Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Canterbury Park
Thursday - August 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CBY-1   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/2)-(1/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(1/3/5)-(1/6/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CBY-2   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(1/6/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(1/6/7)-(7/2/10/11/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CBY-3   WIN (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/7)-(1/6/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/7)-(1/6/4/7)-(1/6/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/7)-(7/2/10/11/1) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7)-(7/2/10/11/1)-(8/9/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CBY-4   WIN (7/2/10/11/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/10/11/1)-(7/2/10/11/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/10/11/1)-(7/2/10/11/1)-(7/2/10/11/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/2/10/11/1)-(8/9/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CBY-5   WIN (8/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/9/4)-(8/9/3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/4)-(8/9/3/6/4)-(8/9/3/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CBY-1   08/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($30.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EUROMANTIC Jul11 Jun08 Sep22 Aug24 Jul29 (hanson vic)HARR KELSI 122 15.00    
FIRST CALL Jul03 Jun20 Jun02 May02 Apr17 (martine)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
DISTORTED PRO Jul11 Jun01 May18 Feb23 Jan26 (robertson m)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 1.60    
MINISTER OF SOUL Jul03 Jun16 May18 Apr23 Mar14 (martinez )VALENZUELA A 122 4.00 61% 0.60    
HI YAH Jul11 Jun22 May18 May03 Apr19 (williams mat)FUENTES A 122 4.50    
UNCAPTURED WARRIOR Jun23 Apr28 Apr12 Mar22 Feb11 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 2.50    
 
CBY-2   08/08/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 35 M/F PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLEY PAINTS Jul27 Jun29 Jun16 May18 Sep09 (berndt joel)HARR KELSI 119 8.00 48% 1.10    
  (by KLIMT out of EAST SIDE CHARLEY by MR. GREELEY)
BLAZING PERFORMER Jul11 Jun08 May26     (berndt joel)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 4.50    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of STREAMING FIRE by STREET SENSE)
MIGHTY MADI Jul11 Jun20 May26 Apr28 Apr10 (rarick lynn)ARROYO MIGUEL 124 5.00 14% 6.30    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of CAMBRIA SUNSET by GIO PONTI)
HONEYCRISP Jul11 Jun08 May26 Aug30 Aug10 (biehler mich)FUENTES A 124 1.80    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of BADGE OF GLORY by AGO)
MOLLYS MIA Jul27 Jul11 Jul04     (bethke )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of LINER by EXCHANGE RATE)
GRACE A'LACE Jul11 Jun20 Jun06 May26 Sep13 (bethke tr)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 2.50    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of ROYAL CLASS by REGAL SEARCH)
 
CBY-3   08/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 35 ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALACE ATTAINED Jul25 Jul06 Jun16 May26 Jul09 (donlin larry)FUENTES A 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
FULLY FUNDED Jul27 Jun23 Apr23 Mar25 Mar12 (silva migue)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 15.00    
SING FOR UR SUPPER Jul14 Jul03 Jun14 May25   (silva a)HARR KELSI 119 15.00    
SMACKOVER LIME Jul27 Jul10 Jun23 May18 Apr28 (litfin )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00    
SHARMA'D Jul27 Jul06 Jun23 May26 May06 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 119 3.00    
VESTES Jul10 Jun23 Dec15 Nov30 Oct28 (hanson vi)VALENZUELA A 119 6.00 33% 2.00    
LUCKY SUPER NOVA Jul24 Jul03 Jun23 May26 Mar15 (espinoza edgar)PENA BRYAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
BABY NOVA Jul27 Jul06 Aug24     (tranquilino)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 4.00    
 
CBY-4   08/08/2024 5490ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE RIGHT STUFF (GB) Jul10 Jun02 Apr25 Mar27 Sep04 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
KENNEBEC Jul10 May04 Apr11 Mar28 Mar03 (silva jr)PENA BRYAN 122 5.00 20% 3.90    
XAVEY DAVE Jul13 Jun08 Oct20 Sep09 Aug12 (robertson mcl)ARROYO MIGUEL 122 4.50    
SCR  CALIBRATE Sep23 Aug22 Jul22 Jun10 May03 (rosin w)FUENTES A 122 3.50    
HALF BROTHER Jul13 Jun22 May25 Jan20 Jan07 (sc)DA FAUSTO 122 12.00    
THAT'S NOT FUNNY Jun22 Jun02 Sep09 Jul27 Jul16 (rosin c)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00    
GOLDEN BANDIT Jul10 Jun13 Apr20 Sep09 Aug05 (rosin w)FUENTES A 122 4.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  UNIFIED DREAMS Jun22 Jun02 Apr06 Mar09 Feb15 (sc)DA FAUSTO 122 4.00    
HOUSE OF LORDS Jun02 May04 Apr04 Dec02 Nov12 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 122 6.00    
10  TONKA WARRIOR Jul10 Jun22 Jun02 Dec15 Jun21 (robertson m)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 3.00 14% 5.90    
11  DRAMA CHORUS Jul10 Jun22 Jun02 Apr07 Jun21 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 12.00 12% 7.40    
 
CBY-5   08/08/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29K) 35 ALL PT- 8:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BENNIGAN         (martinez esteban)PENA BRYAN 124 10.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of KINGSLEY by TOP HIT)
CHERRY RIVER         (martinez )VALENZUELA A 124 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GUMDROP FALLS by BLUMIN AFFAIR)
D FLASH May12 Apr13 Mar09 Feb17 Feb04 (jones douglas)LINDSAY CHAD 119 5.00    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of PRINCESS ERIS by INTO MISCHIEF)
I CONDUIT Jul10 Jun29 Jun16 Nov20 Nov04 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENTICED out of TEA LIGHT by COUNTRY LIGHT)
COLD SOUL         (rushton stacy)HARR KELSI 119 15.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of SPLENDORED by PROUD CITIZEN)
REAL GOOD MAGIC         (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of THUNDEROUS GEM by GEMOLOGIST)
NATURAL CAUSES Jun16         (silva migue)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 12.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MISS SMART MONEY by SMART STRIKE)
DE ANGELO Jul25         (robertson m)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 2.00 54% 0.90    
  (by VIOLENCE out of MARITIMECONNECTION by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
MARTINI MAN Jul10         (rosin w)FUENTES A 119 3.50 19% 4.10    
  (by ASTERN out of SHABOOM by U S RANGER)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.