Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Del Mar
Friday - August 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DMR-1   WIN (2/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/3)-(2/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/3)-(2/6/4/3)-(2/6/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/4/3)-(4/6/7/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/3)-(4/6/7/5)-(3/1/10/4/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
DMR-2   WIN (4/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/7/5)-(3/1/10/4/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7/5)-(3/1/10/4/7)-(2/1/8/11/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
DMR-3   WIN (3/1/10/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/10/4/7)-(3/1/10/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/10/4/7)-(3/1/10/4/7)-(3/1/10/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/10/4/7)-(2/1/8/11/10) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
    PK3 (3/1/10/4/7)-(2/1/8/11/10)-(8/1/4/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
DMR-4   WIN (2/1/8/11/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/11/10)-(2/1/8/11/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/11/10)-(2/1/8/11/10)-(2/1/8/11/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/8/11/10)-(8/1/4/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8/11/10)-(8/1/4/6)-(1/6/5/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
DMR-5   WIN (8/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/4/6)-(8/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/4/6)-(8/1/4/6)-(8/1/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/4/6)-(1/6/5/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (8/1/4/6)-(1/6/5/8)-(8/3/2/4/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
DMR-6   WIN (1/6/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/8)-(1/6/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/8)-(1/6/5/8)-(1/6/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/5/8)-(8/3/2/4/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5/8)-(8/3/2/4/9)-(6/9/2/8/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
DMR-7   WIN (8/3/2/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/2/4/9)-(8/3/2/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/2/4/9)-(8/3/2/4/9)-(8/3/2/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/3/2/4/9)-(6/9/2/8/1) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
DMR-8   WIN (6/9/2/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/2/8/1)-(6/9/2/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/2/8/1)-(6/9/2/8/1)-(6/9/2/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DMR-1   08/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($52K) 2 ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RINGTONE         (ovi)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 5.00    
ELIGIO Jul08         (oviedo phi)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 1.80 63% 0.60    
ALWAYS ON CAY May26         (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
THOMPSON         (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
READY TO STORM         (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 120 5.00    
ACE OF CLUBS Jul08         (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 120 4.00 12% 7.20    
BOWTIE BOYS         (yakteen tim)VAZQUEZ A 120 5.00    
 
DMR-2   08/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. T'S THIRSTY Jun23 Apr29 Apr02 Feb19 Jan07 (bonde jeff)DESORMEAUX J 125 5.00    
DIVINE FEMININE Jul09 Apr23 Mar31 Mar09 Jan20 (ganbat ene)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 125 12.00    
MUHAMMAD ALI (PER) Jul22 Jun25 Aug05 Jun19   (val)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 125 20.00    
CHICKNFINGERFRIDAY Jul03 Apr23 Mar18 Feb10 Jan08 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 4.00 25% 3.00    
CURLY ESA Jul21 Jun25 Jun03 Apr28 Apr07 (oviedo phil)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
BIG SWEDE Jul04 Jun25 May14 Apr23 Mar31 (palma hector )FRESU ANTONIO 125 4.00 25% 3.10    
STOTLAND May20 Mar27 Mar04 Jan22 Nov27 (hess b)MALDONADO E 125 5.00 24% 3.10    
MAC'S TIME May20 Feb22 Nov25 Nov04   (diodoro roberti)VAZQUEZ A 125 1.80    
 
DMR-3   08/11/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE JAB Feb04 Nov20       (mat)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 3.00 22% 3.60    
  (by VRONSKY out of LOST PROPHET by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  INFORMATION         (agarie rick)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 12.00    
  (by ACCLAMATION out of BRITE BETTY by HIGH BRITE)
GRAND TIGER May28 Apr28       (koriner brian)VALDIVIA JR 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of GRAND YODELER by SWISS YODELER)
GIANOLA         (mathis and)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of VOCAL ARTS by GOOD JOURNEY)
TOPPERS WAGER Feb18         (polanco marce)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 20.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of TOPPERS SUNSHINE by OLD TOPPER)
GHOSTLY ACT Jun02 May12 Apr01 Mar03 Feb04 (winick debbi)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 113 6.00    
  (by ACCLAMATION out of DEBBIES CUTE GHOST by GHOSTZAPPER)
NAHAN         (wallace jer)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LAKERVILLE out of CINDYS SECRET by SEA OF SECRETS)
BLACK AS MY HEART Jun10         (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00    
  (by HE BE FIRE N ICE out of SUNDAY PROPHET by HAT TRICK)
LORD TRIPPING Jul23 Jun24       (hanson)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 5.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of TRIPPING by HARD SPUN)
10  GRAZED Jul28 Jun10 Aug18 Jun19 May13 (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 3.00 12% 7.10    
  (by GRAZEN out of ACATEGORYFIVESTORM by SONGANDAPRAYER)
 
DMR-4   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($83K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINDRIBBON Jul22 Jun18 May26 May14 Apr01 (tamayo isid)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 5.00 22% 3.60    
SUPER CHIEF Apr30 May13       (barocio lib)HERRERA A 122 6.00 28% 2.50    
SEATTLE BREAKOUT Jun18 May28 Mar09 Feb10 Jan13 (headley kar)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 15.00    
GOLDENSUNRISE Jun11 May06 Aug14     (mathis andy)MALDONADO E 118 20.00    
WHAT AN IDEA Mar19 Jan31 Dec14     (fincher to)VAN DRAYDEN 122 15.00    
LEMON SUSHI Nov11 Oct16 Aug28 Aug07 Jan15 (brinkerhoff val)BRAVO J 122 8.00    
GOLF DRAMA Jul09 Jun11 Apr30 Oct29 Sep23 (bonde jeff)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 118 20.00    
MYSTIC FLYER Nov27 Oct29 Sep04 Aug14   (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 21% 3.70    
SAULS CALL Jul21 Jun11 Apr22 Feb25 Jan21 (nun)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 12.00    
10  HANDSOME GARY Jun24 Mar26 Mar19 Mar05 Feb11 (mulhall krist)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  BIG HAND Nov19 Oct10 Aug07 Jun11 May15 (yakteen tim)VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00 6% 16.60    
SCR  IN VRONSKY STYLE Jun24 Apr22 Feb17 Dec02 Nov06 (d'amat)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 3.50    
 
DMR-5   08/11/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($82K) 2 F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNAMILEINMYSHOES         (mullins je)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 14% 6.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of INTOITAGAIN by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  PONDERGATING         (howey quinn)MALDONADO E 120 4.00    
  (by FAR FROM OVER out of HURRICAINE CALLIE by COMIC STRIP)
O MANDY         (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 6.00    
  (by MRAZEK out of MANDY'S GRACE by BELLAMY ROAD)
RUBY'S HOME         (winick d)ELLINGWOOD A 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OM out of RUBY'S GONE AGAIN by LUCKY PULPIT)
LONGHORN LASSIE         (gaines carl)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TEXAS RYANO out of LAUREN'S EXPORT by LONHRO (AUS))
SMOOVE OVER Jul01 May27       (hernandez jos)PAYERAS EDGAR 120 30.00    
  (by PAVEL out of SMOOVE IT by SQUARE EDDIE)
ASADA FRIES         (lewis )BERRIOS ISAAC 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of SALTY FRIES by IN EXCESS (IRE))
SCR  PETIT FILET         (vuocolo al)RAMIREZ RICARDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PAVEL out of CHARRED RARE by MOMENTUM)
10  PRANCINGTHRUPARIS         (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 120 5.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of SHE'S A BIG WINNER by BELLAMY ROAD)
SCR  MIRINDA         (mandella gary)SMITH E 120 2.50    
  (by MITOLE out of WHIM by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  LADY LITHESOME         (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT (IRE) out of CANDY SWIRLS by TWIRLING CANDY)
SCR  SAFA Jul21         (stute gary)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 5.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of HADARRA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  CLAIRE PHILLIPS         ( )TBA null      
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
DMR-6   08/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Graduation Purse ($125K) 2 ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REFOCUS Jun17 May21       (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 2.50 29% 2.50    
  (by PAVEL out of REDO IT by SQUARE EDDIE)
MICI'S EXPRESS Jul22 Jul02 Jun11 May21 Apr30 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 6.00    
  (by SLEW'S TIZNOW out of HARLAN EXPRESS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
LAST CALL LONDON Jul09 Jun11 May21 Apr30   (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of ZO LO'S LOV by EMPIRE WAY)
SHADY APPEAL Jul09 Jun11       (bonde jeff)SMITH E 120 10.00    
  (by TWICE THE APPEAL out of SANTA LUCIA by CAHILL ROAD)
SMOKEM EZ May12         (miyadi steven)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.00 22% 3.60    
  (by SMOKEM out of EZ INDY by A.P. INDY)
LORD PRANCEALOT Jul29         (bonde jeff)DESORMEAUX J 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of DISKO DASKO by COUNTRY REEL)
SALSATION Jul08         (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 118 15.00    
  (by FAR FROM OVER out of MUSIC AND ART by MUNNINGS)
WILD JEWELS Jul09 Jun25       (specht stev)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 12.00 5% 17.60    
  (by TAMARANDO out of RIBBON OF JEWELS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
DMR-7   08/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INNER BEAUTY (IRE) May20 Apr28 Jan23     (mullins jeff)PEREIRA TIAGO 125 3.00    
DOLLY MAY (IRE) Jul30 Jun16 May14 Apr28 Mar09 (jauregui j)AYUSO ARMANDO 125 6.00 9% 10.50    
DOWNBURST May27 Apr27 Mar31 Mar01 Feb01 (crichton rohan)VAZQUEZ A 125 6.00 20% 4.00    
SHEZMISBEHAVING Jun16 May26 Apr28 Mar26 Feb12 (gutierrez jo)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
ABHITA Jun09 Mar20 Feb25 Feb04   (lewis )BERRIOS ISAAC 125 6.00    
GOLDEN TEMPER May26 Mar31 Jan27 Jan02 Nov24 (gaines car)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
ASPIRATIONAL May28 Apr21 Feb12 Dec22 Oct21 (stevens satch)PAYERAS EDGAR 120 20.00    
CORPORAL VIOLETTE (IRE) Jun17 Apr29       (gallagher p)RISPOLI UMBERTO 125 2.50 39% 1.50    
ILA VEIW TOO Jul29 Jun17 May29 Apr29 Nov14 (belvoir van)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
DMR-8   08/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUFFETT Jul22 May20 Nov24 Oct10 Sep30 (papaprodromou)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
BIG GUN Jul27 Oct23 Aug27 Jan15   (yakteen tim)VAZQUEZ A 125 10.00 6% 15.30    
COMMISSIONER H Jun10 May19       (alvarez edw)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 20.00    
LEN'S LUCK Jul22 Jul03 Oct02 Sep17   (scolamieri sa)VALDIVIA JR 125 8.00    
ICE STORM Jul22 Jun09 May19 Mar11 Feb17 (marquez alfre)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 5.00    
L L L COOL Jul03 Mar11 Feb12 Jan02   (sadler w)ESPINOZA V 125 2.50 58% 0.70    
MONTANA Jul27 Jun02 May06 Apr09 Mar05 (hess b)MALDONADO E 120 4.00    
RIPPIN' RUIS (AUS) Jul22 Jun04 May12     (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
ALL THE KING'S MEN Jul22 Jun24 Jun11 May27 May14 (belvoir van)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 5.00 9% 9.70    
10  AMERICAN EMPIRE Jul04 Sep11       (mathis and)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 6.00    
SCR  FINDING LOVE Jun23 May26 Apr22     (blacker dan)HERRERA A 120 8.00    
SCR  DONTTESTYOURLUCK Jul30 Jul01 May19 Apr28 Apr01 ( )TBA null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.