Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Gulfstream Park
Saturday - September 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GP-1   WIN (4/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/8)-(4/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/8)-(4/3/8)-(4/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/8)-(4/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-2   WIN (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/7)-(4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/7)-(3/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-3   WIN (3/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/8)-(3/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/8)-(3/2/8)-(3/2/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/8)-(3/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-4   WIN (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/7)-(3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/7)-(1/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-5   WIN (1/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/8)-(1/5/10/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/8)-(1/5/10/6/8)-(1/5/10/6/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/5/8)-(3/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-6   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/4/2)-(3/5/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(3/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-7   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(1/8/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-8   WIN (1/8/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/5/6)-(1/8/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/5/6)-(1/8/5/6)-(1/8/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/5/6)-(1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-9   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(4/7/12/2/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
GP-10   WIN (4/7/12/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/12/2/5)-(4/7/12/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/12/2/5)-(4/7/12/2/5)-(4/7/12/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GP-1   09/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21K) 2 ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DR BAYTER Aug12         (barboza victor )JARAMILLO E 118 3.00    
2  FLIGHT CATCHER Aug06 Jul16       (de cerda)PEREZ EDGAR 118 4.00    
3  PEYTON'S DAY         (rodriguez ang)MORALES ANGEL 113 15.00 10% 8.60    
4  MY GREAT ILLUSION Aug25 Aug06       (barboz)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 2.50 43% 1.40    
5  DECISIVE WARRIOR         (sierra ruben)MORELOS E 118 8.00    
6  AWESOME FRIEND Aug13         (nicks)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 6.00    
SCR  TENTH MOUNTAIN         (o'dwyer jere)MENESES MARCOS 118 10.00    
8  DREAM BELIEVER         (david a)LEON SONNY 118 8.00 10% 8.60    
 
GP-2   09/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEPPER Jul14 Jun11 May20 Apr16 Apr07 (barboza victo)MORALES ANGEL 119 3.00    
2  AMBUSHED Aug26 Aug06 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 (maragh a)PANICI LUCA 124 6.00    
3  SUPER SPREADER Aug19 Jul07 Feb09 Jan12 Dec03 (hurtak danie)MENESES MARCOS 120 4.00    
4  EMBER Jul23 May14 Apr21 Mar26 Mar05 (d'angelo jos)ZAYAS J 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
5  CAPTURETHELAUGHTER Aug27 Aug12 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 (yanez)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 8.00 26% 2.90    
6  HOLIDAY FANTASY Aug19 Jul30 Jul07 Apr21 Feb26 (o'connell kathl)PEREZ EDGAR 120 6.00    
7  BLUTO'S CANDY Aug26 Aug06 Jul15 Jun03 May13 (hurtak danie)GONZALEZ EDWIN 124 4.50 10% 8.90    
 
GP-3   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NORTH CAROLINA Aug26 Aug06 Jul14 Jun30 Jun11 (guciardo kathy)LEON SONNY 123 4.50    
2  SHARP AZ NAILS Aug30 Jul30 Jul16 Jun25 May28 (winebaugh che)HERNANDEZ K 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  NO MORE DEBT Aug04 Jul08 Jun10     (o'connell kathl)PANICI LUCA 120 2.50 63% 0.60    
4  GRAND ROCK Aug25 Jul08 Jun16 May14 Jan12 (barboz)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 2.00    
5  ACTION DREAM Jun30 Jun11 May26 Apr22 Mar29 (dobber arnou)MENESES MARCOS 123 6.00    
6  DUKE SKYWALKER Jul14 Jun30 May26 Apr29 Mar24 (gonzalez )MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 20.00    
7  BLUE LIEUTENANT Sep02 Aug12 Jul22 Jun24 Jun11 (gonzalez javie)REYES LEONEL 120 20.00    
8  SEBARAY Aug27 Aug12 Jul14 Jun11 May13 (antonucci m)RIVERA JON 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
GP-4   09/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO DELIBERATION Jul09 Jun16 Mar19 Feb08 Dec10 (sweeze)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 6.00 8% 12.30    
SCR  MIDNIGHT GETAWAY Sep02 Aug12 Jul22 Jun09 May13 (d'angelo fr)RIVERA JON 108 4.00    
3  ETERNAL FLAME Aug11 Jul28 Jul01 Jun11 May21 (d'angelo jos)ZAYAS J 122 3.50 66% 0.50    
4  FORT ATTITUDE Aug25 Jul29 Jul08 Jun16 May04 (ochoa ernest)MORELOS E 122 5.00    
5  HARRY'S ONTHEBEACH Aug27 Jul29 Jun16 May21 Apr30 (barboza victor )JARAMILLO E 122 3.00    
6  THE RED MAN Aug11 Jul07 Sep04 Jul16 Jul02 (narvaez ca)PIMENTEL JR 122 4.00    
7  SMOKIN CLOUD Aug11 Jun23 Jun09 Apr30 Apr08 (ritvo p)LEON SONNY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
GP-5   09/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARROGANCY Aug19 Aug05       (dibona robert )REYES LEONEL 118 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of DI MARIA by DATA LINK)
2  ECHO LANE Aug11 Jul15 May19     (lightner mar)ZAYAS J 118 12.00    
  (by TREASURE BEACH out of MISBEHAVIN MISS by MINESHAFT)
3  GO BILLY GO Aug19         (fawkes)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 12.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of HAPPY HONEYMOON by HONOUR AND GLORY)
4  THEMANUPFRONT Aug04         (yates michael)LEON SONNY 118 10.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of THELADYSAIDNO by CONCERTO)
5  EMBRACE THE DREAM         (delgado jorge)JARAMILLO E 118 3.50 24% 3.10    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of TACKAROUS by KANTHAROS)
6  HALON Aug05         (orseno josep)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 8.00 ★    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of AUNT TINSEY by UNCLE MO)
7  NEVER SAY NEVER         (braddy david)PEREZ EDGAR 118 8.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of SUPPORT THE CAUSE by PUT IT BACK)
8  SAYBROOK         (vinson jo)MALDONADO GABRIEL 108 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of SHERRIE BELLE by OUTFLANKER)
9  SABIAN         (cordero enie)MORELOS E 118 20.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of MINE FOR LIFE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
10  SQUINTS         (breen)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 6.00 ★    
  (by KHOZAN out of EPHYRA by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
11  STRATEGY JAK Aug19         (sano antonio)MENESES MARCOS 118 20.00    
  (by NOBLE BIRD out of STRATEGIZE by AFLEET ALEX)
 
GP-6   09/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARBARA Aug20 Aug12 Jul07 Jun10 May26 (campos bernardo)PEREZ EDGAR 119 20.00    
2  STREAKING GREY Aug26 Jul21 Jun17 May05 Mar29 (castro edua)MORALES ANGEL 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  BATTLE CRY Aug18 Jul21 Jun23 May28 Apr23 (barboza vict)GONZALEZ EDWIN 121 1.60 67% 0.50    
4  SWOONATRA Aug12 Jul21 Jun11 May21 May05 (hurtak danie)ZAYAS J 119 4.50 ★    
5  KHOSEA Aug26 Jul09 Jun23 May20 Apr30 (monge)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 8.00 11% 8.30    
6  LADY JAE Jul29 Jun17 May29 Apr29 Mar18 (barboza victor)REYES LEONEL 119 4.00    
7  GRATIA Aug13 Jul15 Jul01 Jun18 May14 (dakin diley )THOMAS ANTHONY 115 30.00    
SCR  DEMOGORGON Aug20 Jul23 Mar24 Mar02 Feb09 (abreu fernando)RIOS M 119 6.00    
9  SANDPIPER MEMORIES Aug20 Aug12 Jul21 Jun11 May11 (mcgoey mon)PIMENTEL JR 119 15.00    
 
GP-7   09/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING SKULL Aug12         (barboza victor )JARAMILLO E 118 2.00 26% 2.90    
  (by COLLECTED out of CROWN CONGRATS by CONGRATS)
2  ROAR READY         (sierra ruben)REYES LEONEL 118 4.50    
  (by DO THE ROAR out of CROWN READY by MORE THAN READY)
3  IMPROPTUDE Aug06         (sano antonio)ZAYAS J 118 2.50 35% 1.90    
  (by KHOZAN out of TIZLOT by TIZNOW)
4  SIMSOUM Aug25         (moubar)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 3.50 18% 4.60    
  (by PALACE out of MRS CINDY'S WALKIN by CACTUS RIDGE)
5  AMARANTO Aug26         (garcia rodol)MENESES MARCOS 118 20.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of LADY BLING by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  MAURICIO         (sano antonio)RIVERA JON 108 20.00    
  (by AWESOME OF COURSE out of GHOST OF ANAPA by SENOR EDUARDO)
7  FULANITO         (d'angelo f)PEREZ EDGAR 118 10.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of GRAY NICOLE by HANSEN)
8  GO GO SANTI         (ochoa ernesto)LEON SONNY 118 20.00    
  (by TREASURE BEACH out of VOILA LA VICTOIRE by DUKE OF MARMALADE)
 
GP-8   09/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST Bear's Den Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMART STRIKER Sep02 Aug12 Jun30 Jun10 May04 (pompay terri)REYES LEONEL 120 5.00 41% 1.40    
  (by CONNECT out of YOU WISH by BODEMEISTER)
2  UNIFIED WEEKEND Jul02 Jun10 May06 Mar25 Mar11 (sano antonio)JARAMILLO E 118 15.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of WEEKEND AWAY by MALIBU MOON)
3  LIGHTNING TONES Aug18 Jul16 Jun24 Jun11 May05 (hurtak danie)MENESES MARCOS 124 6.00    
  (by TONALIST out of ROSESANDLIGHTNING by LIGHTNIN N THUNDER)
SCR  LOCO ABARRIO Aug18 Jul23 Jun24 May28 Apr28 (spatz ronald)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 4.00    
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of BALLYHOO MOON by MALIBU MOON)
5  ROCKIN ROLLER Aug05 Jul08 Jun10 May11 Mar29 (plesa edward)ZAYAS J 122 6.00 12% 7.50    
  (by AMI'S FLATTER out of LADY CARLOTTA by MONTBROOK)
6  MCMONEY Aug30 Aug06 Jul18 Jun18 May28 (winebaugh che)HERNANDEZ K 120 8.00 10% 8.60    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of YULE PARTY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
7  LOVE ME NOT Aug18 Jul15 Jun02 Mar24 Feb04 (ciamei matth)MORELOS E 120 4.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of GOLDEN MUSCADE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  AMSTRONG Aug04 Jul07 Jun10 Apr15 Mar04 (d'ange)VASQUEZ ANGEL 124 3.50 13% 6.50    
  (by TAPWRIT out of ABBREVIATE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
9  FREE SMOKE Aug20 Jul22 Jun17 May14 Apr06 (david a)LEON SONNY 120 20.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of MISS PROPITIOUS by J P'S GUSTO)
 
GP-9   09/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REBELDE Aug12 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 May13 (acker d)MORALES ANGEL 117 2.00 37% 1.70    
2  CROSS HASTE Aug11 Jul14 Jun24 May21 Apr02 (antonucci je)MORELOS E 122 8.00    
3  FIVEFIVE SIX CHAMP Aug26 Jul29 Jul08 Jun10 May20 (dobles)VASQUEZ ANGEL 124 8.00    
4  SONG RUNNER Sep08 Jul14 Jun24 May28 Mar30 (dobber arnou)MENESES MARCOS 122 15.00    
5  POWER HUMOR Aug12 Jun30 May06 Apr09 Feb18 (barboza victor )JARAMILLO E 118 4.00 20% 4.10    
6  KNOX Aug26 Jul23 Jun24 Jun04 Apr08 (alvarado jua)ZAYAS J 120 2.50 13% 6.90    
7  BELTS 'N BROOKS Aug26 Jul29 Jun30 Oct01 Sep18 (nicks ralph )GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 6.00    
 
GP-10   09/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($30.5K) 2 F PT- 5:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEDROCK BIRDIE Jul07         (lightner mar)ZAYAS J 118 15.00    
2  GREAT VENEZUELA         (barboza victor)RIOS M 118 6.00 6% 16.50    
3  SILJIM         (narvaez ca)PIMENTEL JR 118 15.00    
4  GRAND LADY INDY         (barboza victor )JARAMILLO E 118 4.00 42% 1.40    
5  SWEET MISS         (williams )MALDONADO GABRIEL 108 30.00 6% 16.50    
6  QUICK RECOVERY Aug05 Jul14       (dobles)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 20.00    
7  PLATINUM ROCKER         (fawkes david)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 4.50 15% 5.50    
SCR  OYA THUNDER         (de cerda)PEREZ EDGAR 118 10.00    
9  MIGUEL'S BELLE Aug20 Jul23       (david carlos )MORALES ANGEL 113 15.00    
10  REVOLU Aug20         (garcia rodolfo)LEON SONNY 118 20.00    
SCR  ETRURIAN Aug05         (nicks e)REYES LEONEL 118 3.50    
12  AMY THE BUTCHER         (miller herbe)THOMAS ANTHONY 118 6.00 6% 15.10    
SCR  UMBRAL Sep09 Aug20 Aug05     (sano antonio)RIVERA JON 108 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.