Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Los Alamitos Tb
Saturday - September 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRC-1   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(4/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(4/3/6)-(2/5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
LRC-2   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(2/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(2/5/1)-(2/12/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
LRC-3   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(2/12/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(2/12/3/4)-(3/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
LRC-4   WIN (2/12/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/12/3/4)-(2/12/3/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/12/3/4)-(2/12/3/9/4)-(2/12/3/9/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (2/12/3/4)-(3/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/12/3/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
LRC-5   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(3/6)-(2/3/7/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
LRC-6   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (3/6)-(2/3/7/5) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(2/3/7/5)-(7/4/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
LRC-7   WIN (2/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/5)-(2/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/5)-(2/3/7/5)-(2/3/7/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/7/5)-(7/4/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7/5)-(7/4/3)-(6/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
LRC-8   WIN (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/3)-(7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (7/4/3)-(6/4/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
LRC-9   WIN (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/7)-(6/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/7)-(6/4/7)-(6/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRC-1   09/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A BROKEN BREEZE Apr22 Feb10 Jan15 Dec16 Oct16 (harris andrew)VAZQUEZ A 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
2  BANDEENA Aug27 Jul29 Jun24 Jun02 May14 (miyadi steven)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 5.00    
SCR  JACRODRA'S DEVIL Sep16 Sep01 Aug10 Jul29 Jul08 (morfin sergio)ORTEGA CESAR 124 4.00    
SCR  SHVERE ARBETER Sep01 Aug24 Jul30 Jul08 May19 (campuzano lo)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 124 8.00    
5  PENS STREET Sep01 Aug10 Jul29 Jun16 Apr23 (sanchez ama)HERRERA A 124 1.80 40% 1.50    
6  THE REIGN SONG Aug24 Jul28 Jul04 May29 Apr21 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 6.00    
 
LRC-2   09/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LASTING LOVE Sep15 Sep03 Apr23 Mar09 Jan22 (naranjo salva)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 3.00    
2  TIP TOP GAL Aug11 Jul30 Jun17 May07 Apr02 (miller b)FREY KYLE 124 8.00    
3  KEYCHAIN GIRL Aug25 Aug05 Aug14 Jul22   (craigmyle k)HERRERA A 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
4  CRIMSON ROSE Aug27 Jul30 Jun17 May21 Mar25 (belvoir vann)TORREALBA JG 117 2.00 51% 1.00    
5  BENGAL TIGER Aug06 Jul01 Apr05 Mar01 Jan30 (farias ad)RAMIREZ S 124 5.00    
6  SUGAR SUGAR Sep17 Aug19 Jul29 Jun24 Jun11 (morfin sergio)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 6.00 8% 11.80    
 
LRC-3   09/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OIL CAN KNIGHT Sep09 Aug18 Feb11 Dec18 Dec09 (naranjo salva)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 6.00 14% 6.10    
2  PATRON D'ORO Sep09 Aug04 Jul03 Jul22 Jun19 (alvarado ru)HERRERA A 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
3  MOLTO VIVACE Aug27 Aug06 Jul04 Sep18 Jul31 (cunningham br)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 12.00    
4  ALPINE THUNDER Aug27 Jul09 Jul02 May27 Jan07 (her)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 4.50    
5  ESTABLISHED Aug19 Jul30 Jul04 Jun02 May12 (o'neill doug)VAZQUEZ A 124 1.60 23% 3.30    
6  PACO'S PICO Sep09 Aug26 Apr01 Feb11 Jan21 (sadler w)TORREALBA JG 117 6.00    
 
LRC-4   09/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REEF CITY Sep04 Jul27 Jul03 Jun02 Apr22 (bonde jeff)TORREALBA JG 113 10.00    
2  KING ZOG Jan07 Nov25 Nov04 Oct15 Sep18 (miyadi steven)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 4.00 58% 0.70    
3  BARTON STRONG         (dry)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 12.00 8% 11.10    
4  EAGLES LANDING Sep04 Aug18 Jul01 Aug26 Jul31 (brinkerhoff val)FREY KYLE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  SOUTH COAST ROUTE Sep04 Aug26 Oct23 Sep17 Aug18 (alvarado ruben )VAZQUEZ A 120 3.00    
6  CRYPTOHOLIC Sep01 Jul30 Jun04 Apr23 Mar09 (mullins jeff)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 120 6.00    
7  I GOT A GUY Sep04         (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 120 20.00    
8  HABEAS Aug18 Jul30 Jun04 Apr29 Mar26 (craigmyle k)HERRERA A 120 4.50    
9  MT. ZEROR Aug06 Jul01 Apr28     (hanson ryan)CEDILLO ABEL 120 4.00 ★    
10  NYQUILER Sep04 May20       (saavedra anth)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 30.00    
SCR  MANDELA EFFECT Sep04 May05       (bratcher )RAMIREZ S 120 50.00    
12  REAL THIRSTY         (aquino )LOPEZ REYNOSO 120 20.00 10% 9.20    
13  SEA BREEZE BOY Sep04         (eurton peter)CEDILLO ABEL 120 15.00    
 
LRC-5   09/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AFTERNOON HEAT Sep04 Aug06 Jul03 Apr21 Apr01 (treece charles)GARCIA ERICK 124 10.00    
2  ELUSIVE VIRTUE Aug19 Aug06 Jul02 May27 May13 (naranjo salvad)ORTEGA CESAR 124 20.00    
3  HIGH PRESS Aug06 Jul02 Jun03 Apr29 Apr08 (valenzuela mart)VAZQUEZ A 124 2.50 49% 1.10    
4  NEWPARK (IRE) Jul22 Jul02 May13 Apr28 Mar20 (craigmyle k)HERRERA A 124 2.50 10% 8.80    
5  WHISKY MY GOD (ARG) Jul04 Jun23 Sep22 Jul09 Mar12 (rivera sa)RAMIREZ S 124 3.50    
6  PERFECT D Sep15 Jul04 Dec09 Sep22 Feb18 (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 2.00 12% 7.30    
 
LRC-6   09/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HENNYS CRAZY TRAIN Sep03 Aug03 Jul02 Jun02 May13 (sadler w)TORREALBA JG 117 8.00    
2  SHE'S A BIT SASSY Sep03 Aug04 Jul01 Jun10 Feb26 (mullins jeff)VAZQUEZ A 124 4.00    
3  SIGNORA MINISTER Aug24 Jul28 Jun24 Jun09 May12 (alv)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 2.50 62% 0.60    
4  WHISTLER'S STYLE Jul29 May14 Apr02 Mar18 Feb18 (cerin vladim)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 124 3.50    
SCR  TIZZY TWISTER Aug03 Jul01 Jun10 May05 Mar25 (valdez r)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 3.50    
6  INDY'S STAR Sep15 Aug24 Jul04 Jun23 Jun02 (powell leon)HERRERA A 124 4.00 9% 9.90    
 
LRC-7   09/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL THE KING'S MEN Sep10 Sep02 Aug11 Jul22 Jun24 (belvoir vann)TORREALBA JG 113 12.00    
2  CATHEDRAL LIGHT Sep03 Aug12 Jun23 Dec16 Nov18 (valenzuela mart)VAZQUEZ A 120 5.00 37% 1.70    
3  WARRENS WORLD Apr09 Mar27 Jan21 Dec10 Oct30 (lewis a)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 4.00 15% 5.50    
4  PAPA TIGER Sep09 Jul27 Apr23 Mar19 Mar11 (kitchingman a)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 10.00    
5  NEW YORK DREAMS (GB) Sep03 Aug10 Jun04 May13 Apr29 (knapp steve)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 3.00 12% 7.50    
6  TRUSTY RUSTY Sep09 Aug10 Jun16 May26 May05 (deleon raf)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 120 12.00    
7  GOLF DRAMA Aug11 Jul09 Jun11 Apr30 Oct29 (bonde jeff)FREY KYLE 120 4.00 13% 6.50    
8  IMPERIAL HORNET Sep09 Aug03 Jun17 May07   (powell leon)HERRERA A 120 5.00    
9  MENTIROSA Sep16 Aug25 Aug13 Jan21 Dec10 (periban j)RAMIREZ S 120 12.00    
 
LRC-8   09/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GYPSY TEARS Sep10 Aug13 Aug05 Jun24 May28 (brinkerhoff val)FREY KYLE 124 15.00    
2  NOLONGERAHOBBY Sep15 Mar17 Jan20 Jan07 Dec18 (nunez jes)RAMIREZ S 122 20.00    
3  SO I'M TOLD Sep15 Jun02 May07 Apr09 Mar17 (valenzuela ma)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 4.00 15% 5.80    
4  RACHEL'S COACH Aug27 Aug10 Apr07 Mar12 Feb11 (kitchingman ad)CEDILLO ABEL 118 5.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  TOM HORN Aug27 Jul27 Jul01 Jun02 May07 (miyadi steven)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 1.60    
6  SAULS CALL Aug11 Jul21 Jun11 Apr22 Feb25 (nunez jesus)VAZQUEZ A 122 5.00    
7  RIFEY Jul30 Jul21 Jun23 May15 Apr16 (stu)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 3.00 41% 1.50    
 
LRC-9   09/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Dark Mirage Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANGEL NADESHIKO Aug05 Jun18 May20 Feb04 Jan15 (gallagher pat)VALDIVIA JR 124 20.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of CIANCHETTA by ARCH)
2  TROUVILLE Aug31 Aug06 Jul02 May14 Mar18 (powell leonar)FRESU ANTONIO 124 5.00    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of NIGHT DRIVE by BERNARDINI)
3  GILA Sep01 May12 Apr08 Mar12 Jan22 (hes)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 10.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of BASHOOSHA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  YUKI (CHI) Sep04 Aug05 Jul01     (sanche)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
  (by THE LUMBER GUY out of DONA MILLY by DISTORTED ECONOMY)
5  SMOOTHLIKEBUTTAH Sep04 Aug05 Jun24 Jun10 Apr29 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 12.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of EIGHT DAUGHTERS by FIVE STAR DAY)
6  GANADORA Aug12 Mar31 Mar11 Jan15 Dec26 (baffert bob)VAZQUEZ A 124 1.20 42% 1.40    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of BELOVEDA by GHOSTZAPPER)
7  CHISMOSA Aug25 Jul27 Jul04 May28 May06 (deleon rafael)PAYERAS EDGAR 118 5.00 8% 11.50    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of YOU CAN DREAM by CAT DREAMS)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.