Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Pleasanton
Sunday - July 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PLN-1   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/7/6)-(3/1/6/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6)-(3/1/6/8)-(4/2/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PLN-2   WIN (3/1/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/8)-(3/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/8)-(3/1/6/8)-(3/1/6/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/1/6/8)-(4/2/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6/8)-(4/2/7)-(6/9/2/4/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PLN-3   WIN (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/7)-(4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/7)-(6/9/2/4/3) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (4/2/7)-(6/9/2/4/3)-(7/5/6/1/8) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
PLN-4   WIN (6/9/2/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/2/4/3)-(6/9/2/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/2/4/3)-(6/9/2/4/3)-(6/9/2/4/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (6/9/2/4/3)-(7/5/6/1/8) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
    PK3 (6/9/2/4/3)-(7/5/6/1/8)-(1/5/7/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
PLN-5   WIN (7/5/6/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/1/8)-(7/5/6/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/1/8)-(7/5/6/1/8)-(7/5/6/1/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (7/5/6/1/8)-(1/5/7/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6/1/8)-(1/5/7/2)-(6/5/9/8/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
PLN-6   WIN (1/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/2)-(1/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/2)-(1/5/7/2)-(1/5/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/5/7/2)-(6/5/9/8/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/2)-(6/5/9/8/2)-(4/7/1/8/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
PLN-7   WIN (6/5/9/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/9/8/2)-(6/5/9/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/9/8/2)-(6/5/9/8/2)-(6/5/9/8/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (6/5/9/8/2)-(4/7/1/8/5) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
    PK3 (6/5/9/8/2)-(4/7/1/8/5)-(3/2/4/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
PLN-8   WIN (4/7/1/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/8/5)-(4/7/1/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/8/5)-(4/7/1/8/5)-(4/7/1/8/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (4/7/1/8/5)-(3/2/4/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/8/5)-(3/2/4/8)-(4/6/3/2/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
PLN-9   WIN (3/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/8)-(3/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/8)-(3/2/4/8)-(3/2/4/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/4/8)-(4/6/3/2/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
PLN-10   WIN (4/6/3/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/2/5)-(4/6/3/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/2/5)-(4/6/3/2/5)-(4/6/3/2/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PLN-1   07/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DOS VICIOS Jun17 May28 May05 Apr15 Mar24 (calvario )MARTINEZ CATALINO 122 5.00    
OH GREAT (IRE) Jun23 Jun04 May20 Apr23 Apr01 (rivera leobar)AYUSO ARMANDO 125 3.50    
NIGHT PROOF Jun04 May13 Apr22 Apr01 Mar05 (tamayo isidro)ROMAN A 125 2.50 34% 1.90    
TEX HANLEY Jun17 Jun03 May20 Apr29 Apr07 (france reid)MALDONADO E 125 6.00    
HEY MATE Jun18 May27 May13 Apr23 Apr02 (mclean bil)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 4.50    
ROISTER Jun04 May12 Apr22 Feb19 Jan28 (thomas ruby)PENA BRYAN 125 5.00 13% 6.80    
ROARING TIGER Jun25 May26 May04 Apr01 Mar09 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 123 6.00 21% 3.70    
 
PLN-2   07/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOUT IT OUT Jun25 Jun02 May26 May07 Mar14 (bainum kelly)ALVARADO T 125 3.50 17% 5.00    
GARDEES WORLD Jun23 Jun02 Apr30 Apr15 Mar26 (thomas rub)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 6.00    
TORREY'S GIRL May28 Mar24 Mar03 May01 Apr10 (thomas jamey)AYUSO ARMANDO 125 2.50 21% 3.90    
BLUEBERRY MUFFIN May28 May07 Apr16 Jul22 Jul03 (stortz marcia)ROMAN A 125 8.00    
PERFECTLY JULIE Jun25 Dec09 Nov18 Oct29 Sep30 (stortz m)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 5.00    
KITTEN'S KID May26 May07 Feb17 Oct28 Aug07 (miyadi steven)PENA BRYAN 125 4.50 16% 5.20    
SCR  LION'S LAIR Jun03 Apr16 Mar24 Mar03 Feb10 (torres arnold )HERRERA HUGO 125 6.00    
LIAM'S SECRET Jun25 Jun03 May07 Apr14 Jun03 (rich eduardo )RIVERA SANTOS 125 15.00 16% 5.30    
 
PLN-3   07/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MADEIRA WINE Jun24 May20 Apr30 Apr08 Mar18 (badilla manue)RIVERA SANTOS 121 10.00    
TWILIGHT EMPIRE Jun24 Jun02 May20 Apr21 Apr01 (delima clifford)DURAN F 121 2.50 13% 6.80    
ASSIGNATION Jun11 Aug28 Aug06 Jun25 May28 (sher)ANTONGEORGI JR 121 5.00    
STOIC LUNA Jun24 Jun02 Apr29 Mar24 Feb25 (steiner jack)ROMAN A 123 3.00 46% 1.20    
CALLHERCONTESSA Jun09 Apr22 Aug27 Jul29 Jun26 (mathis andy)MALDONADO E 121 4.00    
SCR  TOPANTICIPATION (GB) Jun11 May20 Apr30     (badilla ma)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 10.00    
REV REE Jun11 May20 Apr30 Apr15 Mar18 (sherman steve)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 3.50 10% 8.60    
 
PLN-4   07/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COACH OTT Jun10 May19       (wright bla)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
LIBERTY WOLF Jun18 May29 May06 Apr01 Mar17 (stortz marcia)ROMAN A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
GRACEFUL MISCHIEF Jun25 Jun11 Apr15     (puentes jo)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
FANTASTIC DREAM Jun18 May29 May06 Apr14 Apr01 (puentes jose)FLORES P 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TITOS WITH A TWIST Jun10 Jun02 Apr28     (miyadi steven)PENA BRYAN 122 2.50    
APPLE WARRIOR Jun25 May20 Apr22     (mathis andy)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 122 3.50 53% 0.90    
MR MAKUNOUCHI Jun03 Apr16 Apr01     (stortz m)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 15.00    
BALLROOM PRINCE Apr28         (sherman ste)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 6.00    
NOTCH Jun23 May28       (ledezma sergi)RIVERA SANTOS 122 20.00 19% 4.20    
10  STOUT Jun18 May29 Apr14 Mar25 Feb19 (rich eduardo )AYUSO ARMANDO 125 6.00    
 
PLN-5   07/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRANNIGAN Jun24 Jun04 Sep18 Aug20 Aug12 (pere)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of MISS BEEKMAN PLACE by YES IT'S TRUE)
BUY THE RUMOR Jun11 May14 Apr08     (ledezma ser)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 122 10.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ROZZIE by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
BOOMING BERNARDO Jun18 Jun03 May14 Apr15 Mar25 (stortz marcia)ALVARADO T 122 5.00    
  (by FULLBRIDLED out of TIP TOP LADY by MARINO MARINI)
VINNIEBOB Jun18 Dec11 Nov20 Nov06 Oct08 (davis c)FLORES P 125 6.00    
  (by COIL out of ACLEVERSHADEOFJADE by CLEVER TRICK)
RESERVE PROOF May27         (ruvalcaba)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
  (by IDIOT PROOF out of ROSSI RESERVE by EDDINGTON)
MY DAD IS THIRSTY Jul02 Jun24 Jun04 May21 May13 (perez sergi)ORTIZ A 122 15.00 13% 6.50    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of HAWK'S JOURNEY by GOOD JOURNEY)
ACERO Jun04 May14 Apr23 Feb04   (miyadi steven)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of INTENSIFY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
ZEE PERFECT STORY May27         (stortz m)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WHY NOT BE PERFECT out of SEA SIDE STORY by TALES NOT TOLD)
DAZZLE THE COMMAND Jun04 May19 Apr16 Mar25 Mar09 (galvin brendan)ROMAN A 125 4.00    
  (by FOREST COMMAND out of CAN'T BE DAZZLED by BLAME)
 
PLN-6   07/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Everett Nevin Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHADY APPEAL Jun11         (bonde jeff)MALDONADO E 120 2.00 34% 1.90    
  (by TWICE THE APPEAL out of SANTA LUCIA by CAHILL ROAD)
TIGER IN MY TANK Jun11         (steiner jack)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 5.00 5% 18.30    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of MARKS MINE by BENCHMARK)
DREAMFYRE         (jauregui j)DURAN F 118 12.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of APPRECIATING by SKY MESA)
LUSMA May28 May14       (bautista jose)HERRERA HUGO 117 20.00    
  (by CONQUEST FARENHEIT out of STRIKE AT DAYLIGHT by STRIKE FOR GLORY)
WILD JEWELS Jun25         (specht st)MARTINEZ CATALINO 120 4.50 25% 3.00    
  (by TAMARANDO out of RIBBON OF JEWELS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  HALO RANDO Jun11 May28       (specht steve)ALVARADO T 118 10.00    
  (by TAMARANDO out of HALO DARLIN by LUCKY PULPIT)
LAST CALL LONDON Jun11 May21 Apr30     (miller peter)ROMAN A 120 3.50 14% 6.10    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of ZO LO'S LOV by EMPIRE WAY)
SCR  BLEVYS TIGER Jun10 May14       (badilla man)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 117 8.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of RECOILING by COIL)
KRISTIN LEE Jun24         (tayl)ANTONGEORGI JR 117 10.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of NORMA by CITY ZIP)
 
PLN-7   07/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUSPICIOUS STYLE Jun11 May13 Apr22 Mar26 Mar04 (steiner jack)AYUSO ARMANDO 125 2.50    
TABLE FOR TWO Jun11 May27 May06 Apr15 Mar25 (trujillo victo)ALVARADO T 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
TOM AND JAZZY Jun16 May28 Apr21 Mar19 Feb05 (wright blaine)DURAN F 122 4.50    
BANDERA AZTECA Jun11 May27 May06 Apr15 Mar19 (tamayo isidro)PENA BRYAN 125 5.00    
HEAT N REHEAT May27 Apr29 Apr08 Mar09 Feb19 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
COUSIN RICHIE May28 Apr30 Apr02 Mar12 Feb18 (ledezma ser)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 122 4.00 67% 0.50    
ATTENZIONE Jun10 May19 Apr29 Apr08 Mar18 (thomas ruby)ROMAN A 125 5.00    
QUE SERA SIR RALPH Jun24 Jun10 May26 May07 Apr23 (johnson )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
ECOLOGIST Jun11 May27 May07 Apr23 Apr02 (calvario )MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PLN-8   07/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST Pleasanton Mile Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIPOLI May29 Mar19 Jan28 Nov22 Nov06 (sadler w)DIAZ RENE 123 4.50 6% 14.80    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of LOVE TRAIN by FULL PARTNER)
MIDNIGHT MAMMOTH Jun11 May27 Apr22 Mar19 Mar03 (dollase cra)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 123 30.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of TAKER HOME by VINDICATION)
KATONAH May27 Apr30 Apr09 Mar05 Feb03 (o'neill doug)PEREIRA TIAGO 123 8.00    
  (by KLIMT out of CTIMENE by CONSOLIDATOR)
I'MGONNABESOMEBODY May29 Jan15 Nov26 Nov05 Oct16 (mclean bil)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 4.00 48% 1.10    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of BROWN RICE by BIG BROWN)
KENNEBEC May12 Apr21 Mar25 Feb11 Jan12 (thomas ruby)PENA BRYAN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of THISDANSEISTAKEN by GATORS N BEARS)
IL BELLATOR May29 Apr29 Sep03 Aug13 Apr30 (bautista jo)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 121 5.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of KAILI by GRAND SLAM)
C Z ROCKET May27 May13 Feb17 Nov05 Oct01 (miller peter)ROMAN A 121 2.50 18% 4.50    
  (by CITY ZIP out of SUCCESSFUL SARAH by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
AMERICAN FARMER May29 Mar18 Feb19 Jan14 Dec10 (sher)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 10.00 6% 17.10    
  (by BLUEGRASS CAT out of FARMERS WIFE by QUIET AMERICAN)
BREAKFAST RIDE Jan28 Dec26 Nov25 Oct08 Aug20 (sadler w)MALDONADO E 123 12.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of UNACLOUD by UNACCOUNTED FOR)
10  TESORO Jun03 Apr29 Oct16 Sep03 Jul24 (jauregui j)AYUSO ARMANDO 123 8.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of TIZN'TSHEBEAUTIFUL by UNCLE MO)
 
PLN-9   07/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PERSUASIVE LIPS Jun02 May13 Apr21 Mar19 Jan27 (sher)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 2.00    
COUNCILWOMAN JILLY Jun23 May28 May07 Apr21 Mar12 (hobson simo)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 4.00 29% 2.40    
SHANGHAI MIST Jun03 Apr23 Apr09 Mar09 Feb17 (taylor faith)RIVERA SANTOS 125 5.00 38% 1.60    
BUSKER ALLIE Jun23 Jun09 May05 Mar19 Feb03 (bellasis tim)ALVARADO T 125 3.50 7% 13.90    
DRESS REHEARSAL Jun16 Jun03 May19 Apr16 Mar25 (calvario )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 10.00    
TAMARA MINE Jun24 May19 Apr21 Mar31 Mar17 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 8.00    
NAVY QUEEN Jun18 Oct28 Oct02 Sep16 Aug07 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 12.00    
BELLEO'S FOREST Feb19 Jan28 Jan08 Dec10 Nov06 (galvin brenda)AYUSO ARMANDO 125 6.00 5% 17.50    
 
PLN-10   07/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DO IT FOR DAVE Jun25 Jun03 May14 Apr23 Apr02 (eaton terri)ALVARADO T 122 15.00    
CANELITO Jun10 Sep09 Jul23 May21 Mar04 (thomas ru)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 6.00 7% 12.40    
AZURE STAR (IRE) Jun02 May14 Apr16 Mar25 Mar05 (mathis andy)ROMAN A 122 3.50 11% 7.80    
MACHO CHROME Jun10 May20 Apr29 Mar19 Feb20 (moger jr)DURAN F 125 3.00 41% 1.40    
HOT JOURNEY Jun23 Feb18 Jan21 Jan02 Nov27 (maravill)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 12.00 6% 16.30    
JOHNNY DAR Jun10 May20 Apr29 Apr01 Dec26 (tamayo isidro)PENA BRYAN 125 5.00 12% 7.30    
JERRY JEFF WALKER Jun17 May14 Apr30 Apr02 Mar03 (rivera leobar)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 6.00    
SGT POWELL Jun18 May14 Apr23 Apr02 Mar11 (jauregui j)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 5.00    
CUT ACROSS SHORTY May14 Apr30 Apr02 Mar12 Feb04 (haley gloria)HERRERA HUGO 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.