Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Friday - September 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-4   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/5)-(6/2/5)-(7/1/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-5   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(7/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(7/1/6)-(7/1/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-6   WIN (7/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/6)-(7/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/6)-(7/1/6)-(7/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/6)-(7/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6)-(7/1/2/3)-(3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRM-7   WIN (7/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/3)-(7/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/3)-(7/1/2/3)-(7/1/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/2/3)-(3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/3)-(3/2)-(2/6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRM-8   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/2)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(2/6/4)-(5/8/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-9   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(5/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PRM-10   WIN (5/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/6)-(5/8/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/8/6)-(5/8/2/6)-(5/8/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-4   09/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BROADWAY Aug11 Jul03 Jun03 Apr01 Mar18 (martinez )DE CRUZ 123 2.50    
SCR  DRINK Sep10 Jul14 Jun16 Apr30 Apr08 (martinez )TRIANA JR 123 6.00    
3  LANGUAGE BARRIER Sep03 Aug13 Jul26 Jul01 Jun10 (sayre ronald )PUSAC ALBERTO 123 10.00    
4  BARSTOW Sep03 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 May12 (condon schuy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 8.00    
5  UNCLE CHAD Aug19 Jul29 Jul16 Jun17 Jun05 (anderson d)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 3.50 18% 4.60    
6  ROCK CITY ROCKET Sep02 Aug21 Jul15 May28 May12 (martin e)BIRZER E 123 3.00    
7  FEROCITY Aug27 Aug12 Jun26 Jun18 Apr29 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 4.00 43% 1.40    
 
PRM-5   09/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A. K. SAFARI Sep04 Aug13 Jul23 Jun12 May27 (dieter da)TRIANA JR 123 4.00    
2  TOUGH COMPANY Sep03 Aug04 Jul14 Jun28 Jun14 (drake dean)ROMAN KEVIN 123 15.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  COOL CATOMINE Sep09 Aug13 Jul30 Jul10 Jun12 (roe ro)FLETCHER D 123 3.50    
4  PRICE TO PAY Sep04 Aug13 Jul23 Aug19 Jul02 (condon schuy)SALAZAR TERESA 118 12.00    
5  LIBERTARIAN Sep02 Jul15 Jul01 Oct02 Sep15 (bolinger robe)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  SIR DEPUTY Sep04 Aug21 Jul22 Jun28 Jun06 (johnson a)TOHILL S 123 3.00 59% 0.70    
7  BOTTOMLESS Aug27 Jun17 Jun03 May21 Mar28 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 1.60    
 
PRM-6   09/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.243K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHESGOTSPIRIT         (compton jess)JORDAN R 121 10.00 24% 3.10    
  (by INCLUDE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  CLIMB TO GLORY Sep02 Aug13 Jul27 Jul14 Jul03 (pearson p)DE CRUZ 121 3.50    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MAHVELOUS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
3  CAN'T MAKE ME Sep02 Aug13 Jul30 Jul16 Jul03 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 124 3.00    
  (by NATIVE RULER out of CAN'T BUY CLASS by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  BETH'SWICKEDSMACK Sep02 Aug13       (dieter dalton)ZIMMERMAN R 121 8.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of MADAM SMACK by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
SCR  IOWA FARMGIRL         (condon schuyler)CORBETT W 121 4.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of WEAVE by ARCH)
6  LAZY N LUCKY Sep08 Aug11 Jul14 Jun25   (mcshane davi)SALAZAR TERESA 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of MY THREE SISTERS by DEFRERE)
7  HOP AWAY HOTTIE Sep02 Jul16 Jun09 Apr23 Mar16 (tracy tanner)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by SOCK HOP out of BLEW ME AWAY by INDY KING)
 
PRM-7   09/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUMPERDOO Jul16 Jun11 May29 Apr05 Mar17 (arnett g)TOHILL S 123 4.00 17% 5.00    
2  SEASIDE BOY Aug14 Jul16 Jun02 Apr28 Feb26 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 125 3.00 10% 9.30    
3  T BONES TRICK Jun25 Jun10 Apr24 Mar28 Mar05 (rarick wade)JORDAN R 123 12.00 9% 10.40    
4  HARD ATTACK Jul16 Jun12 May29 Mar25 Feb24 (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 123 10.00    
5  FLEETRIDGE Jul08 Jun12 Apr29 Oct13 Sep24 (arnett g)BIRZER E 123 2.50    
6  LIGHTNING STRUCK Aug21 Jul31 Jul03 May29 Apr29 (martin timothy )ZIMMERMAN R 123 6.00    
7  TIME MACHINE Aug14 Jul22 Jun11 May21 May03 (condon schuyler)CORBETT W 123 5.00 31% 2.20    
8  DOUBLE THUNDER Aug14 Jul08 Jun16 Apr15 Dec03 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 12.00    
 
PRM-8   09/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.27K) 3UP M/F PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAMIRA (GER) Aug25 Aug05 Jun23 May22 Oct02 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 128 3.00    
2  BUG A BOO Sep02 Aug14 Jul24 Jul07 Jun12 (jacquot gene)ROMAN KEVIN 128 1.80 28% 2.60    
3  SHEMEANSBIZNESS Sep02 Aug14 Jul31 Jun23 May22 (arnett g)BIRZER E 128 2.00 45% 1.20    
4  PEGGY RULES Sep02 Aug14 Jul24 Jul03 Jun17 (martin e)TOHILL S 120 5.00    
5  LUCKYHOTSTUFF Aug05 Jul16 Jun25 Jun19 May28 (arnett jo)DE CRUZ 126 4.50    
 
PRM-9   09/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($27.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET HOLINESS Sep10 Sep02 Jul01 Jun17 May26 (loy dewa)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 10.00    
2  SINGING EMMA Aug25 Aug07 Jul23 Apr14 Mar10 (loy dew)DE CRUZ 118 2.50 48% 1.10    
3  BREW CASA Aug25 Jul31 Jul23 Jun30 Jun04 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 121 5.00    
4  STAY FABULOUS Aug25 Jul14 Jun25 Jun05 May13 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 1.80 6% 14.70    
5  PINK PARTY PANTS Sep08 Aug20 Aug05 Jun16 May12 (rufino eu)TRIANA JR 118 8.00    
6  HAIL COLUMBIA Aug25 Aug05 Jul28 Jul01 Jun04 (wellington tom)ROMAN KEVIN 121 3.00 20% 3.90    
 
PRM-10   09/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17.821K) 3UP M/F PT-10:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAMEA Aug20 Aug11 Jul16 Jun30 Jun16 (chleborad lynn)ZIMMERMAN R 121 4.00    
2  KYLIES HOPE Aug20 Jul30 Jul14 Jun25 May29 (wellington tom)TOHILL S 121 3.00 ★    
3  APACHE FLIGHT Aug20         (ibarra jose)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 20.00    
SCR  SKYLAR'S FIRE Aug13         (martin wi)TRIANA JR 121 15.00    
5  SWEET STROLL Aug11 Jul30 Jun19 May27 May12 (von kelly)CORBETT W 121 2.50 54% 0.90    
6  HOODWICKED Sep02 Jul30 Jul16     (johnston d)ROMAN KEVIN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  UNGLUED Aug27 Aug09 Jul23 Jun25 Jun05 (clay pat)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 5.00    
8  DIXIE SHARPIE Aug28         (dieter dal)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 6.00 14% 5.90    
9  LARNED Aug20 Jul24       (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.