Handicappers' Racing Form

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Century Mile
Sunday - July 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CTM-2   Win (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CTM-3   Win (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CTM-4   Win (2/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CTM-5   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CTM-6   Win (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CTM-7   Win (8/4/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CTM-8   Win (2/5/11/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CTM-2   07/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIS TIME SWEETIE Jul16 Jun16 May27 Sep03 Aug20 (davies deanne)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 8.00 21% 3.70    
SASSY CINDERELLA Jul16 Jun17 Jun03 Oct22 Oct07 (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 123 3.00 31% 2.20    
LILBITSPICY Jul21 Jul09 Jun10 May27 May12 (anderson)STEADMAN LEON 123 1.80 22% 3.50    
ANNA'S IMAGE Jul16 Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 May13 (smith cra)CHASE RICHARD 113 4.50    
REBATE Jul16 Jul01 Jun17 Jun02 May26 (smith ro)NATERA KEIHTON 118 2.00    
 
CTM-3   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT GARDEN Jul09 Jun16 Jun02 Mar19 Feb20 (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 1.80 23% 3.30    
DAZZLING MIST Jul16 Jun03 May26 May06 Apr24 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 3.00    
SHE LOVES WINNIN Jul09 Jun23 Jun02 May12 Nov04 (walper deann)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 4.00    
LITTLE HARPER Jul23 Jul09 Jun23 May26 May13 (rycroft tim)ZENTENO JR 123 8.00 16% 5.30    
FLORIST Jul16 Jun23 Jun03 May12 Oct28 (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 2.00 25% 3.00    
 
CTM-4   07/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUMP THE BRAKES Jul23 Jun24 Jun02 May13 Oct29 (o'hagan colleen)NELSON DANE 125 2.00 18% 4.50    
CHARMING VINTAGE Jul22 Jul08 Jun02 May12 Oct22 (wyness james)NATERA KEIHTON 123 4.50 23% 3.30    
AMEER Jul23 Jul08 Jun23 May12 Oct28 (biggs se)STEADMAN LEON 123 15.00    
SMART CAT Jul23 Jul08 Jun17 May06 Oct08 (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 118 3.00 19% 4.10    
CHRIS'S COMMAND Jul08 Jun02 May13 Oct07 Sep09 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.50 7% 12.80    
CARAVAN PRINCE Jun16 May26 May06 Oct22 Sep23 (hedge rick)ZENTENO JR 118 12.00    
RUN ROSSCO RUN Jul09 Jun16 May26 May13 Nov04 (petrows)GASKIN ZAVIER 118 10.00    
 
CTM-5   07/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUCHO MAGIC Jul08 May26 May06 Nov04 Oct21 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.00 57% 0.80    
DAD'S LEGACY Jul16 May06 Oct22 Sep17 Sep02 (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 5.00    
SCR  TAPIT TO THE WIRE Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 Mar17 Feb10 (robertson )GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 8.00    
SCR  RYANWATER Jul07 Jun24 Jun09 May27 Nov05 (heggie rod)NELSON DANE 125 12.00    
SCR  LIGHTENING ANNA Jun30 Nov04 Oct22 Oct15 Sep18 (tingle ken)MARTIN ANDRE 125 6.00    
PRESS GANG Jul08 Jun24 Jun09 May27 May13 (humbke )GASKIN ZAVIER 120 10.00 17% 4.80    
WHERE'S THE GOLD Jul16 Jul08 Nov05 Oct07 Sep09 (gilkyson ashle)NATERA KEIHTON 125 2.50    
 
CTM-6   07/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIMELY LIFE Jul16         (kettleson alivia)NELSON DANE 120 6.00    
ADIOS Y GRACIAS Jul16 Jun30 Jun10     (rycro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 120 4.00    
RAUSTY TREASURE Jun30         (grieves ron)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 15.00    
BOBS BUDDY         (ward anderson)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.50 27% 2.70    
TRAPEZE Jul08         (rycroft )ASENCIO MARIANO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KAPTAIN KOWBOY Jun30 Jun03 Nov05 Oct22 Oct01 (hawkes darcy)NATERA KEIHTON 120 10.00    
BARAK Jun30 Jun24 Jun10 May27 Apr08 (smith r)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 3.50 47% 1.10    
 
CTM-7   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABOVE AND BEYOND Jul09 Jun30 Jun03 May26 May12 (payne j)GASKIN ZAVIER 118 12.00    
MONEY MUNCHER Jul01 Jun03 May13 Apr09 Mar24 (nicholson dav)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 4.00 17% 4.80    
EL FANTASMA Jul31 Jul17 Jun29 Apr15 Mar26 (gregoire)STEADMAN LEON 123 20.00    
ESCROW STYLE Jul22 Jun30 Jun17 May26 May12 (coney jaso)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 125 2.50 20% 4.10    
SPORTSCARR Jul09 Jun23 Jun03 May26 May06 (heggie rod)NELSON DANE 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ICE BOX INDY Jul09 Jun16 Jun02 May12 Oct29 (leech h)ZENTENO EDGAR 125 5.00    
ARGENTINA CRIES (IRE) Jul22 Jun30 Jun17 Apr28 Apr08 (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 120 15.00    
MOHAMAD Jul22 Jun30 Jun17 Jun03 May06 (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
CTM-8   07/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIGHTFALL Jun30         (baker tama)GUERRERO FRANCISCO 120 15.00    
ZURI RISASI Jul09 Jun23 Jun09 May13 Sep17 (grieves ron)NELSON DANE 125 3.00 17% 4.80    
ARTHUR FONZARELLI Aug27         (hedge rick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 30.00 6% 16.80    
REAL JUSTICE Jul09 Jun30 May27     (kettleso)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 10.00    
PLUNGEINTOTHENITE         (kingston karl)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 20.00 17% 4.80    
BRODY'S PAL Jul09 Jun23 Jun03 Aug06   (mcdonald robert )MARTIN ANDRE 120 6.00    
WIZARDOFMENLOPARK Jul16 Jun19 Jun09 May26 May13 (o'hagan c)CHASE RICHARD 115 12.00    
FROSTEDBIRD Jul23 Jun30 May27 May06 Mar23 (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 120 15.00    
SUNDAY SUNRISE         (davies d)STEADMAN LEON 120 25.00 14% 6.20    
10  PRENTON Jul09 Oct01 Sep17     (bott sharon)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 25.00    
11  REMAIN CALM Jun23 May26 May13 Nov04 Oct14 (petrows)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 4.00 17% 4.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.