Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GP-1   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/1)-(5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-2   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(4/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-3   WIN (4/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/7)-(4/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/7)-(4/6/5/7)-(4/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/5/7)-(2/9/3/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
GP-4   WIN (2/9/3/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/3/8/10)-(2/9/3/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/3/8/10)-(2/9/3/8/10)-(2/9/3/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/9/3/8/10)-(2/1/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
GP-5   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(3/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-6   WIN (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/7)-(3/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/7)-(3/5/7)-(3/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/7)-(9/12/10/11/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
GP-7   WIN (9/12/10/11/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/12/10/11/6)-(9/12/10/11/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/12/10/11/6)-(9/12/10/11/6)-(9/12/10/11/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/12/10/11/6)-(7/2/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
GP-8   WIN (7/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/6)-(7/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/6)-(7/2/3/6)-(7/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/3/6)-(5/3/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
GP-9   WIN (5/3/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/6)-(5/3/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/6)-(5/3/8/6)-(5/3/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/8/6)-(4/2/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
GP-10   WIN (4/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/8/6)-(4/2/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/8/6)-(4/2/8/6)-(4/2/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   08/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAXIMATCH         (pompay)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of TRY TO CATCH HER by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  HERMOSO HOMBRE         (amado enrique)MORALES ANGEL 113 12.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of MISS ADVENTURE by STREET SENSE)
SCR  IT'S A HOT ONE Aug06 Jul16       (sano )DIAZ RAFAEL 118 20.00    
  (by MR LOUISE out of BEST EFFORTS by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SOUND OF THE BEAST Jul21         (crichton roh)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 1.80 57% 0.80    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of SOUND DEFENCE by FIRST DEFENCE)
UNEQUIVOCALLY Jul21 Jun03       (sano antonio)LEON SONNY 118 5.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of ONE PLAYFUL ACT by FLAT OUT)
KING SKULL         (barboza victor)REYES LEONEL 118 6.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of CROWN CONGRATS by CONGRATS)
DR BAYTER         (barboza victor )PEREZ EDGAR 118 3.00 17% 4.70    
  (by GIRVIN out of DISTORTED SUNRAYS by DROSSELMEYER)
 
GP-2   08/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEDIA SENSATION Jul28 Jun23 Jun09 May18 Apr16 (sano antonio)MORELOS E 120 12.00    
EXECUTIVE SEARCH Jul23 Jul01 May25 May14 Mar30 (palmer ni)CAMACHO JR 120 10.00 15% 5.50    
JOURNEYMAN Jul02 Jun09 May11 Apr29 Apr09 (perez carlos)GONZALEZ EDWIN 122 1.40    
YOU TALKIN TO ME Jul02 May25 Apr23 Oct01 Aug13 (o'connell kathl)PEREZ EDGAR 120 2.50 16% 5.10    
VLADISLAV Jul02 Jun09 May14 Apr22 Apr07 (sano a)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 1.80 40% 1.50    
SCR  SOUPER LEGACY Jul22 Jun11 May28 May04 Apr15 (negrete javier)RIOS M 120 20.00    
 
GP-3   08/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUN VIKING Jun17 Apr22 Feb25 Jan21 Jan04 (garoffalo jos)MORALES ANGEL 120 4.50    
SWIFT KID Jul16 Jul01 Apr22 Apr02 Mar24 (pita daniel)MORELOS E 125 20.00    
EUPHORIA STAR Aug04 Jul16 Jun18 May20 Apr23 (morrison m)PIMENTEL JR 125 20.00    
MANNIX (IRE) Jul01 Mar15 Oct23 Sep10 Jul02 (casse mark)GONZALEZ EDWIN 125 1.60 48% 1.10    
XY TIME Jul21 Jul09 Jun09 May11 Apr07 (sano antonio)JARAMILLO E 125 3.00 13% 6.90    
THE SLEEPYCHIPMUNK Jul16 Jun18 Jun03 Apr30 Mar10 (yanez)DIAZ RAFAEL 125 3.50 16% 5.10    
T VILLE Jul16 Jun18 May19 Apr30 Apr16 (mckanas j)REYES LEONEL 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
GP-4   08/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEART OF THE BEAST Jul29 Jul01 Jun04 May19 Apr28 (o'conn)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 8.00    
R AWESOME SAUCE Jul16 Jun17       (joseph saffie )REYES LEONEL 118 2.00 58% 0.70    
HUGE G Jul08         (perez carlos)GONZALEZ EDWIN 124 20.00 7% 14.20    
MOON DREAMING Jul07         (damen)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 30.00    
SCR  LOVELY DRAMA Jul16 Jun17 May28 Apr29   (o'connell ka)MENESES MARCOS 118 2.50    
SHOW ME LOVE Jun30 Jun16 Jun02 May12 Apr20 (brownlee david)RIOS M 124 30.00    
LTE STARK WINTER Jul23 Jun10       (orseno f)PEREZ EDGAR 118 15.00    
BULLET VALENTINA Jun18 May12 Apr29 Feb24 Feb02 (amaya gustav)MORELOS E 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
I LOVE IRELAND Jul29 Jul01 Jun02 May19 Apr23 (hurtak daniel)MORALES ANGEL 113 8.00 9% 9.80    
10  INSATIABLE EVA Jul22 Jul01 Jun04 May05 Apr21 (laurato michael)PANICI LUCA 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  SUBTLE SENORITA Jul16 Jun16 May14 Apr23 Mar19 (palmer nicholas)LEON SONNY 118 6.00    
 
GP-5   08/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIS RUN'S FOR YOU Jul23 Jun18 May19 Apr15 Mar26 (walder)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 2.00 29% 2.50    
REBELDE Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 May13 Apr15 (acker d)MORALES ANGEL 117 3.00 32% 2.10    
DIAMOND COOL Jul22 Jun24 May19 Apr28 Mar26 (biancone pa)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 4.00 8% 11.10    
POWER HUMOR Jun30 May06 Apr09 Feb18 Dec26 (barboza victor )JARAMILLO E 118 6.00    
AWESOME FLAY Jul07 Jun11 May27 Apr26 Apr08 (jackson gary)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 5.00    
BORIS Jul14 Dec04 Oct08 Sep23 Aug20 (abreu fernando)RIOS M 118 6.00    
 
GP-6   08/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TWINNING N WINNING Oct28 Sep16       (david )VASQUEZ ANGEL 119 2.00    
SCR  APACHE RIDE Jul14 May26       (monge)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 30.00    
LOVE RHAPSODY Jul14 May26 Apr27 Apr01 Feb05 (crichton roh)GONZALEZ EDWIN 119 2.50 38% 1.60    
ALLONS Jul01 May21       (james gerald)BORACO DAVID 119 20.00    
ONE SMOKIN' RITA Jul14 May26 Jul22 Jun03   (nicks e)REYES LEONEL 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
LILY OF WICKLOW Jun30 Sep16 Jul22 Jul08   (spatz ronald )MORALES ANGEL 114 4.50    
MARILYN Jun16 May26 Apr28 Mar31 Mar01 (alvarado juan)PANICI LUCA 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
GP-7   08/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NO DELIBERATION Jul09 Jun16 Mar19 Feb08 Dec10 (sweez)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 12.00    
SEBARAY Jul14 Jun11 May13 Apr23 Apr08 (antonucci je)MORELOS E 124 30.00    
GOTTA LIKE HIM Jul22 Jun16 May12 Apr27 Apr01 (hurtak danie)MENESES MARCOS 120 10.00    
JOYFUL SURPRISE Jul22 Jul01 Jun11 May21 Apr09 (negrete ja)BERRUGATE KENEDY 117 20.00    
GEPARD Jul09 May21       (rodriq)VASQUEZ ANGEL 124 15.00    
CAPTURETHELAUGHTER Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 May21 Apr08 (yanez reyn)RODRIGUEZ MISAEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
BLUE LIEUTENANT Jul22 Jun24 Jun11 May06 Apr08 (gonzalez javie)RIOS M 120 30.00    
BOURBON THERAPY Jul09 Jun16 May13 Apr16 Mar19 (garoffalo jose)REYES LEONEL 120 5.00    
LIEUTENANT STAN Jul14 May27 May07 Feb10 Jan11 (casse mark)JARAMILLO E 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
10  TEJOTA Jul22 Jun11 May20     (perez lu)PEREZ EDGAR 120 8.00 8% 11.40    
11  MIDNIGHT GETAWAY Jul22 Jun09 May13 Mar19 Feb19 (d'angelo jos)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 4.50 8% 12.30    
12  WHEATSHEAF Jul22 Jun11 May21 Apr21 Mar23 (orseno joseph)MORALES ANGEL 117 6.00 16% 5.40    
13  COURAGEOUS COPPER May21 Apr28 Mar19 Feb15 Jan27 (d'angelo jose )REYES LEONEL 120 4.50    
 
GP-8   08/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMPRESS ELLIE Jul15 Jun16 May05 Dec02 Sep25 (crichton roh)GONZALEZ EDWIN 119 4.00    
COCO Jul16 Jun24 May21 Apr27 Mar26 (alvarado juan)JARAMILLO E 113 5.00 20% 4.00    
MIDNIGHT BELLA Jul15 Jun11 Apr15 Mar15 Feb08 (joseph saffie )REYES LEONEL 119 3.50 12% 7.50    
SCR  SMART SPENDING Jul23 Jun11 Apr15 Mar15 Jan11 (barboz)VASQUEZ ANGEL 116 12.00    
DOUBLE COSMO GIRL Jul01 Apr27 Apr09 Mar12 Dec28 (miranda luis )MORALES ANGEL 114 20.00    
SWOONATRA Jul21 Jun11 May21 May05 Mar24 (hurtak danie)MENESES MARCOS 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
ALTERNATE ROCK Jul09 Jun10 Apr20 Mar01 Jan26 (d'ang)DIAZ RAFAEL 116 3.00 45% 1.20    
CINDYLOUWHO Jul23 Jul09 Jun10 May12 Mar16 (palmer ni)CAMACHO JR 120 4.50    
 
GP-9   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Proud Man Purse ($65K) 2 ALL PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHSHORE DRIVE Jun17 May13 Apr21     (nicks ralph )GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 12.00    
  (by FORT LOUDON out of PROOF INTHE PUDDIN by ELUSIVE BLUFF)
GENTLE BREEZE Jun25         (nicks e)REYES LEONEL 118 15.00    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of HUMOROUS SONG by JIMMY CREED)
BENTORNATO Jul01         (d'angelo f)JARAMILLO E 120 5.00 23% 3.40    
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of HER SPECIAL WAY by PUT IT BACK)
REAPER Jul08 May13 Apr21     (alvar)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 4.50    
  (by BRETHREN out of HORAH FOR BAILEY by DONERAILE COURT)
DIVIETO Jul21         (sano a)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of EXAGGERATED by BLAME)
BIG EFFECT Jul22 Jul01       (plesa jr)PEREZ EDGAR 120 6.00 12% 7.70    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of HOLIDAY FLARE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
PREVENT May26 May05       (alvarado juan)PANICI LUCA 120 10.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of BOSSY GAL by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
KEEP ON COMING May05         (yates michael)RIOS M 120 3.00 13% 6.50    
  (by KHOZAN out of LOOK AT ME GO by PARADING)
 
GP-10   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME ANNMARIE Jul15 Jul02 May14 Mar22 Feb17 (budhoo steve)LEON SONNY 120 8.00    
GITANA Aug04 Jul02 Jun16 May26 May07 (abreu fernand)MORALES ANGEL 115 4.50 12% 7.10    
BARBARA Jul07 Jun10 May26 Apr23 Mar31 (campos)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 5.00    
SOPHIA'S STORM Jul15 Jun09 May14 Apr22 Apr02 (sierra ruben)REYES LEONEL 125 1.80 50% 1.00    
KAEKO Jul15 Jun09 May26 Apr27 Mar31 (nunez eduardo)KRIGGER K 120 15.00    
GHOSTLY NIGHT Jun09 May19 Apr02 Mar03 Jan11 (nunez milt)BERRUGATE KENEDY 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  IDEAL BREEZE Jul21 Jun09 Apr19 Feb05 Dec23 (guciardo kathy)JARAMILLO E 120 3.50    
SANDPIPER MEMORIES Jul21 Jun11 May11 Apr09 Mar09 (hess b)PANICI LUCA 120 8.00 11% 8.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.