Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Woodbine
Thursday - August 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

WO-1   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (3/4/1)-(5/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(5/7/4/6)-(4/1/6) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
WO-2   WIN (5/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/6)-(5/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/6)-(5/7/4/6)-(5/7/4/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (5/7/4/6)-(4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4/6)-(4/1/6)-(5/8/9/1/6) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
WO-3   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/1/6)-(5/8/9/1/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(5/8/9/1/6)-(4/1/3) 45 $0.20 $9.00 
WO-4   WIN (5/8/9/1/6) 5 $2.00 $5.00 
    EXA (5/8/9/1/6)-(5/8/9/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/9/1/6)-(5/8/9/1/6)-(5/8/9/1/6) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/9/1/6)-(4/1/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/8/9/1/6)-(4/1/3)-(4/6/1) 45 $0.20 $9.00 
WO-5   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/1/3)-(4/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(4/6/1)-(2/5/4/3) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
WO-6   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $3.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/6/1)-(2/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
WO-7   WIN (2/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/3)-(2/5/4/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WO-1   08/10/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($111.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOWN'S WARRIOR Jul21 Jun24 Jun03 May13 Dec04 (depaulo m)WILSON JAYNE 120 2.50 13% 6.70    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of CODE WARRIOR by SOCIETY'S CHAIRMAN)
MAKES NO CENTS         (mcknight nor)WALCOTT W 120 4.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SILENT STAR by SILENT NAME (JPN))
ROYAL QUALITY Jul21 Jun24 Dec08 Oct08 Jul17 (cas)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 1.40 38% 1.60    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SURFSIDE TIARA by SCAT DADDY)
DERIVATIVE Oct22 Sep29 Sep03 Jul22   (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 124 3.00 29% 2.50    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of ASCENT by CAPOTE)
HARD RELOAD         (raghunath raven)VIVES SOFIA 115 10.00    
  (by RELOAD out of MONREGALE by MARIA'S MON)
 
WO-2   08/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALO STYLE Jul20 Jul06 Jun16 May27 Apr29 (dixon patric)WALCOTT W 124 6.00    
ABSOLUTE JEWEL Jul20 Jul06 May25 Apr29 Dec08 (cole-simpson kri)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00    
WAKE UP MAGGIE Jul20 Jun29 May25 May13 Nov10 (ladauceur )SLEVINSKY RACHEL 119 10.00    
LITTLE FIRE Jul14 Jun29 Jun10 Dec10 Nov24 (lafond renico )FLORES ESWAN 124 4.00 12% 7.50    
COURTINGCOURTNEY Jun24 Jun04 May25 May06 Dec08 (chircop stev)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 1.80 44% 1.30    
NADIABIZNIZ Aug01 Jul06 Jun29 May19 May06 (thomps)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
GORMLEY GIRL Jul20 Jun10 May13 Apr22 Dec08 (buttigieg)WILSON JAYNE 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
 
WO-3   08/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($27.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROOKIE COURT Jul20 Jun15 Dec08 Oct27 Sep29 (dunslow mi)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 124 2.00 17% 4.70    
ALCOM'SOUTINTHWASH Jul13 Jun15 May19 Dec03 Nov19 (rombis e)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00    
LEADING FORCE Jul13 Jun16 May05 Sep17   (krasauskai)CAMPOS LUIS 120 4.00    
WANNA PLAY Jul13 Jun29 Nov18 Oct27 Oct13 (desouza bancroft)SALLES LEO 124 2.50 55% 0.80    
SMART IRENE Jul20 Jul13 Jun29 Jun16 May19 (samulak jul)WENC C 122 15.00    
SANDY GRACE Jul29 Jul20 Jul02 Jun22 Jun11 (oliverre )SEECHARAN A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ELECTRIC LIGHTNING         (armata jr)MUNOZ LARRY 118 8.00    
 
WO-4   08/10/2023 4620ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLUIE D'AVRIL Jul25 Jun29 Jun18 Jun06 May23 (simms )ALDERSON IAN 124 10.00 10% 8.80    
STORMY SUZIE Jul20 Jun29 Jun01 May25 Dec08 (samulak jul)WENC C 124 20.00    
SCR  MI TORMENTA Jul20 Jun16 Apr22 Dec10 Nov03 (armata ross)SALLES LEO 122 20.00    
WICKED MIAH Jul14 Jun29 Jun10 May14 Dec11 (tiller robert )FLORES ESWAN 126 6.00    
LADY MAEVE (IRE) Jul29 Jun29 Jun04 May14 Dec01 (vassilieva k)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
AIRY FAIRY Jul20 Jun29 Dec08 Nov24 Nov03 (crook )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
SPEEDY LYNN Jul29 Jul06 Jun23 Dec01 Nov11 (katryan abraha)BYNOE DESEAN 119 15.00    
PINO IN A PURSE Jul20 Jun29 Jun04 May14 May06 (wright micha)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 4.00 18% 4.50    
OHEAVENS Jul20 Jun29 Jun15 May27 Apr30 (mcpherson )FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 3.00 11% 8.20    
10  I'LL TAKE THE GOLD Jul20 Jun29 Jun16 May25 Dec08 (eshelman bonn)CHERNETZ SKYE 122 15.00    
 
WO-5   08/10/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACHISIMA Jun29 Jun04 May14 Mar19 Feb15 (depaul)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119 2.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  BODACIOUS MISS Jul15 Jun15 May19 Dec01 Nov24 (owens steve)VIVES SOFIA 117 3.00    
FORESTERS PRINCESS Jul06 Jun11 May25 Dec04 Nov17 (black ian)MUNGER RYAN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
CHEEKY PINT Jun29 May25 Oct01 Aug26 Jul14 (mac)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 2.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  TEMPEREYA Jul15 Jun17 May12 Dec10 Nov19 (depaulo mi)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 6.00    
ERASMO'S GIRL Jun29 Jun17 May27 Dec10 Nov05 (chircop s)WILSON JAYNE 122 8.00    
TEXT ME UP Jul14 Jun29 May25 May06 Dec10 (tiller robert)CHERNETZ SKYE 122 10.00    
 
WO-6   08/10/2023 6600ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($111.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG SHOOTER Jul22 May28       (nosowenko nich)CIVACI SAHIN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of MIEN by NUREYEV)
VINCENZINO Mar25 Nov25 Oct30     (vassil)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 10.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of HOLY CARGO by HOLY BULL)
EXUDE Jul14 May20 Apr22 Mar03   (minshall bar)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 3.00    
  (by TAPIT out of FAITHFULLY by SMART STRIKE)
FANORE (IRE) Jul09 Jun18 May28     (gat)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 2.00 59% 0.70    
  (by CHURCHILL out of LOVE AND BUBBLES by LOUP SAUVAGE)
MILAGRE DO SOL Jun17 May12       (attard kevin)VIVES SOFIA 110 2.50    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of DOUBLE JACKPOT by BROKEN VOW)
PAINTED GLORY Jul02 Jun11       (halden rachel)STEIN JUSTIN 119 4.50 15% 5.70    
  (by MUNNINGS out of PIPERS HONOUR by HONOUR AND GLORY)
 
WO-7   08/10/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($32.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEY STROKE Jul23 Nov13 Oct28 Oct08   (whalen john)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 10.00    
TURF AND SURF Jul20 Jun23 May28 Aug21 Jul21 (nosowenko ni)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 2.00 57% 0.80    
CASTLETON Jul13 Jun22 May26     (ag)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
FAVORITE CHANNEL Jul13 Jun22 Jun15 May13 Jul21 (desruisse)WILSON JAYNE 122 4.00 7% 12.40    
FOREST VIXEN Jul23 Jul08 Jun15 May26 Dec09 (leblanc p)HOYTE JASON 124 3.50 9% 10.30    
GENTLE SEAS Jul29 May26       (cole-simpson)WALCOTT W 122 20.00    
IMPOSSIBLE BERTIE Jul20 Jun17       (tharre)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 12.00    
SCR  CANDY WINE Jul01 Jun15 May21 Apr30   (bell dave)MORAN DAVID 120 20.00    
SAY GRACE Jul23 Jul02       (tharrenos )CAMPOS LUIS 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.