Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Winterthur
Sunday - May 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WNT-1   05/07/2023 17160ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 5UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REAL FACTOR Nov05 Oct22 Sep05 Aug01   (kingsley a)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 165 10.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of INDYNIABLE by A.P. INDY)
BLACKSTAIR ROCCO (IRE)         (stifel ada)SCULLY ELIZABETH 160 15.00    
  (by SHIROCCO out of CAPTAIN SUPREME by CAPTAIN RIO)
RHYTHMIA Apr22 Mar26       (mckenna to)BESWICK HARRISON 165 3.00 14% 6.40    
  (by MAJESTIC WARRIOR out of MYSTIC RHYTHMS by CITIDANCER (IRE))
DRUID'S ALTAR (IRE) Apr22         (dowling willi)GARNER THOMAS 165 6.00    
  (by MASTERCRAFTSMAN out of SHELL GARLAND by SADLER'S WELLS)
ADJUTANT (GB) Apr15 Mar26       (neilson kat)GALLIGAN GERARD 165 10.00    
  (by CHAMPS ELYSEES (GB) out of JUBILEE by HONOR GRADES)
THE BUTLER YATES (IRE) Apr22         (young f)DOYLE JACK 165 2.50 53% 0.90    
  (by YEATS out of KERRY'S GIRL by FLEMENSFIRTH)
SHAKA (GB) Mar26 Nov13 Oct29 Oct02 May14 (sushko tati)HENDRIKS PARKER 165 4.00 12% 7.50    
  (by EXIT TO NOWHERE out of SERAFICA by NO PASS NO SALE)
VINCENT VAN GOGO         (morris neil )WATTERS GRAHAM 165 8.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of HOTTIE DANCER by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
WNT-2   05/07/2023 17160ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 5UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOB'S BAR (IRE) Mar26         (mckenna to)BESWICK HARRISON 165 4.00    
  (by DARSI out of KILCOLTRIM SOCIETY by MOSCOW SOCIETY)
SHOOTIN THE BREEZE Apr22 Nov05       (neilson kat)GALLIGAN GERARD 165 10.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of PROF. MCGONAGALL by STORM CAT)
SCR  CAUSE FOR PARDON Apr15 Mar26 Aug22     (young f)DOYLE JACK 165 1.80 50% 1.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of PARDON MY EXCESS by IN EXCESS (IRE))
SCR  LAP OF THE GODS Mar26         (neilson san)HENDRIKS PARKER 165 2.00 23% 3.40    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of PUSH MY LUCK by PRESS CARD)
BRAVE DEACON Oct29 Aug15 Aug01 Jul13 Jun26 (davies g)PORETZ ERIC 165 8.00    
  (by ORIENTATE out of CHEVAUX by CORPORATE REPORT)
HERO'S RETURN Apr22 Oct29 Oct08     (beecher mark)BARGARY JAMIE 165 6.00    
  (by TO HONOR AND SERVE out of CITY EMPRESS by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
WNT-3   05/07/2023 17160ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($20K) 5UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FASHION LINE Apr15 Mar26 Oct08 Jul12   (neilson kathy)TIERNEY CONOR 165 1.20 64% 0.60    
MASTER SEVILLE Apr22 Apr15 Oct22 Mar27   (beecher ma)SCULLY ELIZABETH 170 0.80 15% 5.50    
CITY OF GRACE         (pinkard casey)PINKARD CASEY 148 10.00    
INLE         (dowling w)SCHWEIZER WHITNEY 155 8.00    
 
WNT-4   05/07/2023 7920ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse ($.001K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RHEBUS ROAD (IRE)         (dowling willi)TIERNEY CONOR 155 4.00 22% 3.50    
ROYAL REGATTA (IRE)         (sushko tatia)SUSHKO TATIANA 150 10.00    
GOOD BOY (FR) Aug29         (mckenna to)KORRELL VIRGINIA 150 15.00    
SLEIGHT OF HAND         (brion keri)SAUCEDO JESUS 145 2.00 50% 1.00    
REALIST (GB)         (hendriks r)SCULLY ELIZABETH 155 6.00    
TRANSIT Oct23 Sep25 Sep10 Aug15 Jul23 (voss elizabet)PINKARD CASEY 155 15.00 5% 19.00    
BEOWULF (IRE) Nov13 Oct15 Sep05 Aug08 Jul26 (dowling william)DALY GEORGE 150 10.00    
QUIDDITCH Sep18         (wyatt todd )KINGSLEY TAYLOR 150 8.00    
PRINCE KHOZAN         (mccue el)EISENBERG GRETCHEN 150 20.00    
10  ELEAZAR Dec04 Nov14 Oct29 Oct08 Sep30 (young lesli)CONNOLLY GEORGE 150 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.