Handicappers' Racing Form

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Century Mile
Saturday - August 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CTM-1   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CTM-2   Win (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CTM-3   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CTM-4   Win (2/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CTM-5   Win (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CTM-6   Win (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CTM-7   Win (8/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CTM-1   08/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEPMEINPOWER Jul23 Jul07 Jun09 May26 Mar07 (hedge rick)ZENTENO JR 125 2.00 52% 0.90    
WICKED WIZZY Jul29 May27 Sep03 Aug12 Jul29 (ward anderson)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 4.00 22% 3.60    
SMOKIN JOY Jul29 Jul09 Nov05     (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
DARLA'S FURY Jul22 Jul08       (vanoversch)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 120 4.50    
STARLIGHT LANE Jul23         (brown r)NATERA KEIHTON 120 8.00    
GOLDIE SOCKS Jul07 Jun09 May26 May06 Oct29 (kin)GRIFFITH DELANE 115 2.50    
 
CTM-2   08/05/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IT'S A FACT Jul22 Jul01 Jun03 May06 Oct29 (frey carson)BRYAN D 118 8.00    
PARKING PERMIT Jul01 Jun17 May26 Oct29 Oct15 (walper deann)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 3.00    
KYSTONE Jul22 Jul08 Jun23 Jun10 Mar26 (hedge rick)ZENTENO JR 120 2.00 58% 0.70    
RAILWAY Jul22 Jun30 Oct08 Sep24 Sep09 (baker)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 6.00    
BARE BACK JACK Jul16 Jul07 Jun23 Jun10 May27 (anderson gonzalo)NELSON DANE 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
MACHINE (ARG) Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 Jun02 May06 (gourdeau b)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 123 4.00 14% 6.00    
 
CTM-3   08/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTHS Sales Colts Purse ($50K) 34 C/G PT- 6:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISS ME HELLO Jul23 May27 May06 Oct29 Oct08 (kingston rober)NATERA KEIHTON 123 10.00    
ASYOUBELIEVE Jul22 Jun24 Jun03 Oct08 Aug20 (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 126 1.20 53% 0.90    
ITSMYDAY Jun23 Jun04 Oct08 Sep10 Aug20 (vanoversch)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 126 3.00 17% 4.80    
AMUSING WAY Jul22 Jun30 Jun03 May12 Nov04 (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 126 4.00 9% 9.80    
PADDYS ROCKET Jun30 Jun10       (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 5.00    
 
CTM-4   08/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 7:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIRDY'S ON FIRE         (zielke m)ASENCIO MARIANO 119 4.00    
SILKSTONE Jul21         (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 119 2.50 47% 1.10    
ASAMATTEROFFACTIDO         (smith rober)NELSON DANE 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
DARE TO COMPARE         (smith k)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 119 15.00    
E PAY ALL THE WAY         (laczo brant)ANDROS CORRINE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
EL CORRECAMINOS Jul21         (hedge rick)MARTI ALEXANDER 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
SKIPPER'S PRIDE         (kingston karli)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 8.00    
 
CTM-5   08/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTHS Sales Purse ($50K) 34 F PT- 7:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG HUG Jul21 Jul01 Jun20 Jun02 Oct29 (hedge rick)ZENTENO JR 123 1.80 60% 0.70    
STEVIE WONDER GIRL Jul21 Jun16 Jun02 Oct08 Sep10 (kettleson ali)MARTI ALEXANDER 126 4.00    
JELLI Jul21 Jul07 Jun17 Jun03 Nov04 (nicholson david)BRYAN D 123 15.00    
BOOTIFUL ROSE Jul21 Jul01 Jun16 Jun02 May12 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
SKIP'S ROCK Jul28 Jul07       (smith ro)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 8.00 6% 14.60    
SHAMRA Jul15 Jul01 Jun18 Jun03 May13 (loseth jim)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 126 2.50    
 
CTM-6   08/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPA BELLA Jul23 Jul08 Jun23 May27 May13 (robertson )GUERRERO FRANCISCO 123 3.00 66% 0.50    
CUVEE TEE May27 Oct07 Sep24 Sep03 Aug27 (ward ande)CHASE RICHARD 118 5.00    
AMBER PRINCESS Jul21 Jul07 Jun23 Jun09 May27 (o'hagan collee)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 4.00    
LETS GO ALL THEWAY Jun17 Jun09 May27 May13 Oct15 (kingston ro)ZENTENO JR 123 10.00    
SAVYSKYE Jul16 Jun23 Jun09 May13 Oct28 (russell moni)RIZO ALEXIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BE NAUGHTY WITH ME Jul22 Jul07 Jun27 Jun14 Nov25 (cone rodney)NATERA KEIHTON 125 2.50    
TALA Jul29 Jun09 May26 May12 Nov05 (biggs se)STEADMAN LEON 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTM-7   08/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Martin Deerline Juvenile Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 8:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRATED COCONUT         (smith r)MARTI ALEXANDER 119 5.00    
THUNDER ROARS Jul21         (payne j)GASKIN ZAVIER 119 3.00 28% 2.50    
HE LIKES WINNING         (smith craig )BALGOBIN KEISHAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
DOUG'S HERO Jul21         (petro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 119 8.00    
JAKOBS ROCKET BOY Jul21         (rycroft tim)PRESCOD N'RICO 119 4.00    
PATRIOTIC FREEDOM         (kingston rober)NATERA KEIHTON 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
TIPSY TALES         (kettleso)ASENCIO MARIANO 119 12.00    
ITSALLGOODMAN Jul21         (anderson gonzalo)NELSON DANE 122 1.80 46% 1.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.