Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fanduel Racing
Saturday - July 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FAN-1   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(7/6/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(7/6/5/8)-(3/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FAN-2   WIN (7/6/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/5/8)-(7/6/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/5/8)-(7/6/5/8)-(7/6/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/5/8)-(3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5/8)-(3/7/5)-(4/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FAN-3   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/5)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5)-(4/1/3)-(5/4/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FAN-4   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(5/4/3)-(6/2/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FAN-5   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(6/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(6/2/7/3)-(4/3/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FAN-6   WIN (6/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/3)-(6/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/3)-(6/2/7/3)-(6/2/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/7/3)-(4/3/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FAN-7   WIN (4/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/5)-(4/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/5)-(4/3/1/5)-(4/3/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FAN-1   07/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOON PIES IMAGE Jun20 Jun06 May23 May09 Nov04 (essenp)BAILON JADHIR 126 8.00    
GHAALEB'S CITY Jul01 Aug23 Jun28 May28 May03 (becker scott)ORM CORY 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
GOLDICAT Jul04 Jun13 May30 May02   (coontz arthu)TAVARES JAVIER 118 1.00 30% 2.30    
WILDWOOD POSSE Jun14 Dec31 Dec09 Jul05 Jun14 (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 2.00 25% 3.10    
SHINE DOWN Jun06 May23 May09 Apr25 Nov04 (higgins dennis)SAMPSON KIM 126 10.00    
 
FAN-2   07/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I CAN'T TELL YA Jun24 Jun10 May23 Apr29 Apr18 (wells duan)SIMPSON M 126 6.00    
CALL ME DROSSEL May30 Apr29 Sep13 Aug20 Aug02 (nesbit)BAILON JADHIR 124 10.00    
FINE GRAYDAR Oct15 Sep02 Aug06 Jul12 Jun28 (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 4.50    
WARNING LABEL Jul04 Jun06 May23 May09 Apr25 (scalcione pete)ORM CORY 126 3.50    
COPPER CROSSING Jul11 Jun24 May30 Apr29 Oct22 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
FUTURE VISION Jul04 Jun20 Jun06 May23 May16 (juarez blas)TAVARES JAVIER 126 4.00 8% 11.20    
SHANGHAI SILVER May16 Apr25 Mar09 Dec16 Dec02 (butler ger)MOLINA F 124 3.00 66% 0.50    
STORMIN EL PRADO Jul01 Jun10 May30 May16 May02 (appleton josh)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FAN-3   07/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ABBMAR Jul04 Jun20 Jun03 May02 Sep23 (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 124 15.00    
WITCHING Jul08 Jun10 May30 May06 Apr18 (lynch e)DIEGO JAVIER 124 10.00    
LIL BIT TIPSEY Jul01 Jun13 May16 Sep13 Sep02 (mcewen j)ORM CORY 126 3.50 31% 2.20    
NEXT TIME YOU WIN Jul04 Jun13 May30 Apr29 Mar23 (nesbitt amy)TAVARES JAVIER 124 8.00    
ALMAFUERTE Jun01 May20 May06 Apr29 Mar19 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 124 6.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  SMILE AT THE STORM May25 May07 Mar26 Mar09 Dec31 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 4.50    
LIFE OF SATURDAYS Jul04 Jun03 May20 Apr25 Jan28 (martinez r)SIMPSON M 124 3.00 22% 3.60    
LINDALOUIMAGE Jul04 Jun13 May18 May04 Mar16 (quinon)BAILON JADHIR 126 4.00    
 
FAN-4   07/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO MADI GO Jun03 May20 May06 Dec18 Nov25 (plasters lo)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 1.80 24% 3.20    
ICY RIVER Jul01 Jun18 May06 Apr25 Mar30 (butler gerald)ORM CORY 126 1.60    
SAY CHEESE Aug19 Jun24 Jun10 May10 Apr23 (mcdonnell be)TAVARES JAVIER 124 10.00 6% 16.30    
DELIGHTFUL BREEZE Jun07 Apr29 Nov25 Nov02 Oct09 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 124 2.00 46% 1.20    
AROSE FOR LYLA May20 May06 Apr25 Nov13 Oct08 (essenp)BAILON JADHIR 126 8.00    
 
FAN-5   07/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IRISH DECLARATION Jul08 Jun20 Jun06 May09 Apr18 (martinez a)ORM CORY 126 6.00    
SCR  EVIDENCE Jun10 May20 Apr25 Dec30 Dec10 (c)ORTEGA HAROLD 114 20.00    
D' YANK Jul08 Jun24 Jun03 May09 Apr23 (martinez ra)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 3.00 18% 4.70    
SHANGHAI POINT Jun06 May20 Mar16 Jan29 Jan06 (butler ger)MOLINA F 126 4.50 19% 4.30    
STUMP Jul08 Jun24 Jun06 Sep13 Aug30 (appleton )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 6.00 26% 2.80    
NOT AGAIN JACKIE Jun27 Jun13 May23 May09 Apr22 (nesbitt amy)TAVARES JAVIER 126 3.50    
TALIS PARK GRAD Jun27 Jun06 Sep23 Aug23 Jul29 (butler gerald)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 4.00    
 
FAN-6   07/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT-10:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FASTNFURIOUS Jul04 Jun17 May16 May02 Apr13 (butler ger)MOLINA F 126 8.00    
CRANKSHAFT Jul08 Jun17 Jun03 May09 Apr18 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 126 4.00 28% 2.60    
MKAR THE FAST Jul08 Jun20 Jun06 Mar16 Dec11 (lynch )BAILON JADHIR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
TAP'S BIG SHOT Jun24 Jun03 May06 Apr25 Sep09 (randazzo )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 5.00    
MON AMI FUZZIE Jul01 Jun17 May30 May16 Apr18 (ackerman kelly)ORM CORY 126 6.00    
PAPA ROCKET Jul08 Jun24 Jun06 May18 Apr15 (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 2.00 38% 1.70    
TONYS MORNING LINE Jul08 Jun24 Jun06 May23 May09 (essenpreis)SIMPSON M 124 4.50 14% 6.20    
 
FAN-7   07/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROAD GAME Jul08 Jun27 Jun03 Apr25 Jun24 (durham mike)TAVARES JAVIER 124 2.50 15% 5.70    
KING TITO Jul05 Jun08 May21 Apr22 Apr09 (quinon)BAILON JADHIR 124 4.50    
MY LITTLE TIPSY Jul08 Jun24 May27 May09 Apr22 (butler gerald)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 3.00 22% 3.50    
BACKSHOT Jul01 Jun06 May06 May31 Apr10 (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 3.50 31% 2.20    
PRINCE OF MAYHEM Jun27 May27 May09 Apr25 Dec30 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 10.00 8% 11.50    
W W RUSSIAN GOLD Jul08 Jun27 Jun17 May20 May06 (r)ORTEGA HAROLD 116 12.00    
SOME DUDE Jun24 Jun06 May27 Apr29 Apr18 (wells duan)SIMPSON M 124 12.00    
IT'S BELLAMY TIME Jun27 Jun17 May27 May09 Apr22 (mullins d)ORM CORY 126 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.