Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Gulfstream Park
Friday - September 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GP-1   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(6/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-2   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(3/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-3   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(6/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-4   WIN (6/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/5)-(6/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/5)-(6/7/5)-(6/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/5)-(4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GP-5   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/9/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/9/1/2)-(4/9/1/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/2)-(2/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GP-6   WIN (2/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/7)-(2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/7)-(4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-7   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(7/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-8   WIN (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/4)-(7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GP-1   09/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAROLINA TRAFFIC Jan08 Dec10 Nov26 Oct15   (hurtak daniel)REYES LEONEL 121 4.00    
2  SOLOMONS GOLD Aug18 Jun30 May25 Apr20 Mar17 (catane)VASQUEZ ANGEL 121 3.00 13% 6.90    
3  GREAT KOSTAS Aug11 Jul22 Jun24 Jun11 May27 (rojas r)GIL CIPRIANO 121 15.00    
4  GEOTHERMAL Jul22         (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 121 2.50 51% 1.00    
5  NICO'S HAVING FUN Sep01 Aug18 Jul22 Jun11 May20 (o'connell kathl)PEREZ EDGAR 121 3.50 13% 6.40    
6  TAPIT'S DIRECTION Sep01 Jul28 Jul09 Dec14 Nov27 (alter happy)MORALES ANGEL 116 6.00    
7  DOC BALLARD Aug27 Aug11 Jul22 Jul08 Jun03 (budhoo steve)LEON SONNY 121 10.00    
 
GP-2   09/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21K) 2 F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NUNOFTHISNUNOFTHAT Sep01 Aug05       (o'connell kath)REYES LEONEL 118 3.00    
2  TIME MISS Aug20 Aug05       (spatz)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 6.00    
3  FUTURE FORTUNE Aug18 Aug05 Jun23     (dobber arno)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 20.00    
4  BAHAMIAN BABY Jul29         (cascallares ne)RIOS M 118 8.00 12% 7.50    
5  KIKI Aug20         (alvarado juan)RIVERA JON 108 3.50 29% 2.40    
6  LET'S GO PHILLY Aug20 Aug05       (david )VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 2.50 33% 2.00    
7  LETS GO KOKO Aug13 Jul15 Jun23     (miller c)MORALES ANGEL 113 4.50    
 
GP-3   09/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM OF BLESSINGS Aug26 Jul29 Jul14 Jul01 May27 (maragh colli)MORELOS E 118 1.40    
2  LEOPARDI Sep02 Aug25 Jun24 May27 Apr30 (guciardo kathy)LEON SONNY 122 3.50 14% 6.20    
3  ASTRAL WEEKS Sep01 Jul16 Jun02 May07 Apr22 (walder)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 3.50 35% 1.80    
4  NATURE BOY Aug27 Aug19 Aug04 Jul16 Jul07 (simms herold)MORALES ANGEL 117 20.00    
5  SUPER CURIOSO (ARG) Aug04 Jul16 Jun23 Feb05 Dec17 (d'angelo f)PEREZ EDGAR 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
6  FEDERAL EXCHANGE Sep01 Aug06 Jul01 May18 Apr27 (christie cli)THOMAS ANTHONY 122 20.00    
 
GP-4   09/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($30.5K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FULL NELSON Aug19 Jul28 Jul02     (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 1.20    
2  EL PRINCIPITO         (laurato michae)BORACO DAVID 118 20.00    
3  WE GOT THIS Jun25         (spatz)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 15.00    
4  GALIPAN Aug13         (garcia rodolfo)LEON SONNY 118 6.00    
5  TEXAS AIR FORCE         (barboz)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 5.00 12% 7.50    
6  NO PROBLEM JOE Sep03 Aug06 Jul16 Jun25   (mckathan kevin)PANICI LUCA 118 4.00 42% 1.40    
7  PRAISEWORTHY Jun17 May26 May13     (gonzalez javie)RIOS M 118 5.00 19% 4.30    
 
GP-5   09/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE BEST DISTANCE Sep01 Jul22 Jul08 May28 Apr30 (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 121 3.00 ★    
2  SWASHBUCKLE Jul02 Jun10 May20 Apr27 Mar09 (negrete javier)PEREZ EDGAR 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  WARP SPEED BABY Jul09 Jun09 Apr16 Mar18 Feb04 (nicks ralph )GONZALEZ EDWIN 119 8.00    
4  FLY THE W Jul22 Jun24 May28 Apr30 Apr02 (dibona s)JARAMILLO E 124 2.50 75% 0.30    
5  XY TIME Aug12 Jul21 Jul09 Jun09 May11 (garoffalo jose)REYES LEONEL 119 15.00    
6  ROCK THE STARS Jul29 Feb26 Dec24 Nov25 Oct21 (dobles)VASQUEZ ANGEL 119 8.00    
7  MAKE DECISIONS Aug19 Jul15 Jun30     (yanez)DIAZ RAFAEL 115 5.00    
8  CHESS'S DREAM Aug11 Jul01 Apr22 Apr08 Mar26 (cascallare)PIMENTEL JR 119 20.00    
9  WIND NINETY NINE Aug19 Jul22 Jun24 Apr21 Feb24 (plesa edward)ZAYAS J 119 4.50 ★    
 
GP-6   09/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND TOWER         (barboza vict)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 4.50    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of KITTEN'S CARDINAL by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  REMINDER Aug19 Jul28       (d'angelo jos)ZAYAS J 118 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by AUDIBLE out of MOM'S DEPUTY by WAR CHANT)
3  FREEDOM PRINCIPLE Aug19         (garoffalo jose)REYES LEONEL 118 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of DIAMONDETTE by MINESHAFT)
4  REVELATORY Aug12         (pletcher a)JARAMILLO E 118 4.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of CAUSAL by CREATIVE CAUSE)
SCR  CORRUPTION Jul29         (pletch)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 8.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of THUNDERING SKY by SKY MESA)
6  SUMMER STORM STRIC         (lutchman pad)MORELOS E 118 15.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of FREEDOM RIDGE by QUAKER RIDGE)
7  PAPALOTE         (de cerda)PEREZ EDGAR 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of LA TIA by CITY PLACE)
 
GP-7   09/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($51K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTICA TRAVIESA (CHI) Aug27         (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 121 12.00    
2  FAWNING May19 Dec04 Oct29 Mar26 Feb20 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 121 4.50 16% 5.20    
3  ZOSTEROP Aug20 Jun24 May25 Apr28 Mar19 (antonucci je)MORELOS E 118 20.00    
4  THE MRS Apr22 Feb22 Jan15 Dec18 Aug19 (yates michael)RIOS M 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
5  ANATOMY Aug27 Aug13 Jul21 Jul08 Dec24 (d'angelo jos)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 3.00 9% 9.60    
6  GITANA Sep02 Aug12 Aug04 Jul02 Jun16 (abreu fernand)MORALES ANGEL 116 3.50    
7  GUNESH May19 Apr23 Mar15 Jan28 Dec26 (sancal murat)REYES LEONEL 121 4.50    
 
GP-8   09/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AWESOME CRUSADER Sep08 Jul14 May28 Apr21 Apr01 (nicks e)REYES LEONEL 122 3.50    
2  LORD EDDARD STARK Aug13 Jul14 Jun16 May28 Oct06 (orseno f)PEREZ EDGAR 124 4.00    
3  STERLING HARMONY Aug20 Jul22 Jun17 May28 May04 (dwoski)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 15.00    
4  CAPTAIN ANTHONY Sep01 Aug13 Jul23 Jul02 Jun04 (hurtak danie)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 6.00 11% 8.00    
5  CHAINA Jul28 Jun18 May05 Mar16   (sweezey ke)ZAYAS J 115 10.00 27% 2.70    
6  STREET GLIDE Aug04 Jun30 Apr19 Jan29 Jan11 (manning j)RIVERA JON 112 8.00    
7  STARSHIP WIZARD Sep01 Aug20 Jul22 Jun30 Jun18 (garof)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
8  THE MAR Aug20 Jul23 Jun30 Apr23 Mar12 (nunez eduardo)RIOS M 122 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.