Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Friday - August 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GP-1   WIN (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/6)-(4/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/6)-(4/7/6)-(4/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/6)-(5/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-2   WIN (5/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/2)-(5/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/2)-(5/7/4/2)-(5/7/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/4/2)-(1/4/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
GP-3   WIN (1/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/5)-(1/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/5)-(1/4/7/5)-(1/4/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/7/5)-(7/5/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
GP-4   WIN (7/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/6)-(7/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/6)-(7/5/2/6)-(7/5/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/2/6)-(4/6/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
GP-5   WIN (4/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/2)-(4/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/2)-(4/6/3/2)-(4/6/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/3/2)-(3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-6   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(4/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-7   WIN (4/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/5)-(4/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/7/5)-(4/2/7/5)-(4/2/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/7/5)-(8/6/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
GP-8   WIN (8/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/5)-(8/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/5)-(8/6/1/5)-(8/6/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   08/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MUCHOMACHOMAC         (sano antonio)RIOS M 118 15.00    
ETRETAT Jul16 Feb24 Feb09 Jan13 Dec23 (palmer ni)CAMACHO JR 118 6.00    
CHACHARERO Jul07 Jun09 Mar24 Jan21 Dec09 (duco luis)BORACO DAVID 118 5.00    
VANISHING INTEREST Jul28 Jun25 May25 May04 Apr09 (sierra ruben)REYES LEONEL 118 4.00 48% 1.10    
DOLLAR BILL Jul14 Jun16 May20 Apr16 Nov12 (o'conn)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 3.50    
BELLY OF JELLY Jul28 Jun16 May28 Apr15   (dobles eliza)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 3.00 10% 9.50    
BOLD ADVANCE Jul15 May25 Apr30 Apr14   (o'connell kathl)PANICI LUCA 118 4.00 13% 6.70    
 
GP-2   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREAT ANALOGY Jul09 May21 Apr30 Mar19 Mar01 (alter happy)LEON SONNY 120 8.00    
BLACK BELT BARBIE Jul09 Feb08 Nov19 Oct09 Jul17 (walder)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SHE'S A JOY Jul16 May25 May06 Apr01 Mar12 (spatz ronald)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 3.50    
GO LIL LADY Jul15 Aug06 Jun09     (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 120 8.00 9% 10.00    
LOOKING FOR HOPE Jul09 Apr16 Mar23 Jan01 Oct07 (d'angelo jos)ZAYAS J 120 1.40 48% 1.10    
TRIBUTE Jul16 Mar09 Feb08 Jan20 Nov06 (collazo henry)REYES LEONEL 120 12.00    
OLGA Jul09 Jun16 May12 Apr16 Feb23 (alvarado juan)JARAMILLO E 120 4.00 15% 5.60    
 
GP-3   08/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOC BALLARD Jul22 Jul08 Jun03 May21 Apr30 (budhoo steve)LEON SONNY 119 3.00 32% 2.10    
BLUE SOLDIER Jul09 May21 May12 Apr21 Mar10 (gonzalez javie)REYES LEONEL 119 4.50    
LUCKY DONNIE G Jul16 Jul01       (philipp kar)SPANABEL SKYLER 124 12.00    
VOY Y VENGO Jul02 Jun03 Apr29 Oct02   (crichton roh)GONZALEZ EDWIN 119 1.60 23% 3.40    
CORPORATE AFFAIR Aug04 Jun24 May26 May04 Apr22 (lutchman padarath)KRIGGER K 124 8.00 8% 11.00    
BIG BALLOONS Jul08 Jun02 Apr20 Apr07   (acker d)PEREZ EDGAR 119 20.00    
KRAZYKATKOUSIN Jul08 Jun17 May26 Oct21 Sep24 (yates )VASQUEZ ANGEL 114 15.00 10% 8.70    
GREAT KOSTAS Jul22 Jun24 Jun11 May27 May06 (rojas r)MORALES ANGEL 114 6.00    
 
GP-4   08/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREELANCE Apr29 Apr19 Mar05 Jan29 Jan15 (manning j)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
TORETTO Jul28 Jun17 May06 Apr07 Mar16 (garoffalo jos)MORALES ANGEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
CHURCHILLS VICTORY Mar02 Jan26       (alter hap)CAMACHO JR 124 15.00    
SMOKIN CLOUD Jun23 Jun09 Apr30 Apr08 Mar15 (ritvo)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 5.00    
GRAND VALLEY Jul22 Jul01 Apr30 Apr09 Mar29 (barboz)VASQUEZ ANGEL 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
THE RED MAN Jul07 Sep04 Jul16 Jul02 May29 (minguet ramon)RIOS M 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
ETERNAL FLAME Jul28 Jul01 Jun11 May21 Jan15 (d'angelo jos)ZAYAS J 124 1.60 52% 0.90    
 
GP-5   08/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RASTANI Jul09         (miller herbe)MORELOS E 119 5.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of RED CARPET MISS by MALIBU MOON)
APPEAR Feb05 Oct28 Oct14     (simms herold)PEREZ EDGAR 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of VIVERE by WAR FRONT)
UNCAPTURED DOVE Jul21 Jun10       (pletcher todd )REYES LEONEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of MY SWEET DOVE by HELLO BROADWAY)
MILLENNIUM PARK Jul01 Apr30 Apr01 Mar04 Jan15 (proctor thom)GONZALEZ EDWIN 119 3.50 52% 0.90    
  (by CURLIN out of COMPELLED by WAR FRONT)
ARZAG         (pletch)VASQUEZ ANGEL 119 4.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of HASNAA by MORE THAN READY)
DIVINE (IRE)         (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 119 2.50 22% 3.60    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of WORSHIPPER by AWESOME AGAIN)
SWEET TEMPTATION         (nicks e)JARAMILLO E 124 4.50    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of SWEETHEART LEGACY by FORESTRY)
 
GP-6   08/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIRD WILDCAT Jul07 May21 Feb15 Jan12 Dec16 (spatz )VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
MORGAN POINT Jun24 Jun04 Apr28 Feb11 Jan29 (barboza victor)REYES LEONEL 124 4.50    
SIR OLLIE Feb22 Jan15 Nov20 Oct16 Aug28 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 124 4.00 61% 0.70    
CROSS HASTE Jul14 Jun24 May21 Apr02 Sep18 (antonucci je)MORELOS E 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CAPTURE THE TIME Jul08 May27 Apr07 Jul03 May14 (yanez reyn)RODRIGUEZ MISAEL 122 4.50    
ROUGH ENTRY May06 Apr02 Feb24 Jan29 Jan07 (crichton roh)GONZALEZ EDWIN 124 1.40    
 
GP-7   08/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANTRIM Jul29 Jul16 Jun17 Jun04 May19 (sano anton)BERRUGATE KENEDY 113 30.00    
NO ACTION Jul28 Jun16 May26 May05 Apr22 (crichton roha)MORALES ANGEL 115 3.50 22% 3.50    
LIGHT AND PATH Jun02 May11 Apr06 Mar02 Feb02 (sano antonio)ZAYAS J 118 3.00    
FOGGY NOTE Jul08         (spatz b)PANICI LUCA 120 5.00 42% 1.40    
GREEK MOJO Jul01 May28 Apr27 Apr07 Mar10 (valery paul)REYES LEONEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
EILAT Jul08 Jun17 May21 Apr02 Dec24 (yanez reynal)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 4.00    
CAJUN FANTASY Jul15 Jun02 Apr09 Mar01 Dec24 (yates mic)CAMACHO JR 120 3.50 11% 7.90    
 
GP-8   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARTHAMAYWHOVIER Jul30 Jun16 Jun04 May07 Apr20 (palmer)VASQUEZ ANGEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
QUICKSTYLE Jun30 Jun04 May14 Apr20 Mar19 (pitts rod)CAMACHO JR 119 20.00    
FOR THE THRILL Jul14 Jun16 Jun03 May12 Apr28 (williams ma)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 20.00    
NOVELLIE Jul08 May28 Apr27 Mar31 Mar03 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 119 3.00    
SOPHIA LAUREN Jul28 Jul08 Jun24 Apr15 Jun02 (pinchin jose)MORELOS E 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
LAVEAU Jul14 Jun24 May07 Apr19 Mar25 (orseno f)PEREZ EDGAR 124 4.00 33% 2.10    
J J MONET Jul22 Apr28 May06     (williams mat)THOMAS ANTHONY 124 30.00    
FOREVER UNCAPTURED Aug04 Jul08 May21 Apr23 Mar31 (garoffalo jose)REYES LEONEL 119 1.20 40% 1.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.