Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Sunday - September 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-4   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/2)-(6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(6/2)-(1/2/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRM-5   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/2)-(1/2/7/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(1/2/7/8)-(5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRM-6   WIN (1/2/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/8)-(1/2/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/8)-(1/2/7/8)-(1/2/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/7/8)-(5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7/8)-(5/3)-(4/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRM-7   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(4/3/5)-(5/6/4/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRM-8   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(5/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRM-9   WIN (5/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/1)-(5/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/1)-(5/6/4/1)-(5/6/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-4   09/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.511K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST JOHNNY Sep16 Aug21 Aug04 Jul16 Jun16 (chleborad lynn)ZIMMERMAN R 122 10.00    
2  ALLEN'S ROCKET Sep16 Aug21 Aug04 Jul16 Jun11 (chleborad lynn)ROMAN KEVIN 122 4.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  SWAMPDRAINER Sep03 Aug10 Jul30 Jul10 Jun16 (pearson paul )EDWARDS JAVIS 119 6.00    
4  ESPE'S GUY Sep09 Jul22 Jul03 Jun25 Jun05 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 120 3.00    
5  JOHN R Sep09 Aug21 Aug04 Jul02 Jun16 (hemba brad)WELLINGTON KYLIE 117 2.50    
6  TEMPLE CITY RUN Sep09 Aug26 Aug18 Aug07 Jul15 (guillory )DE CRUZ 118 1.80 51% 1.00    
 
PRM-5   09/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17.821K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKYLAR'S FIRE Aug13         (martin willia)EDWARDS JAVIS 113 5.00    
2  UNGLUED Sep15 Aug27 Aug09 Jul23 Jun25 (clay pat)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 8.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  SMACKIN GOOD TIME Aug26 Aug11 Jul24 Jun25 Sep29 (schutz pa)DE CRUZ 118 10.00    
4  LAZY N LUCKY Sep15 Sep08 Aug11 Jul14 Jun25 (mcshane davi)SALAZAR TERESA 113 2.50    
5  KAMEA Sep15 Aug20 Aug11 Jul16 Jun30 (chleborad lynn)ZIMMERMAN R 118 3.00    
6  CAN'T MAKE ME Sep15 Sep02 Aug13 Jul30 Jul16 (mcshane d)ROMAN KEVIN 124 1.60 42% 1.40    
 
PRM-6   09/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR RON Sep16 Aug25 Jul17 Jun23 May21 (arnett jo)DE CRUZ 120 3.50 38% 1.70    
2  CHICAGO CHROME Sep16 Sep03 Aug21 Jul15 Jun25 (rufino eusebio )CORBETT W 123 3.00 19% 4.30    
3  ROCK CITY ROCKET Sep15 Sep02 Aug21 Jul15 May28 (martin timothy )ZIMMERMAN R 123 4.00    
4  TAKE ME UP BRADY Sep17 Aug13 Aug02 Jul10 Jun03 (pearson paul )EDWARDS JAVIS 115 15.00    
5  LANGUAGE BARRIER Sep15 Sep03 Aug13 Jul26 Jul01 (sayre )FLETCHER D 121 12.00    
6  CAPTAIN DON Sep02 Aug27 Jul29 Jul03 Jun18 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 5.00    
7  DISCREET INVASION Sep17 Aug26 Aug14 Jul17 Jun26 (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00 9% 10.10    
8  NASTY EXAGGERATOR Sep10 Aug12 Jul17 Jun17 May28 (rufino euseb)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 12.00 7% 12.80    
9  RICKEY B Sep08 Aug28 Aug11 Jul23 Jun12 (donlin lar)WELLINGTON KYLIE 118 10.00    
 
PRM-7   09/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BOSS BEN Sep08 Aug06 Jul09 Jun16 May30 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 4.00    
2  FRANKLY EPIC Sep11 Aug19 Jul30 Jul09 Jun30 (mcshane d)CORBETT W 120 3.50    
3  MYSTERY MAN Aug28 Jun11 Apr22 Mar09 Feb20 (martin timothy )ZIMMERMAN R 121 8.00 12% 7.20    
4  MONTEREY PENINSULA Sep08 Aug21 Jul29 Jul23 Jun23 (martinez )DE CRUZ 121 6.00    
5  HUNKA BURNING LOVE Aug28 Aug20 Jul23 Jul02 Jun16 (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 121 2.50 51% 1.00    
SCR  MILTON STREET Sep08 Aug26 Aug11 Aug04 Jul10 (rufino euseb)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 10.00    
SCR  COLONEL KLINK Jul22 Jul09 Jul03 Jun19 Jun11 (hemba brad)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 3.00    
 
PRM-8   09/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J PS HARLEY GLIDER Sep08 May14 Apr22 Apr08 Apr01 (condon schuyler)ZIMMERMAN R 120 8.00    
2  CONSTITUTION DAY Aug28 Aug13 Jul15 Jul03 Jun03 (condon sc)DE CRUZ 120 6.00    
3  HUSKER BUTCH Sep03 Aug06 Jul22 Jun23 Jun02 (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 1.80 21% 3.70    
4  WHISTLER Sep02 Jul29       (williams matt)CORBETT W 123 3.00 48% 1.10    
5  IRISH DAWN Sep02 Aug16 Jul23 Jul13 Sep14 (wolff perry)WOLFF S 123 5.00 6% 15.80    
6  LEA ME BE Sep08 Aug11 Jul22 Jun10 May29 (ashford tristan)ROMAN KEVIN 120 2.50    
 
PRM-9   09/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17.821K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST SENTENCE Sep16 Sep01       (martin wi)DE CRUZ 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  MR SNERDLY Sep09         (pearson paul )EDWARDS JAVIS 119 20.00    
3  SPIRITED DREAM Sep16 May28 May13     (donlin)FLETCHER D 121 20.00    
4  NINETEEN HUNDRED Sep03 Aug06 Jun25 Sep30 Sep19 (guillory henry )ZIMMERMAN R 121 15.00 13% 6.90    
5  LETS ROCK N STROLL Sep09 Sep03 Aug06 Jul17 Jun17 (dieter dalton)ROMAN KEVIN 121 3.00 33% 2.00    
6  DARK BARON Sep01 Sep03 Aug22 Aug06   (anderson l)CORBETT W 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
7  BABYS TIME TO SING Sep16 Aug27 Jul15 Jun26 Jun05 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 121 6.00    
8  DEER RUN Sep16 Aug27 Aug12     (wellington)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 4.00    
9  QUARTERNIGHT Sep16 Aug21 Aug12 Jul29 Jun25 (fett brandi)SALAZAR TERESA 116 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.