Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Friday - May 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(1/4)-(3/1/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SA-2   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(3/1/4)-(4/3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SA-3   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(4/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(4/3/5)-(5/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SA-4   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(5/3)-(7/6/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SA-5   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(7/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(7/6/5)-(2/4/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SA-6   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/3/5)-(7/6/3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (7/6/5)-(2/4/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5)-(2/4/6/3)-(6/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-7   WIN (2/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/3)-(2/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/3)-(2/4/6/3)-(2/4/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/6/3)-(6/7/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
SA-8   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   05/10/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIMITED HEATWAVE Apr16 Apr03 Mar12 Feb20 Dec02 (barba alexis)FRESU ANTONIO 126 8.00    
AURELIAN MAN Apr20 Sep29 Aug24 Aug12 Jul22 (marquez p)BAZE C 126 6.00    
BEE CATCHER Apr20 Mar08 Mar27 Mar09 Jan20 (landeros juan)MALDONADO E 124 3.00    
BIRTH OF COOL Nov19 Nov11 Oct14 Sep24 Aug18 (dollase craig)AYUSO ARMANDO 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
NATIONAL GENERAUX (IRE) Apr07 Mar08 Feb24 Feb11 Jan07 (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 2.50 20% 3.90    
TOM AND JAZZY Mar22 Feb23 Dec26 Nov18 Oct27 (puype mike)DESORMEAUX J 126 2.00 27% 2.70    
 
SA-2   05/10/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($54K) 2 F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIGHT BEACON         (hanson r)ELLINGWOOD A 118 1.60 45% 1.20    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of STORMANDAPRAYER by SONGANDAPRAYER)
LUCKY NEA         (lopez l)BAZE C 118 10.00    
  (by BREAKING LUCKY out of ANEA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SO THERE SHE WAS         (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 118 5.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of RISK PREMIUM by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
ANGEL FROM ABOVE         (mendez luis)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 118 1.80 15% 5.50    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of HOMEFIELDADVANTAGE by GHOSTZAPPER)
RUNNIN ON PROMISES         (bonde jeff)MALDONADO E 118 2.50    
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of RUNNIN FOR TUITION by HANSEN)
 
SA-3   05/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASTERMIND Apr19 Apr05 Mar29 Feb11 Jan27 (bar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
STAY IN THE GAME Mar10 Dec15 Nov05 Oct14 Aug13 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 10.00    
GRANADA FLAVOR Mar17 Feb18 Aug19 Jul01 Apr23 (mccarthy sean)FREY KYLE 122 1.40 42% 1.40    
FLINT STROLL Apr05 Mar10 Jul21 Jun10 May20 (papaprodro)VAN DRAYDEN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
TEMBO Mar01 Jan05 Nov19 Oct21 Oct15 (knapp steve)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 122 1.20    
 
SA-4   05/10/2024 3960ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHEVY GIRL Nov12 Oct20 Jul02 Jun04 May13 (wallace j)RAMIREZ S 126 15.00    
DENDERA Mar29 Feb16 Oct23 Aug17 Aug03 (powell leona)LAPRIDA JEREMY 126 4.00    
CONTROL FUNCTION Mar29 Feb18 Jan12 Mar25 Feb11 (baltas rich)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 3.50 23% 3.30    
PINK ACE Sep02 Aug10 Apr22 Mar18   (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 126 1.80 34% 1.90    
BLONDE BOMBSHELL Mar15 Nov17 Oct14 Sep04 Aug10 (winick debbie)FREY KYLE 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
DEFICIT MAJA Mar22 Feb11 Jan06 Dec01 Oct29 (mar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 15.00    
SHE'S A JOKER Mar29 Feb18 Jan27 Jun16 May06 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 126 3.00    
 
SA-5   05/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 6:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LETTHELIQUORTALK Apr27 Mar29 Feb02 Dec03   (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 2.50    
OUTGUNNED Apr19 Feb24 Jan27     (periban jorge)AYUSO ARMANDO 118 6.00    
WINNING BIG Mar23 Feb24 Jan15 Dec16 Dec01 (periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 4.00 6% 16.60    
DES DOIGTS Apr19 Mar29 Mar08 Feb02 Jan15 (deleon raf)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 120 2.50    
MIDNIGHT LOVE Feb24 Feb02 Jan14 Dec30 Dec09 (palma hector )FRESU ANTONIO 120 1.80 52% 0.90    
 
SA-6   05/10/2024 3960ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CERTITUDE (FR) Apr06 Mar04 Oct09 Aug06   (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 118 5.00    
CHEEKIEST Jun04 May12 Apr22 Mar27 Feb18 (puype mike)AYUSO ARMANDO 126 8.00    
YELLOW SUN DRESS Apr20 Apr28       (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 118 3.00    
ANG N ASH Apr05 Mar04 Feb16     (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 8.00    
ELTONSINGSANOTHER Apr04 Feb23 Jan19 Nov23 Oct20 (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
PERFECT IN GRAY Mar15         (sadler w)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 2.50 15% 5.70    
TOPOLINA Mar15 Feb16 Apr22 Mar18 Jan13 (hanson ryan)MALDONADO E 126 3.00 60% 0.70    
 
SA-7   05/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($19K) 35 M/F PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOOTH AS BUTTER Apr13 Mar04       (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00    
SABRES Apr20 Apr04 Oct06 Sep04 Jul23 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 118 2.00 33% 2.00    
WINNING LUCK Mar15         (papaprodro)GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
DEVIL D' ORO Apr04         (palma hector )AYUSO ARMANDO 118 5.00 23% 3.40    
CASTAGNA Apr26 Apr07 Mar09     (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 118 5.00    
TO BEVY'S         (cortez e)BAZE C 126 15.00 16% 5.30    
I'M STILL IN IT Apr20 Mar04 Nov04 Aug20   (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 126 2.50    
 
SA-8   05/10/2024 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARP RIDE Apr04 May26       (pederson dean)AYUSO ARMANDO 126 8.00    
BIG HOPES May19 Apr30 Mar31 Jan29 Sep05 (sadler john)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 6.00    
VRONSKY FEINT Mar15 Jan15 Dec26 Nov24 Nov04 (moger jr)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ANNA'S MUSIC Sep10 Aug05 Jul02 Jun04 May13 (galvin brenda)FRESU ANTONIO 126 12.00    
GRAZEN IN THE SUN Apr07 Feb25 Dec31 Dec08 Oct21 (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 126 1.80    
HOTITUDE Aug12 Jun18 May27 Apr30 Apr10 (mulhall kr)HERNANDEZ J 126 2.00 33% 2.10    
ISSA COURT Mar15 Feb03 Jan15 Dec09 Nov17 (hess b)MALDONADO E 126 4.00 18% 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.