Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Canterbury Park
Sunday - August 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CBY-1   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(8/7/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(8/7/3)-(5/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CBY-2   WIN (8/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/3)-(8/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/7/3)-(8/7/3)-(8/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/7/3)-(5/2/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (8/7/3)-(5/2/6)-(6/5/2/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CBY-3   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(6/5/2/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(6/5/2/8)-(6/5/7/9/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CBY-4   WIN (6/5/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/8)-(6/5/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/8)-(6/5/2/8)-(6/5/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/2/8)-(6/5/7/9/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2/8)-(6/5/7/9/8)-(4/5/1/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CBY-5   WIN (6/5/7/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/9/8)-(6/5/7/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/9/8)-(6/5/7/9/8)-(6/5/7/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/7/9/8)-(4/5/1/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7/9/8)-(4/5/1/3)-(3/6/1/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CBY-6   WIN (4/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/1/3)-(3/6/1/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1/3)-(3/6/1/4)-(3/7/1/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CBY-7   WIN (3/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/4)-(3/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/4)-(3/6/1/4)-(3/6/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/1/4)-(3/7/1/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
CBY-8   WIN (3/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/5)-(3/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/5)-(3/7/1/5)-(3/7/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CBY-1   08/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THEALLIGATORHUNTER Jul13 Jun22 Jun08 May18 May01 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 3.00 15% 5.50    
2  TONY'S TAPIT Jul03 Jun16 May01 Apr23 Mar28 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 1.60 54% 0.90    
3  EXXEL Jul03 Jun07 May18 Apr17 Mar14 (lund valorie)FUENTES A 122 12.00    
4  HAP HOT Jul13 Jun20 Jun08 May18 Apr30 (rengstorf tony)HARR KELSI 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  PLANE TALK Aug01 Jun22 May18 Mar20 Feb25 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00    
6  SIR STERLING Jul13 Jun08 Apr30 Apr06 Mar16 (rengstorf t)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 5.00    
 
CBY-2   08/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITHOUT EQUAL Jul25 Jun23 May04 Apr17 Mar12 (lund valorie)FUENTES A 119 6.00    
SCR  BUCKIN AGAIN Jul11 Jun22 Dec02 Oct20 Sep01 (hanson vic)HARR KELSI 119 12.00    
3  R VOO'S TABOO Jul11 Jun27 Jun09 Sep09 Aug16 (westerman)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  CINCO MAJESTIC Jul11 Jun23 Jun09 May26 May10 (silva migue)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 4.00    
5  CLEARWATER SUNSET Jul06 Jun23 May13 Apr29 Nov13 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 119 10.00    
SCR  HAYHAYCAPTAIN JAC Jul14 Jun27 Jun09 May11 Aug26 (litfin )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50    
7  LAWS OF MAN Jul13 Jun23 May26 May03 Mar30 (ra)DA FAUSTO 119 3.50 32% 2.10    
8  JONNY B GONEY Jul03 Jun09 May18 Sep09 Aug26 (berndt jo)VALENZUELA A 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
 
CBY-3   08/11/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIRTUALLY Jun29 May04 Apr13 Mar30 Nov14 (rushton stetson)HARR KELSI 122 10.00    
2  LET'S SKEDADDLE Jul13 Sep09 Jul15 Jun21 May29 (robertson m)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 2.50 14% 6.30    
3  GYPSY REWARD Jul13 Jun09 Dec15 Nov04 Sep03 (ro)DA FAUSTO 122 4.50    
4  BIG BAD DIVA Jul27 Jun22 Jun01 Apr27 Mar17 (williams mat)FUENTES A 122 4.00    
5  MIDNIGHT CURRENT Jul13 Jun01 Sep09 Aug24 Jul15 (berndt joel)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 1.60 51% 1.00    
6  DIRT FLIRT Aug04 Jul25 Jun29 Jun09 Jun01 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 5% 18.30    
 
CBY-4   08/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEET JOE Jul28 Jul04 Jun01 May01 Apr16 (kenney ry)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 3.00    
2  PANZER PRIDE Jul04 Apr25 Mar28 Mar06 Feb15 (ra)DA FAUSTO 122 4.50 14% 6.20    
3  CLEAR THE COAST Jul06 Jun06 Apr15 Mar26 Feb27 (woolley l)PENA BRYAN 117 8.00    
4  ROSENQUIST Jul28 Jul10 May04 Jun11 May20 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 12.00    
5  FORSAKEN Jul28 Jul06 Jun27 Jun02 Apr27 (espinoza )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 5.00 20% 4.00    
6  DEVIL VISION Jul28 Jun27 May25 May04 Feb25 (robertson m)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 2.00 39% 1.60    
7  REUP Jul28 Jul10 Jun27 Apr28 Apr14 (cline n)HARR KELSI 122 12.00    
8  FERRARI ROAD Jul28 Jul10 Jun27 Jun01 Apr27 (muckey john)ARROYO MIGUEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CBY-5   08/11/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY PARTNER GLEN Jul24 Jun20 Jun09 Apr27 Apr07 (rengstorf to)FUENTES A 124 3.50    
2  RED'S MR Z Jun16 Jun06 Apr27 Aug26 Aug03 (rarick lynn)ARROYO MIGUEL 124 20.00    
3  SWAMPDRAINER Aug01 Apr18 Apr07 Mar08 Sep03 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 12.00    
4  BIG PETE Aug01 Jul04 Jun20 Jun02 May18 (rengstorf tony)HARR KELSI 124 12.00    
5  COUSVINNYSACANUCK Aug04 Jul03 Jun20 Jun06 May18 (silva j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 21% 3.70    
6  REJECTION HURTS Jul25 Jul03 Jun20 Jun01 Sep13 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 2.50 29% 2.40    
7  STORM'S REFLECTION Jul11 Jun29 Jun16 Jun01 Apr07 (perez manny)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 4.50 18% 4.50    
8  O DOGG Aug01 Jul06 Jun08 Sep04 Aug26 (riecken bruce)PENA BRYAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  SHUT UP MICHAEL (IRE) Jul28 Jul10 Jun30 Jun08 Sep03 (rarick wade)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 8.00 11% 8.50    
10  GRUNDER Aug01 Jul04 Jun20 Jun06 Sep04 (rengstorf)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 15.00    
 
CBY-6   08/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRICKBAT Jul14 Jun30 Jun01 Apr27 Apr06 (rushton stacy)PENA BRYAN 124 4.00 19% 4.20    
2  REDISUR Jul28 Jul04 May26 May04 Apr21 (rarick ly)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 8.00    
3  TIGER HUNTER Jul28 Jul14 Jul04 Jun01 Apr25 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 7% 14.20    
4  PASSTHECAT Jul28 Jul14 Jun30 Dec15 Dec07 (hanson vi)VALENZUELA A 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
5  TOMA TODO Jul14 Jun27 Apr21 Mar23 Mar08 (rarick wade)HARR KELSI 124 4.50 20% 3.90    
6  JUST ASK JOEL Jul28 Jul14 Jul30 Jul22 Jul14 (sheehan nancy)LINDSAY CHAD 124 15.00    
SCR  SCHMOOZE Jul28 Jul06 Jun27 Jun02 May04 (bethke troy)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 6.00    
8  CALZONE Jul28 Jul04 Jun20 Jun02 May18 (rarick ly)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 8.00    
 
CBY-7   08/11/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29K) 2 ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAP THE KID         (rhone ber)VALENZUELA A 118 8.00 7% 13.70    
  (by TAPITURE out of REIGN SUZANNE by STREET HERO)
2  BY DECREED Jul14 May04 Apr11     (kereluk edward)PENA BRYAN 118 6.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of A P PEPPER by A. P. WARRIOR)
3  WATER TESTER         (scherer gar)CARMONA SERAFIN 113 2.00 36% 1.80    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of RYAN AND MADISON by SAM LORD'S CASTLE)
4  WE NEED A FAVOR         (cline n)HARR KELSI 118 10.00 7% 13.70    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of VIVIAN'S GRACE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
5  MAKIN MY FORTUNE Jul14         (lund valorie)FUENTES A 118 4.50    
  (by ATTA BOY ROY out of MAKINMYMARK by MAKORS MARK)
6  MO LIGHT NOW         (robertson)WILLIAMS JO 115 3.00 22% 3.60    
  (by LAOBAN out of LIGHT AND VARIABLE by TIZNOW)
7  MEGA HEART Jul14         (sc)DA FAUSTO 115 10.00    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of MEGA MONSTER by SILENT NAME)
8  PERRY COUNTY         (litfin veroni)ARROYO MIGUEL 118 12.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of TYRANNICAL by STREET BOSS)
 
CBY-8   08/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURRFECT MOON Jul13 May25 May03 Apr06 Mar29 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 122 4.00 6% 16.40    
2  MIZZEN MILLIONS Jun29 Jun13 May26 May04 Jan25 (garrett t)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00    
3  TALES OF MAKENNA Jul25 Jun29 May25 May04 Apr25 (hone bart)FUENTES A 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
4  MERLIN'S SISTER Jul25 Jul14 Jun29 Jun08 May25 (bedford kat)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 4.50    
5  FAT AND FURIOUS Aug01 Jul07 Jun13 May25 Feb09 (silva m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  PAT'S GAL Jul13 Jun20 Jun02 May03 Apr20 (cline n)HARR KELSI 122 5.00    
7  BOHEMIAN JIGGLES Aug03 Jul07 Jun20 Apr09 Feb22 (silva jr)PENA BRYAN 117 6.00 28% 2.60    
8  LAUGHINTOTHEBANK Jul06 Jun13 Apr12 Mar22 Feb11 (rarick ly)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.