Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Mile
Saturday - August 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTM-1   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-2   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(2/3/4)-(2/6/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CTM-3   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-4   WIN (2/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/5)-(2/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/3/5)-(2/6/3/5)-(2/6/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
CTM-5   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(1/5/7)-(8/2/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CTM-6   WIN (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/7)-(1/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/7)-(1/5/7)-(1/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/7)-(8/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTM-7   WIN (8/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/3/6)-(8/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/3/6)-(8/2/3/6)-(8/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTM-1   08/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEPMEINPOWER Jul23 Jul07 Jun09 May26 Mar07 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 2.00 52% 0.90    
2  WICKED WIZZY Jul29 May27 Sep03 Aug12 Jul29 (ward anderso)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 4.00 22% 3.60    
3  SMOKIN JOY Jul29 Jul09 Nov05     (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  DARLA'S FURY Jul22 Jul08       (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 120 4.50    
5  STARLIGHT LANE Jul23         (brown r)NATERA KEIHTON 120 8.00    
6  GOLDIE SOCKS Jul07 Jun09 May26 May06 Oct29 (k)GRIFFITH DELANE 115 2.50    
 
CTM-2   08/05/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IT'S A FACT Jul22 Jul01 Jun03 May06 Oct29 (frey carson)BRYAN D 118 8.00    
2  PARKING PERMIT Jul01 Jun17 May26 Oct29 Oct15 (walper dea)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 3.00    
3  KYSTONE Jul22 Jul08 Jun23 Jun10 Mar26 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 120 2.00 58% 0.70    
4  RAILWAY Jul22 Jun30 Oct08 Sep24 Sep09 (bak)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 6.00    
5  BARE BACK JACK Jul16 Jul07 Jun23 Jun10 May27 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MACHINE (ARG) Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 Jun02 May06 (gourdeau)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 123 4.00 14% 6.00    
 
CTM-3   08/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTHS Sales Colts Purse ($50K) 34 C/G PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISS ME HELLO Jul23 May27 May06 Oct29 Oct08 (kingston rob)NATERA KEIHTON 123 10.00    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of KISS ME GOODBYE by GULCH)
2  ASYOUBELIEVE Jul22 Jun24 Jun03 Oct08 Aug20 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 126 1.20 53% 0.90    
  (by SECOND IN COMMAND out of I BELIEVE IN ANGEL by CAUSE TO BELIEVE)
3  ITSMYDAY Jun23 Jun04 Oct08 Sep10 Aug20 (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 126 3.00 17% 4.80    
  (by NEW YEAR'S DAY out of MAGIC VIXEN by TAPIT)
4  AMUSING WAY Jul22 Jun30 Jun03 May12 Nov04 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 126 4.00 9% 9.80    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of REAL DILEMMA by SALT LAKE)
5  PADDYS ROCKET Jun30 Jun10       (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 5.00    
  (by MR O'PRADO out of CEDAR FEVER by MINARDI)
 
CTM-4   08/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIRDY'S ON FIRE         (zielke)ASENCIO MARIANO 119 4.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of BIRDMUDIFUL by BIRDSTONE)
2  SILKSTONE Jul21         (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 119 2.50 47% 1.10    
  (by BIRDSTONE out of SILKWORM by DIXIE UNION)
3  ASAMATTEROFFACTIDO         (smith rob)NELSON DANE 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of CHAPEL DANCER by CHAPEL ROYAL)
4  DARE TO COMPARE         (smith ron )BALGOBIN KEISHAN 119 15.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of RON RHONDA by LAWYER RON)
5  E PAY ALL THE WAY         (laczo brant)ANDROS CORRINE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of E LOOE by LURE)
6  EL CORRECAMINOS Jul21         (hedge rick)MARTI ALEXANDER 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
  (by SPEEDMEISTER out of GIFTED BIRD by BIRDSTONE)
7  SKIPPER'S PRIDE         (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 8.00    
  (by KLIMT out of ZAPHIA by BERNSTEIN)
 
CTM-5   08/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTHS Sales Purse ($50K) 34 F PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG HUG Jul21 Jul01 Jun20 Jun02 Oct29 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 123 1.80 60% 0.70    
  (by MR. BIG out of TEMEEKU by UNUSUAL HEAT)
2  STEVIE WONDER GIRL Jul21 Jun16 Jun02 Oct08 Sep10 (kettleson a)MARTI ALEXANDER 126 4.00    
  (by NO HESITATION out of PRETTY WONDER by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
3  JELLI Jul21 Jul07 Jun17 Jun03 Nov04 (nicholson david)BRYAN D 123 15.00    
  (by SINGING SAINT out of TYPICAL TILLY by KISSIN KRIS)
4  BOOTIFUL ROSE Jul21 Jul01 Jun16 Jun02 May12 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of JUNGLE ROSE by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
5  SKIP'S ROCK Jul28 Jul07       (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 123 8.00 6% 14.60    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LESTER by DANSKI)
6  SHAMRA Jul15 Jul01 Jun18 Jun03 May13 (loseth j)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 126 2.50    
  (by LENT out of HONEY DEW HONEY by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
CTM-6   08/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPA BELLA Jul23 Jul08 Jun23 May27 May13 (robertso)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 123 3.00 66% 0.50    
2  CUVEE TEE May27 Oct07 Sep24 Sep03 Aug27 (ward an)CHASE RICHARD 118 5.00    
3  AMBER PRINCESS Jul21 Jul07 Jun23 Jun09 May27 (o'hagan coll)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 4.00    
4  LETS GO ALL THEWAY Jun17 Jun09 May27 May13 Oct15 (kingston )ZENTENO JR 123 10.00    
5  SAVYSKYE Jul16 Jun23 Jun09 May13 Oct28 (russell mo)RIZO ALEXIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BE NAUGHTY WITH ME Jul22 Jul07 Jun27 Jun14 Nov25 (cone rodney)NATERA KEIHTON 125 2.50    
7  TALA Jul29 Jun09 May26 May12 Nov05 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTM-7   08/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Martin Deerline Juvenile Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRATED COCONUT         (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 119 5.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of HOLIDAY DIVA by LEMON DROP KID)
2  THUNDER ROARS Jul21         (payne)GASKIN ZAVIER 119 3.00 28% 2.50    
  (by MARINE LANDING out of HANGINGONAPRAYER by GRAND SLAM)
3  HE LIKES WINNING         (smith crai)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of GOLDEN ORB by ORB)
4  DOUG'S HERO Jul21         (pet)GONZALEZ ALONZO 119 8.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of COMPOSING by TOUCH GOLD)
5  JAKOBS ROCKET BOY Jul21         (rycroft tim)PRESCOD N'RICO 119 4.00    
  (by CAPE CANAVERAL out of JAKOBS ROCKET GIRL by KANTHAROS)
6  PATRIOTIC FREEDOM         (kingston rob)NATERA KEIHTON 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of MISS MARSHA LYNN by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
7  TIPSY TALES         (kettle)ASENCIO MARIANO 119 12.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of FLASK by MARIA'S MON)
8  ITSALLGOODMAN Jul21         (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 122 1.80 46% 1.20    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of GEISHA PEEBLES by FIRST SAMURAI)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.