Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Will Rogers Downs
Monday - April 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

WRD-1   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(1/7/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(1/7/5)-(5/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-2   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/5)-(5/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5)-(5/2/1)-(3/4/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-3   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(3/4/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(3/4/6/2)-(5/3/6/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-4   WIN (3/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/2)-(3/4/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/2)-(3/4/6/2)-(3/4/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/6/2)-(5/3/6/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6/2)-(5/3/6/4)-(3/7/5/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
WRD-5   WIN (5/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/4)-(5/3/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/4)-(5/3/6/4)-(5/3/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/6/4)-(3/7/5/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6/4)-(3/7/5/2)-(6/5/7/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
WRD-6   WIN (3/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/5/2)-(3/7/5/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/7/5/2)-(3/7/5/2)-(3/7/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/5/2)-(6/5/7/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5/2)-(6/5/7/8)-(8/4/5/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
WRD-7   WIN (6/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/8)-(6/5/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/8)-(6/5/7/8)-(6/5/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/7/8)-(8/4/5/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7/8)-(8/4/5/1)-(9/12/3/10) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
WRD-8   WIN (8/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/1)-(8/4/5/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/1)-(8/4/5/1)-(8/4/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/5/1)-(9/12/3/10) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
WRD-9   WIN (9/12/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/12/3/10)-(9/12/3/10) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (9/12/3/10)-(9/12/3/10)-(9/12/3/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WRD-1   04/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN BOND WE TRUST Apr03 Mar19 Mar05 Dec08 Nov18 (davidson b)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 1.00 45% 1.20    
LANGMEAD Mar27 Jul19 Jul13 Jun28 May10 (thomas dena)LANDEROS C 125 15.00    
HAY SCOOBY DOO Mar27 Mar11 Nov18 Oct07 Sep22 (williams alan)QUINONEZ B 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
EXPLOSIVE PRIDE Sep02 Aug07 Jul17 Jun26 Jun11 (johnston )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 20.00    
RANCHO A GO GO Mar27 Nov30 Nov09 Sep29 Sep14 (buehrer w)PEREZ A 125 1.20 33% 2.00    
 
WRD-2   04/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUNT KENDRA Apr08 Mar25 Feb10     (gustafs)GONCALVES R 120 0.60 40% 1.50    
HOT LIPS HOULIHAN Nov18 Oct11       (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 120 20.00    
GOSPEL GORGEOUS Mar05 Oct11       (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 20.00    
MIA IS SHORT Mar25 Feb19 Nov30     (silva miguel)PEREZ A 120 4.00    
MODDIE Jan27         (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 125 8.00 5% 17.50    
SCR  GOSPEL DELIGHT Nov21 Sep07 Aug19 Sep16 Aug26 (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 125 15.00    
DA LAST TEQUILA Apr08 Nov17 Oct25     (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 5.00 29% 2.40    
 
WRD-3   04/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP THE BRAKES Sep29 Sep09 Aug28 Aug07 Jul15 (ibarra jose)SANCHEZ OBED 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
CHUY GARZA Y. G. Apr08 Mar08 Feb11 Jan19 Dec09 (william)GONCALVES R 125 2.50 10% 9.10    
MISTER WAYSIDE Apr10 Mar27 Dec02 Nov21 Oct19 (martin st)TRIANA JR 122 3.50    
WIN FOR FUN Apr09 Mar20 Mar12 Dec14 Dec02 (young e)PEREZ A 122 12.00    
JOLLY JUMPER Apr01 Mar18 Jul19 Jun28 May24 (williams alan)QUINONEZ B 125 2.00 57% 0.70    
SUNSHINE CHARLIE Jan15 Oct13 Sep04 Jul16 Jun24 (ward dan)KIMES C 122 3.00    
 
WRD-4   04/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FATHER PATRICK Mar25 Dec14 Oct14 Sep14 Aug17 (johnston lan)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 20.00    
MAJESTIC LOVER Mar26 Mar11 Dec13 Nov25 Nov09 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
ASSUMPTION Apr10 Mar15 Mar01 Feb10 Jan26 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 1.60 34% 2.00    
EMERGENCY RESPONSE Mar25 Mar04 Feb18 Jan28 Dec16 (roberts j)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 6.00 23% 3.30    
GOSPEL BUZZ Mar25 Mar04 Dec07 Nov18 May03 (william)GONCALVES R 125 12.00    
TRUE DOMINUS Mar25 Mar04 Dec09 Nov18 Oct28 (boone patricia)KIMES C 125 12.00 11% 8.00    
COMMANDER REX Apr03 Mar25 Mar02 Jan26 Jan05 (villafranco )GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 1.20    
 
WRD-5   04/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKING GUITAR Apr02 Mar20 Mar05 Dec01 Nov20 (buehrer m)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 119 15.00    
POLLY TIZ Apr02 Mar20 Dec15 Dec01 Nov02 (davis d)MORA GERARDO 119 15.00    
STORMY BISONETTE Apr08 Oct07 Sep13 Jul19 Jun29 (boone patricia)LANDEROS C 119 3.00 27% 2.80    
STRONG WOMAN Apr08 Nov25 Nov11 Oct20 Oct11 (davidson )TRIANA JR 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
ALL AFLUTTER Apr02 Nov30 Nov20 Nov11 Oct21 (baze t)KIMES C 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
HANGXIETY Apr09 Mar12 Mar05 Dec14 Nov10 (davidson bre)SANCHEZ OBED 117 4.00 8% 12.00    
MAGGIE D'CAUSE Mar26 Dec16 Nov20 Oct14 Sep21 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 3.00    
 
WRD-6   04/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASSET BASIS Mar26 Feb10 Jan12 Jan01 Nov24 (villafranco )GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 3.50    
NORDIC QUEEN Apr07 Mar10 Feb25 Feb03 Nov08 (davidson sarah)SANCHEZ OBED 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
MULBERRY STREET Apr15 Nov03 Oct14 Sep05 Aug16 (silva miguel)PEREZ A 125 3.00 36% 1.80    
BRIGGSEY Mar26 Mar11 Jan28 Nov18 Sep16 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 125 2.00    
MY CALANTE Mar19 Sep13 Sep03 Aug10 Jul20 (roberts j)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 20.00 16% 5.10    
GOSPEL MUSKETEER Apr03 Mar20 Nov17 Sep30 Jun04 (williams steve)MORA GERARDO 125 15.00    
RUNHAPPY D'ORO Apr03 Dec09 Nov18 Oct26 Oct11 (williams alan)QUINONEZ B 125 2.50 18% 4.50    
 
WRD-7   04/22/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KICK IT AGAIN BOB Apr02 Mar18 Dec07 Nov21 Nov04 (davidson )TRIANA JR 119 12.00    
SCR  SILVER PONZI Jul17 Apr12 Mar28 Feb11 Jan06 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 20.00    
SPOTTED BULL Mar16 Jan25 Dec15 Oct28 Oct18 (ward dan)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 3.00    
UPTOWN SOCIAL Apr09 Mar27 Mar04 Feb21 Feb10 (dixon tim)KIMES C 119 6.00    
MIRANDEN Apr01 Dec13 Nov21 Nov14 Nov04 (young e)SANCHEZ OBED 119 4.00 20% 4.10    
HEROIC SONG Apr10 Mar12 Nov14 Sep23 Aug31 (buehrer w)QUINONEZ B 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
SAM SEZ Apr09 Mar26 Mar05 Dec01 Nov03 (roberts bl)MORA GERARDO 119 8.00 17% 4.70    
PHILO BEDDOE Apr05 Feb23 Jan19 Nov20 Oct21 (roberts j)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
WRD-8   04/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROWN TOWN Mar19 Nov20 Nov02 Oct06 Sep06 (cogburn o)TRIANA JR 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
GRANDSONSAM Dec09 Nov20 Nov02 Oct13 May17 (offolter joe)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 4.00    
SCR  GOSPEL TRUTH Mar26 Mar11 Dec09 Nov18 Nov08 (william)GONCALVES R 125 4.00    
EXCAPING THE BLUES Mar26 Feb23 Jan21 Jan07 Dec09 (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 125 3.00 15% 5.70    
MR PELOTON Mar19 Oct08       (caldwell robbin)PEREZ A 125 8.00 14% 6.10    
EARS TO ME Apr03 Dec14 Nov18 Nov01 Oct11 (swan e)QUINONEZ B 125 12.00    
GIST Mar29 Mar01 Feb02 Dec09 Nov03 (baze t)KIMES C 125 12.00    
RACHEL'S CAPER Mar26 Mar11 Dec15 Nov24 Nov01 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 3.50 39% 1.60    
 
WRD-9   04/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN DOTTIE RUN Nov29 Nov02 May08 Apr24 Apr04 (lambert j)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 30.00    
  (by FUSAICHI ZENON out of POUPON POLKA by YOUR EMINENCE)
PAT'S RIDE         (offolter joe)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 12.00    
  (by MAGNA GRADUATE out of SYMPHONY RIDE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
PAULA M Apr02 Mar18 Dec14 Nov17 Nov01 (williams al)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 3.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAGNA GRADUATE out of RED CONSTITUTION by BERNARDINI)
SCR  GOSPEL COZY Apr01 Mar12       (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 30.00    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of A. P. OX by OXBOW)
SCR  GOSPEL PRECIOUS Apr02 Mar18 Oct11 Sep23 Sep01 (william)GONCALVES R 120 6.00    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of GOSPEL CHOICE by CRAFTY SONG)
SANGRIA SUNSET         (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 120 12.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of CAMANA BAY by CONGRATS)
SCR  CHEEKY KISS Apr01         (williams alan)QUINONEZ B 125 15.00    
  (by LIAISON out of SOONER FITE by FISTFITE)
LADY RASHEN Apr02 Mar12 Mar04 Dec14 Dec02 (padilla juan)PEREZ A 120 20.00    
  (by WILBURN out of THIRTY ONE AD by INTO MISCHIEF)
REBELENA Apr01 Dec08       (bravo fra)TRIANA JR 120 3.50 44% 1.30    
  (by LATENT HEAT out of MISS SNOW NOSE by BROKEN VOW)
10  FLATOUTSASSYOK         (gladd andy)KIMES C 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of BABY K by KENNEDY)
SCR  MICHAEL'S DREAMS Apr02 Mar18       (padilla juan)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 10.00    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of POUPON POLKA by YOUR EMINENCE)
12  OPTIMISTIC WOMAN Apr01         (stephens jerry)LANDEROS C 125 5.00 23% 3.40    
  (by LATENT HEAT out of AMERICAN SOUND by AWESOME AGAIN)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.