Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fanduel Racing
Tuesday - July 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FAN-1   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(4/3/5)-(2/4/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FAN-2   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(2/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(2/4/3)-(5/1/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FAN-3   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(5/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(5/1/3)-(2/4/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FAN-4   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(2/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(2/4/5)-(1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FAN-5   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(1/5)-(8/3/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FAN-6   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(8/3/1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
FAN-7   WIN (8/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/1/6)-(8/3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/1/6)-(8/3/1/6)-(8/3/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FAN-1   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE EVEN SCORE Jun27 May02       (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 1.00 35% 1.90    
BRIANA HARPER Jun27         (essenpreis edwa)SAMPSON KIM 126 6.00    
TINA'S TAPIZAR Jun27 Jun13 May16     (plasters lori)ORM CORY 118 4.00    
FERGIE ATTACK         (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 118 8.00 13% 7.00    
DART ATTACK Jun27 Jun13 May16 May02 Sep20 (lynch e)DIEGO JAVIER 126 3.00 30% 2.30    
 
FAN-2   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENORITA AURORA Jun24 Dec04 Nov18 Oct30 Sep23 (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 124 8.00    
VIVA VIOLENCE Jun24 Jun03 May23 Sep10 Aug26 (butler gerald)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 3.50    
WARM BEAUTY Jun24 Jun10 Apr28 Mar24 Feb24 (durham)BAILON JADHIR 124 3.00 10% 8.70    
HALLIE'S RAINBOW Jun10 May27 Dec04 Nov18 Oct08 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 126 1.00 50% 1.00    
AMARI S. Jun24 Jun10 May23 May06 Apr22 (lynch harry)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 6.00 8% 11.50    
 
FAN-3   07/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COPPER CROSSING Jun24 May30 Apr29 Oct22 Oct07 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
ZARMAE May16 Apr30 Apr13 Mar26 Nov12 (bahena fernand)DIEGO JAVIER 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
GEORGE'S VISION Jun27 Jun13 May23 May09 Apr25 (durham mike)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 10.00 7% 13.90    
ARGYBARGY BUCK Jun24 Jun10 May30 Apr29 Mar05 (bahena fer)MOLINA F 124 6.00 22% 3.60    
OKLAHOMA HEAT Jun24 Jun13 May23 Dec07 Nov14 (durham)BAILON JADHIR 124 5.00    
SCR  FUTURE VISION Jul04 Jun20 Jun06 May23 May16 (juarez blas)TAVARES JAVIER 126 1.00    
 
FAN-4   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUREAU Jun24 May31 May11 Dec17 Nov20 (watkins jam)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 1.80 15% 5.80    
EL RAYO (ARG) Jun17 May27 Apr09 Sep30 Sep13 (manley)BAILON JADHIR 118 3.00    
LAYTON THE DAY Jun17 May09 Apr25 Sep16 Aug26 (plasters lori)ORM CORY 126 8.00 9% 10.10    
A MERRY HEART Jun17 May30 May02 Jun28 Jun04 (randazzo fra)TAVARES JAVIER 124 6.00    
FEVER NATION Jun10 May31 Apr20 Mar09 Dec30 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 1.40 50% 1.00    
 
FAN-5   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RA'DOM Jun27 Jun17       (castro isid)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 8.00    
  (by AWESOME HERO out of RAJULIE by BRAVE 'N AWAY)
WILDWOOD MINISTRY Jun11 May27       (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 1.00 62% 0.60    
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of RIDDLE ME THIS by BOONE'S MILL)
MY KINDA TETON Jul01 Jun20 Jun10 May05 Mar26 (durham)BAILON JADHIR 126 6.00    
  (by MYKINDACANDY out of TETON DANCER by TETON FOREST)
SECRET HONOR         (bahena ferna)TAVARES JAVIER 118 8.00 12% 7.10    
  (by CYBER SECRET out of GOLDEN HONOR by MR. PROSPECTOR)
DRAGGING MAIN Jun27 Jun10 May27     (durham mike)SANTIAGO VICTOR 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of MAKING HAVOC by GOTTCHA GOLD)
GRANDDADDYLONGLEGS Jun11         (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 3.00    
  (by THREE HOUR NAP out of WAYNE'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
FAN-6   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($23.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ST. LOUIE LOUIE Jun27 Jun03       (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 3.00 55% 0.80    
BLEEDING BLUE May27 Apr29 Nov12 Sep16 Sep09 (higgins dennis)SAMPSON KIM 124 6.00    
TRUIST Jun24 May30 Apr18 Sep23 Sep03 (wainwright joh)DIEGO JAVIER 124 3.50    
SCR  WILDWOOD RUBEN Jun10 May20 May06     (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 2.00    
HIGHLY PERFECT Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 May20 May06 (durham mike)ORM CORY 118 2.50 15% 5.50    
 
FAN-7   07/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUR DE' PORT Jun07         (quinon)BAILON JADHIR 118 3.00 11% 7.80    
  (by TOURIST out of LEISURELY RENNY by SIR LOREN)
CAHOKIA POSSE         (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 4.50    
  (by GHAALEB out of ALGONQUIN POSSE by POSSE)
TU ROYAL Jun25 Jun11 Apr18 Apr02 Mar12 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 3.50 13% 7.00    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of ROYAL POSH by POSH)
CALVIN'S GIRL         (plasters lori)ORM CORY 118 8.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of FASHIONABLY LATE by MY GALLANT)
REBA ATTACK Jun21 May25 May16 May02   (childers vance)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 12.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of LUCKY LIPSTICK by LUCKY LIONEL)
SKIP TO BALI         (wilborn kevin)DIEGO JAVIER 118 10.00 9% 10.50    
  (by BAL A BALI out of SPECIAL SKIPPY by SKIP AWAY)
LADY WHITE SOX Jun25 Sep19 Jun24 Jun10   (bahena ferna)TAVARES JAVIER 126 6.00    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of LADY'S QUEST by RAINBOW QUEST)
NAPABIT Jun25 May30 May16 May02   (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 4.00 30% 2.40    
  (by THREE HOUR NAP out of LOOKING FOR BITS by MONARCHOS)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.