Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Los Alamitos Qh
Saturday - November 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LA-2   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(5/3/7)-(9/1/8/10/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
LA-3   WIN (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/7)-(5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LA-4   WIN (9/1/8/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/8/10/6)-(9/1/8/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/8/10/6)-(9/1/8/10/6)-(9/1/8/10/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LA-2   11/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET OF WAR Oct22 Sep23 Jul15 Jul01 May13 (uranga je)RAMIREZ S 123 8.00 25% 3.00    
2  AFTER SUNDOWN Oct29 Oct07 Oct22 Oct10 Aug27 (perez santo)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 116 20.00    
3  TROUBLE N PARADISE Aug10 Aug04 Jul08     (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 123 1.00 32% 2.10    
4  FLAG SALUTE Sep16 Sep03 Jul02 Jun23 Jul08 (vallejo)ALCALA ROSARIO 123 6.00    
5  CARELESS STAR Sep16 Aug24 Jul28 May07 Apr09 (cunn)ORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO 125 3.00    
6  FLASHY PASS Oct14 Oct01 Sep03 Jul02 Jan07 (aquino angel)VALENZUELA R 123 6.00 9% 9.60    
7  MO CONNELLY Oct14 Sep17 Sep03 Aug18 Aug05 (aquino ang)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 123 10.00    
 
LA-3   11/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOUD FUSAICHI Oct14 Sep17 Sep03 May13 Jan08 (farias )LOPEZ REYNOSO 120 6.00    
2  B D R DRAGSTER Oct07 Sep23 Jul22 Apr30 Sep17 (nunez j)ALCALA ROSARIO 123 20.00    
3  EPIC DRAMA Oct29 Oct09 Sep23 Aug06 Jul02 (uranga je)RAMIREZ S 125 2.50 18% 4.60    
4  NAUGHTY CHILD Oct07 Sep17 Jul22 Jun25   (nunez jesus)VALENZUELA R 123 8.00    
5  RESTLESS RAMBLER Sep17 Aug27 Jul01 May13 Apr29 (hedia oscar)GARCIA ERICK 123 1.80 41% 1.40    
6  ELUSIVE VIRTUE Oct15 Sep23 Aug19 Aug06 Jul02 (nara)ORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO 123 4.50    
7  MILEYS BLUECAT Oct08 Aug25 Aug13 Jul16 Jul01 (hedia osca)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 123 5.00 18% 4.60    
 
LA-4   11/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRIENDLY SHUFFLE Sep17 Jun24 May07 Apr09 Mar14 (uranga j)MATIAS J 117 6.00 6% 16.20    
2  STORMY JOE Oct02 Sep16 Feb24 Feb05 Jan22 (treece charles)GARCIA ERICK 120 3.50    
3  OMAHA RUTSCH Oct22 Sep24 Sep17 Sep02 Aug12 (de jesu)CAMACHO JESUS 123 15.00    
4  SMUGGLER'S COVE Sep10 Aug19 Jul22 Jun16 May21 (aquino angel)VALENZUELA R 120 15.00    
5  MISSING MAURICE Oct15 Sep24 Sep02 Aug05 Jul15 (aquino )LOPEZ REYNOSO 123 20.00    
6  MONGOLIAN MASTER Sep24 Jul09       (lucas robert )PAYERAS EDGAR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  NOT GONNA LAST Sep17 Sep02 Aug12 Jul16 Apr16 (rivera sall)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 116 6.00    
8  POLLO D'ORO Oct22 Jul15 Jul04 Apr16 Mar12 (morfin sergio)HARVEY B 123 4.00 6% 16.40    
9  MACHO SAM Sep02 Aug12 Jul16 Jun18 May14 (nunez jesu)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 123 2.50 63% 0.60    
10  WEGOTBEERONICE Oct09 Sep25 Sep16 Aug27 Aug11 (baze)ORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.