Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - August 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (3/2/5)-(2/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(2/5/3)-(4/1/5) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-2   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (2/5/3)-(4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(4/1/5)-(1/3/6) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-3   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/1/5)-(1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(1/3/6)-(2/7/4) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-4   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/7/6)-(1/3/7/6) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
    DD (1/3/6)-(2/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(2/7/4)-(3/1/4/7) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-5   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (2/7/4)-(3/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4)-(3/1/4/7)-(5/7/2/1) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-6   WIN (3/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/4/7)-(3/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4/7)-(3/1/4/7)-(3/1/4/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (3/1/4/7)-(5/7/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ASD-7   WIN (5/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/1)-(5/7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/1)-(5/7/2/1)-(5/7/2/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   08/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARP LIKENESS Jun07 Apr26 Mar30 Feb24 Sep16 (delaronde lee)BUDHU ARTHUR 117 7.00    
EAGLE EXPRESS Jul16 Jul02 Apr28 Apr07 Mar17 (delaronde lee)CUMBERBATCH R 123 3.00 12% 7.10    
KATE'S PRINCESS Jul10 Jun25 Jun12 Jun03 May20 (danelson gary)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 0.40 54% 0.90    
ISLAND HIGH Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 May27 Sep20 (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 121 25.00    
ADAM'S CREED Jul02 May21 Sep19 Aug23 Aug02 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 10.00 8% 12.10    
 
ASD-2   08/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS Z Jul29 Jul02 Jun10 May21 Sep19 (mustard do)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 12.00    
HALFINTHEWRAPPER Jul30 Jul10 Jun25 Jun04 May21 (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 0.60 33% 2.00    
MAIBELLA Aug06 Jul23 Jul10 Jul01 Jun19 (stanford maria)ALI RONALD 121 6.00 13% 6.90    
SPARKLING SILVER Jul29 Jul03 Jun11 May20 Sep06 (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 123 15.00    
MACLEAN'S BELLA Jul30 Jul01 Jun11 Sep13 Aug23 (hartmann ja)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 118 3.00 23% 3.40    
MAJESTIC GIG Jul10 Jun25 May12 Apr28 Apr14 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 25.00    
 
ASD-3   08/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Phil Kives Purse ($40K) 3UP C/G PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AL REICHERT Jul13 Jun28 May25 Oct14 Sep23 (zielke madis)NATERA KEIHTON 124 4.00 24% 3.10    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of AMALGAMATION by LEMON DROP KID)
SUGAR DADDY JACK Jul30 Jul16 Jul08 Jun26 Jun12 (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 124 30.00    
  (by NONIOS out of NICKEL CANDY by SILVER DEPUTY)
MCKAGUE Jul30 Jul16 Jul03 Sep19 Aug21 (anderson carl)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 1.20    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of NORTHERN COTTON by HIGH COTTON)
DELVECCHIO Jul30 Jul16 Jun03 May20 Sep20 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
  (by WHERE'S THE RING out of BRIARS FLASH by HURRICANE CENTER)
NO SHOW NO CALL Aug05 Jul22 Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 119 5.00 7% 13.30    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of SHE'S REGAL by GOING COMMANDO)
SCR  CROWNED ROYAL Jul30 Jul16 Jul03 Jun18 Jun05 (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 124 10.00    
  (by TRUE SENSE out of SHE'S REGAL by GOING COMMANDO)
 
ASD-4   08/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHLANDER HONEY Jul07 Jun22 May12 Apr27 Apr06 (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 1.20 65% 0.50    
BOTTLES AN BIBLES Jul30 Jul10 Jun19 Jun05 Jul25 (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 123 25.00    
LOLA LEE Jul30 Jul15 Jun17 Jun03   (gaskin steven)CUMBERBATCH R 117 5.00 10% 9.50    
IN OUR DREAMS Jul10 Jun19 Jun05 Nov11 Oct12 (anderson carl)CHOW CHAVION 123 30.00    
PAM'S AWESOME Jul30 Jul03 Aug21     (gaskin)PATTERSON R 117 4.50    
BLUE TANGO (GB) Jul30 Jul10 Jun25 Jun03 May20 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
PRESS ON BABY Jul30 Jul15 Jul10 Jun05 Apr07 (delaronde lee)PARRIS SACHIN 107 2.50    
 
ASD-5   08/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  REASONABLY LOVELY Aug05 Jul02 Jun03 May20 Apr14 (keplin jr)ALI RONALD 121 1.50    
YELLOW BIRDIE Jul30 Jun24 Jun03 May20 Jul25 (pruitt lise)BYNOE DAMARIO 117 2.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  DANZIGS STAR STORM Jul30 Jul16 Jun19 Jun11 May27 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 121 15.00    
HIGHLANDER'S EDGE Jul30 Jul16 Jun11 May28 May03 (delaronde lee)BALROOP SVEN 123 20.00 11% 8.50    
GOLDEN TRAIN Jul30 Jul16 Jul03 Jun03 May23 (ellis andre)CHOW CHAVION 121 8.00    
DRIVING Jul22 Jul16 Jun10 May27 May04 (maxwell cur)DALRYMPLE DARIO 123 4.00    
ROSE OF MOONCOIN Jul30 Jul16 Jul02 May26 Apr27 (anderson wen)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 10.00 13% 6.50    
 
ASD-6   08/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORO OUTLAW Jul30 Jul16 Jul10 Jun19 Jun03 (tourangea)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 5.00 15% 5.50    
SAINT PIO Aug05 Jul16 Jul03 Jun26 May25 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 122 1.80    
FAR BEYOND Jul30 Jul09 Jun26 May28 Apr04 (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
HIGH PRESS Jul30 Jul10 Jun18 Jun05 May21 (gaskin steven)DAWKINS DANE 124 6.00 14% 6.30    
VENTI Jul16 Jun26 Jun12 May28 Nov26 (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 117 4.50    
LUCKY LUKE Aug06 Jul23 Jul08 Jun17 Jun03 (delaronde lee)BELLE SHAVON 124 12.00    
FREE MAKER Jul22 Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 Jun04 (anderson carl)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 15.00 9% 10.00    
 
ASD-7   08/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REALLY SLOW Jul29 Jul23 Jul01 Jun18 Jun04 (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 124 25.00 5% 19.00    
DRIZZY Jul29 Jul15 Jul03 Jun24 Jun12 (scrams)PATTERSON R 124 25.00 8% 12.20    
HERBIE Jul29 Jul03 Sep18 Aug28 Jul31 (sanderson bru)PARRIS SACHIN 114 20.00    
HOUSE LIMIT Jul23 Jul02 Jun04 May21 Sep19 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 3.00    
COOLCROSS Jul23 Jun26 Jun07 May17 Mar09 (tourangeau )DALRYMPLE DARIO 124 1.40 49% 1.00    
SCR  RAILSPLITTER Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 Jun04 Sep20 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 2.50    
FORESTER'S TURN Jul23 Jul03 Dec15 Dec01 Nov12 (gardipy j)CUMBERBATCH R 124 15.00 13% 6.90    
DOUBLE TIME Jul29 Jul15 Jun25 Jun11 May28 (thompson steve)BELLE SHAVON 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.