Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Saturday - May 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (3/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/5/4)-(4/6/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5/4)-(4/6/5)-(3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SA-2   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(3)-(2/5/3/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SA-3   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/2) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3)-(2/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3)-(2/5/3/1)-(3/4) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
SA-4   WIN (2/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/3/1)-(2/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/3/1)-(2/5/3/1)-(2/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/3/1)-(3/4) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3/1)-(3/4)-(2/3) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
SA-5   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/8/1)-(3/4/8/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/4)-(2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(2/3)-(1/4/5/6) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
SA-6   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(1/4/5/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(1/4/5/6)-(3/5/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SA-7   WIN (1/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/5/6)-(3/5/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5/6)-(3/5/4)-(7/2/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-8   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4/1)-(3/5/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(7/2/9) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(7/2/9)-(5/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SA-9   WIN (7/2/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/9)-(7/2/9/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/9)-(7/2/9/1/5)-(7/2/9/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/2/9)-(5/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/9)-(5/7)-(2/7/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-10   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7)-(5/7/1/3)-(5/7/1/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/7)-(2/7/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
SA-11   WIN (2/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/8)-(2/7/8/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/8)-(2/7/8/9/1)-(2/7/8/9/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   05/06/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($63K) 3 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITZEL Feb11 Jan20 Dec02     (miller peter)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 108 3.00 22% 3.60    
2  CASTLEKNOCK Nov13 Oct23 Oct09 Sep14 Jul31 (miller peter)MALDONADO E 122 6.00    
3  MAS RAPIDO (GB) Apr09 Mar19 Jan27 Nov11 Oct02 (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
4  REXFORD Mar19 Jan27 Nov19 Oct21 Sep11 (d'amat)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 8.00 5% 18.60    
5  HOGMANAY (IRE)         (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 3.00 6% 15.70    
6  KID AZTECA Nov13 Oct23 Sep30 Sep11 Aug05 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 122 8.00    
7  ZE'BUL Dec04 Oct21       (hanson ryan)SMITH E 122 6.00    
 
SA-2   05/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($42K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALADI Mar31 Mar03 Feb11 Jan20 Dec31 (palma hector )FRESU ANTONIO 122 6.00    
2  ROOKIE MISTAKE Mar19 Jun11 May13 Feb06 Jan15 (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 5.00    
3  NEXT REVOLT Apr08 Mar04 Jan29 Jan02 Nov13 (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 122 8.00    
4  STRIKE THAT Mar26 Apr30 Apr09     (papaprodromou geo)FREY KYLE 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
5  REDLINE Apr23 Mar05 Feb19 Jan15 Oct29 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 2.50 18% 4.50    
6  TOOK CHARGE Apr23 Mar12 Jan15 Dec26 Feb04 (periban jorge)MALDONADO E 122 2.00 28% 2.50    
 
SA-3   05/06/2023 3960ft TURF RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  READY JET GO Apr07 Mar12 Feb04 Nov20 Oct21 (cunningham)VAN DRAYDEN 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
2  TAKE A LEAP Apr07 Mar04 Dec18 Oct22 Oct15 (saldana ree)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 5.00 ★    
3  ANNIE'S SONG (IRE) Apr01 Feb04 Nov20 Sep04 Jul24 (sadler w)CEDILLO ABEL 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
4  SOUL SWEET Mar19 Feb20 Jan22 Dec18 Nov25 (agarie rick)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 12.00    
5  OVER ATTRACTED Apr07 Nov19 Oct21 Sep22 Sep04 (dealba)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 1.80    
6  MONGOLIAN PANTHER Apr02 Mar18 Feb17 Nov27 Oct22 (bar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 4.00    
 
SA-4   05/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($35K) 35 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONTANA Apr09 Mar05 Jan06 Nov27 Oct16 (hess b)MALDONADO E 118 3.00 7% 13.70    
2  FINALLY AN EDDIE Mar18 Feb18       (callaghan s)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 3.00 47% 1.10    
3  BLUE CHEESE OLIVE Apr09 Mar25       (miller peter)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 119 2.50 10% 8.70    
4  R HEART OF GOLD Mar17         (mulhall kristin)BRAVO J 118 8.00    
5  STELLA BOY Apr09         (mccarthy s)GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 4.00 15% 5.90    
6  FORDY G Mar25 Mar05 May22     (hanson ryan)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 6.00    
7  MR. DISRESPECTFUL Apr03         (ruiz lorenz)AGUILAR ARMANDO 111 20.00    
 
SA-5   05/06/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POP POP'S DREAM Mar11 Jan28 Apr30 Mar11 Feb12 (puype mike)VALDIVIA JR 124 10.00 ★    
2  HAYLEY LEVADE Apr07 Mar18 Oct30     (stu)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 12.00    
3  LEISUREWEAR (IRE) Dec26 Nov11 Oct10 Sep10 Aug20 (d'amato phil)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 117 3.00 57% 0.80    
4  SHE'S A JOKER Apr07 Sep01 Aug21 Jul29 Jun17 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 124 8.00 19% 4.30    
5  MICRO SHARE Feb18 Jan20 Apr09 Mar11 Jan07 (mandella richard )SMITH E 124 4.00    
6  UNFAITHFUL WAYS Aug14 Jul28 May27 Apr17 Feb18 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 6.00    
SCR  AN AGENT MISTAKE Apr01 Mar18 May06 Apr09 Mar06 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 4.00    
8  ANNAGHLASA (IRE) Mar12 Jan28 Oct28 Mar11 Feb12 (d'amato philip)FREY KYLE 124 3.50 ★    
 
SA-6   05/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Lazaro Barrera Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE IN VERMILLION Apr08 Mar26 Jan29 Dec21 May07 (krulja)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 4.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of GIVEN STAR by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
2  HARD TO FIGURE Mar26 Feb04 Nov20 Sep25 Aug26 (baffert bob)CEDILLO ABEL 124 1.40 32% 2.20    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ANI LA by MR. GREELEY)
3  TAHOE SUNRISE Mar18         (baffert bob)SMITH E 120 3.00 26% 2.90    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of KOODORI DAWN by TALE OF THE CAT)
4  NAVY MAN Apr08 Jan22 Jan02 Nov13 Oct09 (mccarthy mic)DESORMEAUX J 120 1.60    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of GENTLE HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
SA-7   05/06/2023 4290ft TURF RC12 GOOD Senorita Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 7:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE WILD GRAZER (IRE) Mar18 Feb12 Jan08 Nov24   (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 3.00 27% 2.80    
  (by GUSTAV KLIMT out of TEXAS KATIE by CLODOVIL (IRE))
2  TEENA ELLA Mar26 Feb12 Jan06 Nov12   (mandella richar)MALDONADO E 120 2.50    
  (by WAR FRONT out of BEHOLDER by HENNY HUGHES)
SCR  AG BULLET Mar25 Feb12 Jan22 Nov12   (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 124 3.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of NOBLE GREY by FORESTRY)
4  PROCRASTINATION Apr01 Feb19 Aug13 Jul04   (mccarthy m)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 8.00 20% 4.10    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SKY SAVER by SUPER SAVER)
5  CHISMOSA Sep05 Aug07 Jul23     (deleon rafael)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 8.00 10% 8.90    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of YOU CAN DREAM by CAT DREAMS)
6  TOM'S REGRET Apr08 Mar12 Jun18 May05 Apr15 (miyadi steven)FREY KYLE 124 15.00 6% 15.50    
  (by TOM'S TRIBUTE out of PURE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  FAST AND SHINY Mar26 Feb19 Jan08 Nov12 Oct09 (baffert bob)CEDILLO ABEL 124 3.50    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SPOTTED HEART by LION HEARTED)
 
SA-8   05/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINTER FALCON Apr09 Mar12 Aug27 Jul28 Jun24 (wong jonathan)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 4.00 ★    
2  WARRENS CANDY MAN Apr23 Mar18 Feb19 Dec30 Oct07 (harris andrew)MALDONADO E 126 10.00    
3  SAWASDEE Mar12 Feb17 Jan15 Dec18 Nov24 (ellis ronald)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 119 2.50 54% 0.80    
4  BARSABAS Mar31 Mar19 Jan21 Oct07 Sep03 (truman eddi)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  BRUTTO Mar04 Jan13 May20 Apr16 Mar12 (ruiz lorenzo)CEDILLO ABEL 126 8.00 20% 4.10    
6  SONIC BREES Mar12 Feb17 Jan27 Jan15 Dec30 (ganbat enebis)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 8.00    
7  MITICO Apr09 Feb10 Dec10 Nov11 Oct22 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 126 3.50    
8  STIR THE POT Apr09 Mar12 Jul01 Jun11 May15 (knapp steve)HERRERA A 126 4.00    
 
SA-9   05/06/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($65K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROSBY BEACH Mar25 Feb03 Nov04 Sep05 Feb19 (mccarthy micha)CEDILLO ABEL 122 6.00 ★    
2  YES THIS TIME Apr08 Mar11 Feb05 Jan01 Dec04 (glatt mark)BRAVO J 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
3  TIDAL FORCES Apr08 Mar12 May14     (d'a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 12.00    
4  FLASHIEST Apr08 Mar04 Feb05 Dec26 Dec04 (powell leonar)FRESU ANTONIO 122 10.00    
5  TAISHAN Mar19 Aug21 May13 Mar13 Jan09 (papaprodromou geo)SMITH E 124 12.00 ★    
6  FAYATHAAN (IRE) Apr08 Mar12 Feb10     (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 122 20.00    
7  VANZZY Apr02 Jun19 Apr30 Mar25 Jan22 (blacker da)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 4.00 42% 1.40    
8  DEAN MARTINI Mar04 Jan08 Nov25 Jul24 Jun19 (eurton peter)MALDONADO E 124 6.00    
9  GENERAL MATHIS Apr08 Mar09 Feb20 Jan27 Mar07 (mulhall kris)DESORMEAUX J 124 3.00 7% 13.80    
 
SA-10   05/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($32K) Purse ($42K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLE SILVER Apr02 Oct21 Sep05 Jun18 Apr17 (d'amato phi)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 3.00 ★    
2  KUORA (PER) Mar12 Feb18 Feb03 Nov12 Oct15 (azc)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 15.00    
3  CODE RIBBON Apr01 Feb17 Dec30 Dec02 Sep25 (metz jeffre)HERRERA A 122 15.00 ★    
4  HARPER'S GALLOP Mar18 Feb18 Jan20 Dec16 Oct15 (powell)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 4.00    
5  SHEZA GIRLY GIRL Apr07 Mar09 Feb10 Jan07 Dec10 (papaprodromou g)MALDONADO E 124 4.00 47% 1.10    
6  CHARLOTTE HARBOR Apr02 Mar04 Feb11 Nov18 Oct15 (cerin vladim)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 115 5.00    
7  TAMING THE TIGRESS Mar17 Feb19 Jan07 Nov13 Oct30 (barocio librado)BRAVO J 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
8  CLASSICAL ROMANCE Apr02 Mar05 Feb18 Dec31 May08 (nehf jay)FREY KYLE 122 12.00    
 
SA-11   05/06/2023 3960ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCING RINCA Apr08 Feb20 Jan27 Nov19 Oct01 (drysdale neil)FRESU ANTONIO 124 20.00 ★    
2  CHERUBIC FACTOR Mar31 Mar04 Jun17 May21 May08 (eurton peter)MALDONADO E 126 3.00 64% 0.60    
4  UNCONQUERABLE KEEN (IRE) Jul23         (d'amato phili)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 4.00    
5  VANCOUGAR Mar26 Feb20 Jun04 May08   (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 10.00    
6  SMUGGLER'S RUN Oct16 Sep05 Aug05 May28 Apr09 (puype mike)BRAVO J 126 12.00    
7  THORNE HOUSE Apr08 Jan07 Oct10 Sep02 Aug07 (pederson dean)CEDILLO ABEL 126 2.50 10% 9.00    
8  KING APOLLO Apr08 Mar04 Jan22 May08 Mar13 (mulhall kris)DESORMEAUX J 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
9  FORGIVING SPIRIT Apr08 Mar05 Feb17 Jan22 Jan08 (miller peter)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 119 8.00 ★    
10  CALI BAY (IRE) May30 Mar05 Jan22     (d'a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 12.00    
SCR  KAHUNA MAGIC         ( )TBA null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.