Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Ruidoso Downs
Saturday - July 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
RUI-3   WIN (1/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/6)-(1/5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/6)-(1/5/3/6)-(1/5/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
RUI-5   WIN (2/4/8/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/8/6/10)-(2/4/8/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/8/6/10)-(2/4/8/6/10)-(2/4/8/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
RUI-7   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/5) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
RUI-9   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
RUI-3   07/20/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22.8K) 3 ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOODWINKED KATE Jun09 Apr07       (wool)GOMEZ PORTILLO 116 2.50 43% 1.30    
  (by TRAIN RIDER BLUES out of KATIE MURPHY by NORTHERN AFLEET)
2  GIMME MONEY Jun02         (cappell)FUENTES T 121 10.00    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of STRAWBERRY DRIVE by EUROSILVER)
3  RONCHETTI Jun02 Aug06 Jul21 Jun25 Jun09 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 3.50 17% 4.90    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of BABY VAMP by SOUTHWESTERN HEAT)
4  EVERYBODY KNOWS Jun02         (moreno edgar)MEDELLIN A 121 12.00    
  (by HOLLYWOOD DON out of AIM HAPPY by ASTROLOGY)
5  UNDERNUMBERED Feb08         (pierce )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 4.50 19% 4.30    
  (by MARKING out of GOOD LOOKER R F by SILVER SEASON)
6  STORM BY THE SEA Jun14 Jun02       (moreno ed)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of CRAFTY JOI by MR. GROUSH)
7  JMARK Jun14 May12       (quiroz filibert)ROSENDO J 121 5.00    
  (by MARKING out of SHE'S PLAIN JANE by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  TAP ROCK         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 121 4.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of AIR GUITAR by FIVE STAR DAY)
9  LITTLE ROGUE Apr04         (barrios bern)VILLANUEVA C 121 15.00    
  (by MUSAITER out of D E COME ON by REAL DANDY)
 
RUI-5   07/20/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEEPS STRIDE Jun16 Mar15 Feb18 Feb02 Jan26 (marr j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 6.00    
2  AARON WHO Jun07 Mar29 Mar21 Mar08 Feb08 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 3.50 49% 1.00    
3  SHAME ON ROOSTER Jun07 May05 Apr21 Mar29 Mar15 (wool)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 3.00    
4  SHAME ON SAM Jun16 Apr07 Mar29 Mar21 Mar07 (lambert casey)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 4.50 16% 5.40    
5  RYDERS UP May18 May04 Apr14 Mar14 Feb29 (singh j)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 20.00    
6  TATAS JOE MARK Apr21 Apr04 Mar22 Feb22 Jan26 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  B R KIDD ROCK Jun07 Apr16 Mar27 Mar06 Feb20 (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 123 15.00    
8  MUSICS MY VICE May18 Feb01 Jan11 Dec20 Dec04 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 10.00 5% 17.30    
9  DANJERUS STORM Jun08 May27 Apr27 Apr07 Mar07 (martinez edw)VILLANUEVA C 123 8.00    
10  MONIKER Jun10 May13 Apr22 Feb28 Feb14 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
RUI-7   07/20/2024 4950ft DIRT RC11 FAST Land Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANCIENT LAND Apr07 Mar21 Mar08 Feb09 Jan25 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 15.00    
  (by MONTEREY JAZZ out of RODINIA by BLUEGRASS CAT)
2  I'MAGAMBLER May18 Apr27 Apr07 Mar21 Mar08 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 8.00 50% 1.00    
  (by KING BULL out of GAMBLERS ODYSSEY by EL CORREDOR)
SCR  BODIE GOT GOLD May19 Apr07 Mar21 Mar08 Feb09 (garcia alex)MEDELLIN A 123 3.50    
  (by HOLY LUTE out of BODIE'S GOLD by BODEMEISTER)
SCR  JET SET WARRIOR Jun07 Mar01 Jan26 Nov06 Jul22 (marr j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 6.00    
  (by ARCHWARRIOR out of JET SET LASS by IN EXCESS (IRE))
5  HENRY ON THE RUN May19 Apr07 Mar08 Feb09 Jan19 (garcia alex)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 10.00 ★    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of PRAIRIE MOONLIGHT by PREMEDITATION)
SCR  AR YA WEEGEE Jun09 Apr27 Mar21 Mar08 Feb18 (cross gary)HEBERT J 123 2.50    
  (by TO TERAS out of SILVER STAIRS by DEMIDOFF)
SCR  LET HIM BE Jun08 Apr07 Mar08 Jan18 Nov27 (marr jo)FUENTES T 123 2.00    
  (by SWAY AWAY out of BERTRANDO'S LADY by BERTRANDO)
 
RUI-9   07/20/2024 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Sierra Starlet Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT TO FANCY Jun16 May27 Nov06 Sep04 Aug20 (danley i)JUAREZ J 121 6.00    
  (by MR. TRIESTE out of ROLL BLOOMERS ROLL by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
2  KOMFORT KID Apr20 Mar01 Jan18 Jan05 Dec19 (quir)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 3.50    
  (by COMFORT out of CARNIVAL KID by BROKEN VOW)
3  RUN AWAY BAY Mar29 Feb09 Jan05 Dec05 Nov14 (lambert t)VERGARA P 121 2.50 34% 1.90    
  (by SWAY AWAY out of CORLEONE by BALLISTIC BILLY)
4  TRUST ANABELLE Apr07 Mar08 Feb09 Oct08   (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 121 15.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED TRUST out of ANNIE P. by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
5  STORM IN THE VALLE Mar21 Feb15 Nov27 Nov06 Sep08 (buechler j)MEDELLIN A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of SUPER SISTER by YOUR EMINENCE)
SCR  MARK IT DOWN Jan18 Dec12 Nov27 Oct15 Sep24 (barton )FUENTES T 121 10.00    
  (by MARKING out of LADY GENIUS by QUINTON'S GOLD)
7  HUSTLING Apr27 Apr04 Mar01 Feb09 Nov14 (pierce )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 2.00 31% 2.20    
  (by ABSTRACTION out of KNOXVILLE by IN EXCESS (IRE))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.