Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Ruidoso Downs
Friday - August 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

RUI-2   WIN (1/8/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/5/3)-(1/8/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/5/3)-(1/8/5/3)-(1/8/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
RUI-4   WIN (2/10/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/10/9)-(2/10/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/10/9)-(2/10/9)-(2/10/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
RUI-6   WIN (5/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/1)-(5/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/8/1)-(5/8/1)-(5/8/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
RUI-8   WIN (1/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
RUI-10   WIN (5/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
RUI-2   08/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.6K) 35 ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOGAL CANYON Jun16 Jun03 May06 Apr08 Mar26 (meridyth david)VALDEZ S 123 2.00 37% 1.70    
HOLLYWOOD DAX May29 Jan24 Aug03     (gonzalez sal)JAIME R 123 15.00    
W F JAZZ CAT Jul15 Jun04 Jun24     (lambert c)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
GEEBEESBIGBOY Jul15 May21 Mar07 Feb07 Jan17 (soto salvador)MARQUEZ LARRY 123 6.00    
TEE ROY Jul15 Jun04 Apr16     (c)DE CRUZ 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
EL OCHO Jul15 Jun03 May21 Apr23 Apr08 (gonzalez ca)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 4.00    
TOO HOT FOR YOU Jul15 Jun03 May21 Apr23 Mar19 (gonzal)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 2.50    
HOLLYWOOD TIZ         (gonzalez sal)CEBALLOS F 121 10.00 37% 1.70    
 
RUI-4   08/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.5K) Purse ($12.1K) 35 ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROLL TO RICHES May29 May14       (madrid enriqu)MARQUEZ LARRY 123 15.00    
DIM THE LIGHTS Jul15 Jun04 Apr02     (cappellucci)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 15.00 17% 4.90    
SERPICO R S S Jun04 May21 May06 Mar28   (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 121 3.50    
MAMIE'S LAST HOPE Aug24         (martinez a)JAIME R 121 20.00    
SCR  ROYAL JOKER May14 Mar26 Mar04 Feb20 Jan28 (valerio raymond )HEBERT J 123 2.50 59% 0.70    
SCR  AL GRANO D ORO Jun03 May14 Apr30 Apr16 Aug03 (pierce )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 10.00    
FORWARD OBSERVER Mar21 Mar07 Feb14 Jan31 Dec13 (gonzalez sal)CEBALLOS F 123 4.50    
SCR  SHAME ON ZCUINTLE Jul15 Jun16 May21 Apr22 Jan31 (quiroz fil)RODRIGUEZ H 121 5.00    
THE BUSINESS MAN Jun16         (lambert case)MACIAS J 116 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  SEA OF INDY Jul29 Jun16 Jun03 May06 Apr23 (van cr)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KING BARON         (c)DE CRUZ 123 20.00    
 
RUI-6   08/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUEGRASS FAITH Jun23 May13 Apr29 Apr15 Apr08 (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
FIGHT ME Jun16 May06 Apr29 Apr02 Mar25 (figueroa )KELLENBERGER KODY 120 10.00    
SCR  PATRIOT Jul08 Jun16 Jun04 Mar14 Jan17 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 120 2.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  SOLID GOLD BAR Jul28 Jun23 May07 Nov01 Oct16 (barrio)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 120 15.00    
TUCUM Jul14 Jun11 May20 Apr08 Sep14 (buechler j)HEBERT J 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
OKIE FREEZE May06 Apr02 Mar14 Jan10 Dec13 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 120 8.00    
DO ME A FAVOR May21 Nov21 Sep28 Jul18 Jun27 (gomez alf)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 115 4.50    
SILVERWIND May13 Apr29 Apr09 Aug14   (green greg)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 6.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  DESERT REWARD May20 Apr22 Apr08 Mar07 Feb14 (marquez)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 12.00    
 
RUI-8   08/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'MAGAMBLER Jun18 Apr22 Apr02 Mar21 Jan17 (cappellucci dick)VALDEZ S 123 3.50 29% 2.40    
IZA DADDY Jun18 Apr22 Apr08 Jan10 Nov15 (c)DE CRUZ 123 2.00    
LOOKING FOR BULL Jun18 Apr02 Mar28 Mar21 Mar12 (hancock d)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 123 12.00    
BEAR BRIAN Jul16 Jun23 May14 Jan24 Jan08 (martine)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 6.00    
TRIPP A MATIC Jun23 Apr15 Mar28 Mar19 Mar05 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 123 6.00 18% 4.70    
SWITCHERONIMO Jun24 Jun18 Apr22 Mar28 Mar19 (zamora ch)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 2.50 20% 3.90    
DUBRONSKY Jul16 May06 Mar05 Feb21 Jan24 (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 12.00 6% 14.50    
 
RUI-10   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDIAN EXCELLENCE Jul14 Jun24 May13 Apr15 Mar14 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 2.00 17% 4.80    
SPECIAL PRIDE Mar21 Feb12 Jan17 Dec01 Oct30 (marr j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 123 6.00    
RAISE OUR FLAG Jul14 May07 Apr09 Mar14 Feb12 (g)DE CRUZ 123 12.00    
NO REGRETS N LOVE Jul14 Mar21 Jan17 Dec06 Oct30 (marr jo)FUENTES T 123 6.00 10% 9.10    
BEAUTIFUL BOUNTY Jun24 May07 Apr15 Apr08 Feb21 (duree dom)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 3.50 26% 2.80    
RESTLESS MOVER Jul23 Jun24 Jun10 Mar26 Mar14 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 12.00    
TURN ON ARCH Jul09 May20 Apr22 Feb19 Jan31 (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 123 2.50 22% 3.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.