Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Saturday - March 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(3/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(3/1/5)-(4/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SA-2   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(4/2)-(4/2/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SA-3   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(4/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(4/2/1)-(3/8/7/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SA-4   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(3/8/7/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(3/8/7/6)-(6/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-5   WIN (3/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/7/6)-(3/8/7/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/8/7/6)-(3/8/7/2/6)-(3/8/7/2/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (3/8/7/6)-(6/5/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/8/7/6)-(6/5/1)-(6/2/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-6   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(6/2/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(6/2/5/7)-(1/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-7   WIN (6/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/7)-(6/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/7)-(6/2/5/7)-(6/2/5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/5/7)-(1/4/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5/7)-(1/4/2)-(5/10/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-8   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(5/10/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
SA-9   WIN (5/10/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/10/2)-(5/10/2/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/10/2)-(5/10/2/9/7)-(5/10/2/9/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   03/16/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 45 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BILLBERNJOEJOHNICK Feb16 Apr01 Feb19 Dec02 Oct02 (mullins jeff)MALDONADO E 124 3.00    
  (by BOAT TRIP out of REMEMBERING EILEEN by BERTRANDO)
2  FORTY NINER GOLD Feb16         (sadler w)ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.00 38% 1.60    
  (by U S RANGER out of MEREDITH BEE by EL CORREDOR)
3  GHOSTLY ACT Feb16 Dec30 Nov19 Oct01 Sep03 (winick debbie)FREY KYLE 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
  (by ACCLAMATION out of DEBBIES CUTE GHOST by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  GETEMDUSTY Feb11 Jan14 Dec08     (miya)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 124 12.00    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of UNSTOPPABLEPASSION by SCAT DADDY)
5  ANTIBES Feb23 Jan26 Dec30 Nov19 Oct21 (gaines car)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 13% 6.50    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  DEFENSOR FORTIS Jan12 Nov11 Oct29 Oct08 Sep18 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 124 12.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
SA-2   03/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET MILLIE Feb03 May12 Apr14     (marquez p)FREY KYLE 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
2  UNKEPT SECRET Feb18 Jan21 Dec02 Nov12 Oct22 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 124 2.50    
3  YO YO MAMA Feb16 Jan21 Nov24 Oct06 Aug25 (stute gary)FRESU ANTONIO 124 1.60 39% 1.50    
4  GUNGAGUNGAGALUNGA Feb16 May07 Apr22 Mar31 Mar09 (moger jr)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 3.00    
5  GLORY OF CHROME Mar04 Jan27 Jan05 Dec03 Feb17 (gomez )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
SA-3   03/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Pasadena Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNCLE TRULY Feb24 Nov19 Oct15 Sep09   (thomas jonat)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 5.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of TRULY TOGETHER by SMART STRIKE)
2  STAY HOT Feb17 Dec03 Nov03 Oct07 Sep02 (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 124 1.60 11% 8.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of ETSU by SMART STRIKE)
3  GUY NAMED JOE Feb10 Dec29 Dec03 Oct29 Oct07 (o'neill do)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of HUNGRY ISLAND by MORE THAN READY)
4  LORD BULLINGDON Dec29 Dec03 Nov03 Oct07 Sep10 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 2.50 52% 0.90    
  (by LORD NELSON out of MS SILVER OAK by LEROIDESANIMAUX)
5  ISLAND CRUISER Feb03 Jan06 Nov02     (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 2.50    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of SPECIAL CODE by COUNT THE TIME)
 
SA-4   03/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISPOSITION         (mccarthy )DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of DAZZLER by VINDICATION)
2  SHOW CARD Feb18 Jan21       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 29% 2.40    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of COGNITIVE by UNCLE MO)
3  SWEET GEM Feb18         (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 20.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MISS CATOMINE by BERNARDINI)
4  MS BO J Feb25 Jan21 Dec29     (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
  (by MITOLE out of BODACIOUSNESS by BODEMEISTER)
5  VEGAS CONDO Feb18 Jan21       (ellis w)SMITH E 122 8.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CHASE MOTTO by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  QUICK BROWN FOX         (mandella richa)ROSARIO JOEL 122 1.80    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BAST by UNCLE MO)
 
SA-5   03/16/2024 4290ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($67K) 3 F PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PANDA PEAK Feb11 Jan14 Aug25 May25   (puype mike)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 15.00    
2  SHAMROCKIN Feb16 Jan14       (agu)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 5.00 ★    
3  QUICK KATE Feb16 Dec30 Dec01     (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
4  RECALCITRANT Mar03 Feb16 Jan13 Nov03 May20 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 8.00    
5  CROWN OF HOPE Feb18 Feb04 Jan05     (ordonez ag)VAN DRAYDEN 122 20.00    
6  CLUBHOUSE BRIDE Feb16 Jan01 Dec10     (kruljac j )GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  THE SHUSHALA Feb16 Jan14       (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 122 4.00 11% 8.00    
8  CAN'T SLEEP Feb10         (gaines ca)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
9  DORIE MILLER Mar03 Jan27 Jan01 Dec01 Oct20 (periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 12.00    
 
SA-6   03/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($67K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I DON'T GET IT Apr08 Mar11 Feb12 Jan15   (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 6.00 10% 9.40    
2  POP D'ORO Oct23 Sep11 Aug14 Jun18 Apr13 (periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 20.00    
3  HAVILDAR Oct09 Aug26 Jul21 Jun14   (dutrow richard)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00    
4  HEY BROTHER Jan21 Dec26 Dec09 Nov19   (barocio lib)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 2.00    
5  FIFTH STREET Jul08 Jun18       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 12% 7.60    
6  MATANZAS CREEK Feb15 Dec29 Nov19 Oct22   (yakteen t)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 1.60 54% 0.90    
 
SA-7   03/16/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 3 ALL PT- 7:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHASING RAIN Feb18         (hanson ryan)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 20.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of DESERT ROSE DRIVE by A.P. INDY)
2  BARTHOLDY Feb03 Nov10 Sep30     (callaghan)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 4.00 28% 2.60    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BLAZEN BETSY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
3  AMERICAN GLORY (GB) Feb18         (powell leon)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 3.00    
  (by ZARAK out of ZEGNA by SHIROCCO)
4  NITTI (IRE) Feb18         (powell leonar)FRESU ANTONIO 121 15.00    
  (by MAKE BELIEVE out of BABY LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
5  INDISPENSABLE (ARG) Jan28 Jan01 Nov10 Oct07 Aug25 (sadler w)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.00 8% 11.60    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of HIGH PERFORMER by CANDY RIDE)
6  LET SEAMUS GO Feb18 Dec29 Dec03 Nov02   (koriner br)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by JUSTIFY out of LET YOURSELF GO by WAR FRONT)
7  SKETCHY Feb18 Jan06 Nov23 Nov02   (ellis ronald )PEREIRA TIAGO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of RELAXING GREEN by FORMAL GOLD)
8  SHOT OF COURAGE Jan21 Dec29 Nov12     (papaprodromo)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 6.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of TEQUILA SUNRISE by LEMON DROP KID)
 
SA-8   03/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC12 FAST San Carlos Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE CHOSEN VRON Jan13 Nov18 Nov04 Jul29 May28 (krulja)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 0.60 34% 1.90    
  (by VRONSKY out of TIZ MOLLY by TIZ WONDERFUL)
2  ELWOOD BLUES Feb18 Jan07 Dec09 Jun18 Oct09 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 19% 4.20    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BLINGISMYTHING by ARCH)
3  I'M A GAMBLER (IRE) Jan28 Dec30 Oct29 Sep30 Sep02 (glatt mar)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 8.00    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of WE ARE NINETY by THEWAYYOUARE)
4  GHOST OF MIDNIGHT Jan26 Dec31 Dec02 Nov03 Oct08 (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 120 4.00 20% 4.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of MIDNIGHT BELLE by BERNARDINI)
6  MCLAREN VALE Dec31 Nov24 Jul30 Jun04 Mar19 (sadler w)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of MAGICAL WEEKEND by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
7  SUPER CHIEF Jan27 Jan07 Nov17 Oct14 Sep10 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 120 30.00    
  (by AWESOME AGAIN out of ADDAGIRLADDY by DONERAILE COURT)
SCR  SEE THROUGH IT Feb10 Jan19 Dec02 Oct20 Sep22 ( )TBA null      
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of CRYSTAL HOUSE by CHESTER HOUSE)
 
SA-9   03/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($38K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TELOS Aug24 Aug12 Mar11 Jan21 Nov25 (kitchingman a)VALDIVIA JR 124 8.00    
2  ST IGNACIO Feb25 Jan07 Nov24 Nov10 Oct14 (hess b)MALDONADO E 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  GOLD COUNCIL Feb15 Jan19 Nov18 Nov06   (mulhall kristin)FREY KYLE 124 20.00    
4  CIRCLEOFCHAMPIONS May07 Mar19 Jan27 Nov27 Nov06 (gaines carla)FRESU ANTONIO 124 10.00    
5  CARIBBEAN KING Feb17 Jan20 Dec29 Nov26 Nov05 (knapp )BERRIOS ISAAC 124 3.00 61% 0.60    
6  MY RANSOM Nov05 Oct27 Sep08 Aug13 Jul30 (sierra ja)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 50.00    
7  LAHAINA FLAVOR Feb15 Jan06 Dec03 Nov05 Oct08 (gallagher p)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 4.00 ★    
8  ARROGATES SPIRIT Feb23 Nov27 Oct29 Sep22   (knapp steve)ESPINOZA V 124 6.00    
9  PRECISION STRIKE Feb17 Feb11 Dec17 Nov05 Sep04 (o'neill d)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 6.00 ★    
10  SMOOTH SALUTE Feb15 Jan20 Dec29 Nov10 Oct14 (mar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 5.00 14% 6.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.