaun)JOURNET JARRED 128 10.00 9% 9.90    
  (by GRAZEN out of CARRIE ROSE by OLD TOPPER)
HOWBEIT Jul27 Jul13 Jun08 Apr30 Apr17 (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 128 10.00 6% 14.80    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of EMERLAUDE by EL CORREDOR)
BRANNIGAN Aug11 Aug03 Jul20 Jul06 Jun29 (lavanway da)OLIVO JUAN 128 8.00    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of MISS BEEKMAN PLACE by YES IT'S TRUE)
COWBOY CLIFF Jul21 Jun30 Jun08 Oct01 Sep15 (green d)VIRGEN JESUS 128 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by ONE UNION out of COWGIRL JULIE by SALEEK)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.