Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Saturday - January 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (1/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/5)-(1/4/6/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/5)-(1/4/6/5/8)-(1/4/6/5/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (1/4/6/5)-(1/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6/5)-(1/3)-(2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
SA-2   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(2/3)-(4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SA-3   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (2/3)-(4/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(4/1/2)-(10/11/2/3/4) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
SA-4   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/5/2)-(4/1/5/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(10/11/2/3/4) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(10/11/2/3/4)-(4/2) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
SA-5   WIN (10/11/2/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/11/2/3/4)-(10/11/2/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/11/2/3/4)-(10/11/2/3/4)-(10/11/2/3/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (10/11/2/3/4)-(4/2) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/11/2/3/4)-(4/2)-(2/8/3) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
SA-6   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (4/2)-(2/8/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(2/8/3)-(3/4/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SA-7   WIN (2/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/3)-(2/8/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/8/3)-(2/8/4/3)-(2/8/4/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (2/8/3)-(3/4/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/8/3)-(3/4/1)-(2/12/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-8   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(2/12/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
SA-9   WIN (2/12/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/12/4/7)-(2/12/4/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/12/4/7)-(2/12/4/7/8)-(2/12/4/7/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   01/06/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 45 M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JESSEBEAR Nov25 Oct15 Sep08 Aug06 Aug26 (ordonez agg)HERRERA A 124 2.00 35% 1.90    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of CAGEY GIRL by CROWD PLEASER)
BOUGIE LIKE Nov23         (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 124 8.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of MILES RULES by TRIBAL RULE)
BLONDZILLA Oct28 Feb19       (valenzuela)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 15.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of FLEET CAROLINE by TEJANO RUN)
ASHLEYS SANDCASTLE Nov25 Oct15 Jul27 Jun04 Mar26 (damato phi)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.60 22% 3.50    
  (by WEST COAST out of SANDI'S READY by MORE THAN READY)
RYDER'S CANDY Dec16 Oct15 Sep22 Jul23 Jul02 (saavedra anthony )FREY KYLE 124 6.00 8% 11.90    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of HELLUVA HOOLEY by TOUCH GOLD)
CANDY ON TOP Nov25 Oct15 Sep08 Aug18 Jul27 (gaines carla)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 6.00 14% 5.90    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CANDY CAUSEWAY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
ROUND IN CIRCLES Nov17 Oct15 Sep22 Jul09 Jun25 (ivory john )ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 119 20.00    
  (by CIRCUMFERENCE out of NUBIAN PRINCESS by JUMP START)
IN HER PRYME Nov25         (gaines carla)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00    
  (by VRONSKY out of MISS T'S PRYME by TIZBUD)
BETSY IS THE CODE Nov23 Oct15 Jul27 Jun04 May14 (alvarez e)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 20.00    
  (by DESERT CODE out of CALL BETSY by FLAT OUT)
 
SA-2   01/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($38K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAN CHILD Nov03 Jan29 Dec21 Oct08 Sep25 (hanson ryan)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
EL REY DORADO Dec08 Nov26 Sep03 Jul28 Jun17 (ruis sr)FREY KYLE 124 5.00    
CALIFORNIA TIGER Nov26 Oct09 Sep03 Aug06 May28 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 2.00 27% 2.80    
TOLEDO ROCKET Dec15         (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 124 15.00    
SCR  LONESOME STEW Dec15 Nov10 Oct09 Jan07 Sep01 (glatt mark)BAZE C 124 1.20    
 
SA-3   01/06/2024 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($69K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRETS TOLD Nov11 Oct22 Oct07 Aug12 Jul28 (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 122 8.00    
KITTY KITANA (GB) Oct15 Aug26 Jun18 Apr22 Mar04 (damato phi)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.20 43% 1.30    
CARMEN MIRANDA Nov12 Oct06 Aug12 Apr29 Mar04 (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.80 23% 3.40    
SHE'S GOT A WAY Nov11 Aug25 Jun02 May07 Mar18 (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 122 2.50    
BELLA D Nov12 Oct06 Aug26 Aug05 Jan07 (gai)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 12.00    
 
SA-4   01/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIAMINA Jul01 May20 Apr29     (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of MY FIONA by GHOSTZAPPER)
R MARILYN LONHRO         (dunham daniel)FREY KYLE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GRAYDAR out of HOLLADAY VISIT by LONHRO (AUS))
WAILEA SUNSET Oct20 Sep30       (kruljac ian)MALDONADO E 122 3.50    
  (by MR. BIG out of BESIDE STILL WATER by LEMON DROP KID)
SAFA Dec01 Oct29 Sep10 Aug12 Jul21 (stute gary)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 1.60 58% 0.70    
  (by GRAZEN out of HADARRA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
CHASING KAT         (powell leonard)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00    
  (by GATO DEL ORO out of VEGAS STRONG BABY by UNION RAGS)
LOVME LIKEAFOOL Dec10 Nov19 Sep17 Aug04 Jun09 (alva)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 15.00    
  (by SMOKEM out of LOV FOOL by BUSHWACKER)
EASTER COMING BACK Dec16 Dec01 Sep10     (alvarez e)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 30.00    
  (by SMOKEM out of EASTER FEVER by STORMIN FEVER)
 
SA-5   01/06/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 3 ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONEY MAKES MONEY Nov23         (glatt mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 4.00 12% 7.50    
  (by KANTHAROS out of I DARE U EM by LUNARPAL)
EL REY REY Nov12 Oct08       (mullins jeff)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 5.00 5% 18.30    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of CH CH CHERRY BOMB by NOT FOR LOVE)
DE' MEDICI Nov25 Oct21       (mccarthy )DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of BANDORA by DIXIELAND BAND)
GOOD AT BEING BAD         (papaprodromo)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 20.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of ESPRIT DE VIE by STREET CRY (IRE))
GAZON (GB)         (sadler w)BAZE C 122 20.00    
  (by LAND FORCE out of COIN A PHRASE by DUBAWI)
UNCHARTED Nov03 Oct08 Aug24     (hanson rya)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of LIVE YOUNG by SMART STRIKE)
SKETCHY Nov23 Nov02       (ellis ronald )FRESU ANTONIO 122 20.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of RELAXING GREEN by FORMAL GOLD)
NESSO'S LASTHARRAH Dec03 Oct29 Sep24 Aug10 Jul08 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 6.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of NESSO by ROMAN RULER)
10  ISLAND CRUISER Nov02         (sadler w)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 36% 1.80    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of SPECIAL CODE by COUNT THE TIME)
11  E J WON THE CUP Nov23 Nov11 Oct21 Sep09 Aug11 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of FIRSTHAND REPORT by BLAME)
SCR  MC VAY Sep02         ( )TBA null      
  (by CONSTITUTION out of DOTHRAKI SEA by UNION RAGS)
SCR  SILENT REASON         ( )TBA null      
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of SWEET ROSE by HAT TRICK (JPN))
 
SA-6   01/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($69K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEWGATE Feb04 Jan08 Nov20 Oct08 Sep11 (baffert b)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 4.00    
SIR ATTICUS Nov17 Sep30 Aug26 Jul21 Jun18 (shirreffs john)SMITH E 122 2.50 18% 4.40    
MOR TEQUILA Nov23 Oct09 Jul03 May20 Apr23 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
BIG CITY LIGHTS Nov18 Jan07 Nov19 Sep17 Aug05 (mandella richa)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  GINOBILI Feb18 Jan14 Nov20     (miller peter)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.00    
ESCAPE ROUTE Dec10 Oct09 Aug26 Jul22 Jun16 (glatt mark)HERRERA A 122 8.00    
 
SA-7   01/06/2024 4290ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($67K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUNAR IMPACT (GB) Nov04 Oct01 Sep02 Jul23 Mar18 (blacker d)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 4.00    
CAST MEMBER Jan07 Dec11 Oct29 Sep03   (yakteen tim)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50 55% 0.80    
BOSS BRIDE Jan28 Jan07 Nov29 Nov04 Sep05 (hanson ryan)BAZE C 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
MISS LIZZY Nov25 Oct22 Oct07 Sep09 Aug11 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 122 5.00    
SCR  IRRESISTIBLE FORCE Jun11 May21 Apr30 Mar31 Mar05 (neh)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 8.00    
ARINNITI (FR)         (mandel)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 5.00    
TICKLE MY FANCY Dec17 Nov12 Oct07 Aug25 Aug05 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 5.00    
DIAMONDS DANZING Dec15 Nov02 Oct08 Sep24 Sep08 (campuzano lorenzo)SMITH E 124 6.00 19% 4.20    
REAL FIRE Dec01 Nov04 Oct07 Aug25 Jul04 (knapp steve)ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00    
 
SA-8   01/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC13 FAST San Vicente Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 6:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONLIT SONATA Nov25         (yak)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 6.00 9% 10.60    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of DISTORTED CHAMP by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SLIDER Nov03 Oct07 Sep09 Jul29   (sadler w)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of DAYS LIKE THIS by CONGRATS)
MUTH Nov03 Oct07 Aug13 Jun18   (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 124 0.80 57% 0.80    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of HOPPA by UNCLE MO)
PILOT COMMANDER Nov11         (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 9% 9.60    
  (by JUSTIFY out of REBUKE by CARSON CITY)
FORMIDABLE MAN Oct08 Sep10       (mccarthy mic)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 20.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of FANTICOLA by SILENT NAME)
BOLTAGE Oct08 Sep10 Aug24 Jul23   (mandella richard )SMITH E 120 12.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ULTIMATE PRIZE by WALTER WILLY (IRE))
 
SA-9   01/06/2024 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($67K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAHAINA FLAVOR Dec03 Nov05 Oct08 Sep10 Aug19 (gallagher pat)VALDIVIA JR 122 30.00    
LEGISLATOR Dec03 Nov05 Oct14 Sep04 Aug13 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 122 3.50 49% 1.00    
MARKS HIP Nov18 Oct14 Aug27 Aug10 Jun11 (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 122 20.00    
SINGLE TRACK MIND (IRE) Nov24 Oct15 Aug31 Jul27 Jun09 (gutierrez jorge)SMITH E 122 15.00 9% 9.50    
IRISH PROPHET Dec03 Nov05 Apr08 Jan27 Nov19 (drysdale n)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
SCR  PERCOLATE (IRE) Nov02 Jan21 Nov26 Nov11 Sep30 (mccarthy mic)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 8.00    
MALTESE FALCON (IRE) Dec03 Nov04 Oct08 Sep03 Aug06 (powell leonard)ROSARIO JOEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
RECKLESS SPIRIT Nov05 Oct08 Jun03 May07 Feb11 (damato ph)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 6.00    
ONE OF THESE DAYS (IRE) Nov26 Jan21       (dam)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 12.00    
10  HULA CANDY Dec03 Oct14 Aug19 Jul29 Jun18 (shirre)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 10.00    
11  TESORO Nov23 Oct28 Sep30 Jul21 Jul09 (jauregui o )HERRERA A 124 8.00    
12  SBAGLIATO Feb11 Dec10       (thomas jonatha)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 17% 4.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.