Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sweetwater Downs
Saturday - August 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SWF-7   WIN (5/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/6)-(5/8/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/8/6)-(5/8/3/6)-(5/8/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SWF-8   WIN (3/8/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/6/2)-(3/8/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/6/2)-(3/8/6/2)-(3/8/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/6/2)-(1/2/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
SWF-9   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/6/4)-(1/2/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SWF-7   08/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALACE PATCH Aug04 Jul13 Jun29 Jun16 Sep09 (vicchrilli ru)CARDOSO DAVID 124 5.00    
2  INDIAS BIG RED Aug04 Jul14 Jun08 Sep30 Sep17 (johnson a)LARSEN S 121 12.00    
3  ANGELA'S ANGEL Aug04 Jul21 Jul06 Jun22 May04 (lavanway dayson)LUSK TYSON 126 6.00 ★    
4  ENDALE ARCH Aug04 Jul20 Jun15 Oct29 Oct15 (lavanway day)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 4.50    
5  SECOND NATURE Jul13 Jun30 May14 Apr23 Apr03 (rivas guz)RIVAS CARLOS 126 2.50 44% 1.20    
6  HEAVENLY VIOLET Aug04 Jul14 Jun29 Jun15 Jun08 (robles ricar)CARILLO DANIEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  LEAPSTER Aug11 Aug04 Jul07 Jun30 Jun15 (scudder r)IRONEYES R 121 10.00    
8  DONNA LIRICA Aug11 Jul27 Jul14 Jun29 Jun08 (ibanez albert)JIMENEZ DAVID 121 4.00 26% 2.90    
 
SWF-8   08/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Horse Palace Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CELEE'S LAST TE Jul14 Jun15 Sep23 Sep09 Aug19 (vicchrilli ru)CARDOSO DAVID 123 3.50    
  (by TULSA TE out of CELEE by CONGAREE)
2  POPS AWESOME Aug03 Apr16 Sep15 Aug19 Aug05 (williams )RIVAS CARLOS 128 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of WATUSI by AWESOME AGAIN)
3  COWBOY CLIFF Jul21 Jun30 Jun08 Oct01 Sep15 (green d)VIRGEN JESUS 128 2.50 59% 0.70    
  (by ONE UNION out of COWGIRL JULIE by SALEEK)
4  CLUE Jul14 Jun23 Dec04 Nov07 Oct20 (hall dru)CANALES J 128 10.00    
  (by SWAY AWAY out of COMIC KITTY by COMIC STRIP)
5  HOWBEIT Jul27 Jul13 Jun08 Apr30 Apr17 (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 128 10.00    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of EMERLAUDE by EL CORREDOR)
6  SATIN HEART Aug04 Jul14 Sep23 Sep04 Aug26 (scudder r)IRONEYES R 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of IN GOLD BLOOD by MY GOLDEN SONG)
7  BRANNIGAN Aug11 Aug03 Jul20 Jul06 Jun29 (lavanway day)AGUILAR DANIEL 128 4.50    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of MISS BEEKMAN PLACE by YES IT'S TRUE)
8  BOURBON AND WATER Jul21 Jul06 Jun22 Jun09 Sep23 (story shaun)PADILLA ANSELMO 128 8.00 14% 6.20    
  (by CITY ZIP out of AUTUMN WEDDING by RUNAWAY GROOM)
 
SWF-9   08/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEA BREEZE BOY Aug04 Jul13 Jul06 Jun09 Apr23 (lavanway days)CARDOSO DAVID 126 1.60 61% 0.60    
2  THE BUSINESS MAN Aug04 Jul13 Jun29 Sep24 Sep09 (brown ross)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 2.50 17% 4.80    
3  B D S IDIDTHAT Aug03 Jul27 Jul06 Jun16 May26 (greene skyler)DOMINGUEZ F 124 15.00    
4  D P KING LOUIE Aug03 Jul13 Jun29 Jul30 Jul15 (giles rae)RIVAS CARLOS 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  SOVEREIGN DEELITES Aug03         (nielsen rodn)CARDENAS JACOB 126 12.00    
6  PERFECT SELINA Aug04 Jul13 Jun29 May26 Sep24 (johnson a)LARSEN S 121 6.00 ★    
7  ILLUSIONED Aug04 Jun22 Jun16 Apr07 Oct08 (ibanez albert)JIMENEZ DAVID 126 6.00    
8  COWGIRL CAROL Aug03         (green d)VIRGEN JESUS 121 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.