Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Century Mile
Friday - August 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTM-3   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(4/5)-(2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTM-4   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/5)-(2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
CTM-5   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
CTM-6   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(7/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTM-7   WIN (7/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/6)-(7/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/6)-(7/2/5/6)-(7/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5/6)-(4/3/6/7)-(5/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CTM-8   WIN (4/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/7)-(4/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/7)-(4/3/6/7)-(4/3/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/6/7)-(5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTM-9   WIN (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/7)-(5/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/7)-(5/4/7)-(5/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CTM-3   08/23/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T STOP DREAMIN Jul26 Jul06 Jun14 Jun07 May17 (zielke mad)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 2.00 24% 3.20    
VILLA NOVA Jul26 Jun21 Jun08 May18 Mar22 (cone rodney)BRYAN D 120 4.00    
H K MELODY Aug09 Jul12 Jun28 Jun08 May25 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 1.80    
MOHAMAD Aug16 Jul31 Jul10 Jun21 May25 (brown r)BECKLES JARELLE 123 3.00 31% 2.20    
OMEGASSHOOTINGSTAR Aug09 Jul31 Jul10 Jun21 Jun07 (hawkes darc)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTM-4   08/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEHIND THE CURTAIN Aug10 Jul19 Jul06 Jun29 Jun15 (coney jason)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 2.50    
COMMON KNOWLEDGE Jul19 Jun29 Jun15 May31 May10 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 3.00    
AMUSING WAY Aug10 Jul24 Jul10 Jun29 Jun15 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.00    
ISLE OF SKYE Jul31 Jul13 Jun29 Jun15 May19 (s)GRIFFITH DELANE 125 4.50 33% 2.00    
SPORTSCARR Aug02 Jul19 Jul06 Jun01 Oct21 (heggie rod)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 4.00 21% 3.70    
 
CTM-5   08/23/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVERFOOT Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 Oct21 Oct08 (nic)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 2.50 26% 2.80    
MENDELJOHN (IRE) Jul26 Jun28 Jun14 May25 May10 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 2.00 42% 1.40    
TAKE CHARGE CURLY Aug10 Jul17 Jun28 Jun14 Jun01 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 3.00    
AMEER Aug09 Jul26 Jul05 Jun22 Jun07 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 125 4.00    
TRAPEZE Aug10 Jul26 May31 May18 Oct08 (rycroft t)ZENTENO JR 125 4.50    
 
CTM-6   08/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Canadian Juvenile Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHATWOMENWANT Aug03 Jul17       (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 124 3.50    
  (by FED BIZ out of SWAYING by STORMY ATLANTIC)
PIONEER STORM KING Aug05 Jul27       (henson robert)PEREZ AMADEO 124 2.00 21% 3.80    
  (by PIONEEROF THE WEST out of STORM QUALITY by STORM VICTORY)
SOLAR FORCE         (vanoverscho)MARTI ALEXANDER 118 10.00    
  (by TOUR DE FORCE out of SOLAR SALLY by CAPE CANAVERAL)
HOLIDAY'S AGAIN Aug03 Jul17       (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by O'PRADO AGAIN out of HOLIDAY MAKER by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
ROWDY TOWN Aug03         (frey cars)ZENTENO JR 121 5.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of SHE'SADOWNTOWNGIRL by MORE THAN READY)
PUTTINGONTHEFOIL Aug03         (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 124 1.80 51% 1.00    
  (by COUNTERFORCE out of CHILLI CHINES by KATOWICE)
 
CTM-7   08/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMARTY RIVER PANTS Aug02 Jul17 Jun29 Jun15 Jun01 (anderson g)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 8.00    
MOB BOSS Jul26 Jun07 May17 May04 Mar09 (o'hagan col)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 4.50 23% 3.30    
BRODY'S PAL Aug10 Jul31 Jul05 Jun22 Jun08 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 125 5.00    
EXAMINER Aug10 Jul31 Jul06 Jun14 Jun08 (smith rob)NELSON DANE 125 2.50    
SPEEDING STYLE Aug04 Jul14 Jul01 Jun23 Jun09 (diodoro robe)HUGHES RASHEED 125 10.00 7% 14.00    
PERDITION Jul06 Jun15 May31 May19 Oct14 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
FIRECRACKER STAND Jul26 Jun29 Jun15 May24 May19 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
CTM-8   08/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Princess Margaret Purse ($50K) 2 F PT-11:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAZZLE ME DAWN         (vanoverscho)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 12.00    
  (by COUNTERFORCE out of DAZ LIN DAWN by POPULAR (SAF))
KITTY HOUSE Aug10 Jul17       (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 120 6.00    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of KITTENISTIC by KITTEN'S JOY)
THEY CALL ME TOM Jul17         (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 5.00 14% 6.10    
  (by SUNGOLD out of DAYLIGHT CAT by DISCREET CAT)
NO MORE LIES Aug10         (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 1.80 51% 1.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of TELL ME LIES by KY ALTA)
POCKETFULOFDREAMS Aug10 Jul17       (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 120 4.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of SCARLET FIRE by SUPER SAVER)
NASAS PRINCESS Aug10         (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 3.50 11% 7.90    
  (by FLAT OUT out of CANAVERAL LEADER by CAPE CANAVERAL)
NO REJOYCE Aug10 Jul17       (kettleson al)HUGHES RASHEED 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of JOYCE by ROCK HARD TEN)
 
CTM-9   08/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAZZLING CHIC Jul13 Jun29 Jun01 May19 Oct21 (petrowski joan)POON ANDREW 125 20.00    
STOLEN JEWEL Aug09 Jul13 Jun29 Oct22 Oct08 (grieves)CHASE RICHARD 120 2.50    
NO PEOPLE Aug16 Jul27 Jul12 Jun21 May31 (bell jessic)BECKLES JARELLE 125 12.00    
ADDYDIDIT Jul27 Jul13 Jun14 Oct01 Sep10 (o'hagan col)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 4.00 21% 3.80    
OUT FRONT Aug09 Jul24 Jun29 May19 Oct21 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 1.80 36% 1.80    
SCR  SUMMEROFTHESAMURAI Jul24 Jul22 Jul03 May27 May14 (davies deann)NATERA KEIHTON 125 8.00    
CHATTY GAL Aug09 Jul24 Jun15 May31 May19 (jones dan)ZENTENO JR 125 6.00 10% 9.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.