Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Friday - April 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (2/5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/6)-(2/5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/6)-(2/5/4/6)-(2/5/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/4/6)-(6/3/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4/6)-(6/3/1)-(3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-2   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(3/1)-(6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
SA-3   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/1)-(6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(6)-(6/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
SA-4   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (6)-(6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6)-(6/4)-(1/10/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
SA-5   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/9) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/4/9)-(6/4/9) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/4)-(1/10/9) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(1/10/9)-(6/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-6   WIN (1/10/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/10/9)-(1/10/9/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/10/9)-(1/10/9/8)-(1/10/9/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/10/9)-(6/3/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/10/9)-(6/3/2)-(4/1/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SA-7   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2/5)-(6/3/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(4/1/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(4/1/2)-(6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-8   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
SA-9   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/4/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/4/10)-(6/5/4/10) 12 $0.50 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   04/28/2023 4290ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INNER BEAUTY (IRE) Jan23         (mullins jef)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 5.00    
DOLLY MAY (IRE) Mar09 Feb12 Jan13 Nov18 Oct15 (cerin vladimir)VAZQUEZ A 126 3.00 36% 1.70    
CHEERFUL CHARM Mar09 Feb12 Jan13 Oct30 Aug06 (winick d)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 126 12.00    
TRAVEL SMART Jul02 Jun18 May27 Apr15 Mar12 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 126 3.00 16% 5.20    
KATERINI Apr01 Feb19 Dec31 Nov06 Oct22 (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 2.50 18% 4.60    
JAMIES INHERITANCE Apr01 Mar11 Feb18 Feb01   (kruljac er)DESORMEAUX J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
GRITTY GIRL May27 Apr08 Feb13 Jan08   (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 6.00    
BACK ON THE STREET Mar19 Feb11 Dec09 Oct28 Aug27 (bell r)FREY KYLE 126 10.00    
 
SA-2   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($40K) 35 M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BILLY GALLIVAN         (truman eddie)FREY KYLE 118 12.00 15% 5.60    
MONEY BABY Mar13         (blacker daniel)MALDONADO E 126 4.00    
ANYBODY'S CHOICE Mar05 Feb10 Jan02 Nov18   (kitchingman a)VALDIVIA JR 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
OUR KENTUCKY ROSE Mar31         (bonde jeff)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 12.00    
LULU LEMON DROP Apr07 Mar18       (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50    
SIDE BY SIDE Jan28 Oct30 Oct08 Aug25 Apr30 (headley kar)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  CHROME DESSERT Oct04         (knapp steve)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 5.00    
 
SA-3   04/28/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($42K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MECKLENBURG (IRE) Mar12 Feb05 Jan08 Dec04 Oct23 (mullins je)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 2.00 13% 6.80    
HUDSON RIDGE Jan08 Dec26 Dec04 Jun11 May14 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50    
RIJEKA (IRE) Aug05 Jun19 May15 Apr30   (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 122 2.50 61% 0.60    
NEPTUNE'S STORM Jan20 Dec11 Nov05 Oct08 Sep09 (farias adan)RAMIREZ RICARDO 122 10.00    
RIP CITY Feb05 Dec26 Nov26 Nov05 Oct08 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 6.00    
SPIRIT MAKER Mar27 Jan21 Nov27 Nov06 Oct07 (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 5.00    
 
SA-4   04/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVINE RASCAL Apr02 Mar09 Feb17 Apr02 Feb27 (periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 2.50    
BIG SPLASH Apr02 Mar09 Jan13 Apr17 Feb20 (pin)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 126 4.00    
QUICK INTRO Apr07 Mar09 Feb10 Jan21 Dec17 (morfin serg)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 6.00    
CURLY ESA Apr07 Mar24 Feb18 Dec31 Dec11 (oviedo phil)HERRERA A 126 5.00    
KRIXUS FLASH Mar03 Dec16 Nov25 Sep16 Sep01 (stute gary)FREY KYLE 118 5.00    
SONOFAFINCH Jun10 May20 Apr03 Mar13 Feb11 (wong jonathan)VAZQUEZ A 126 2.00 68% 0.50    
 
SA-5   04/28/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 35 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET THE GOLD         (mulhall kristin)BRAVO J 118 12.00    
  (by PASSION FOR GOLD out of HONDO'S WAY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
BIG ATTITUDE         (blacker daniel)MALDONADO E 118 12.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of B POSITIVE by THEWAYYOUARE)
RED AND READY         (agarie rick)HERRERA A 126 20.00    
  (by VRONSKY out of WILD FLEECE by HUSSONET)
GRAND TIGER         (koriner bri)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 2.50 5% 19.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of GRAND YODELER by SWISS YODELER)
STYLISHLYACCLAIMED         (gaines carla)ESPINOZA V 118 12.00    
  (by ACCLAMATION out of ELEGANTLY by DESERT SECRET (IRE))
MOON ICE Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 Nov06 Sep09 (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 72% 0.40    
  (by HE BE FIRE N ICE out of WILD PHOEBE by OFFLEE WILD)
CALIFORNIA BAY         (mullins jeff)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 10.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of TAMARACK BAY by DEHERE)
TITOS WITH A TWIST         (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of MADDY'S HEART by LION HEARTED)
BARELY FUNTIONAL Apr08 Mar18       (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 3.00    
  (by MRAZEK out of WALKINGONADREAM by TAPIT)
10  CALIFORNIA TIGER         (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 118 6.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of LONI'S APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
SCR  TIZZ A GOOD THING Apr01         (gaines carl)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 4.00    
  (by VRONSKY out of TIZZY MISS by CEE'S TIZZY)
SCR  UNCLE JOHN Apr01         (eurton pete)AGUILAR ARMANDO 111 8.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of CAMINO SONG by KODIAC)
SCR  GHOSTLY ACT Apr01 Mar03 Feb04 Jan06   (winick debbie)FREY KYLE 118 5.00    
  (by ACCLAMATION out of DEBBIES CUTE GHOST by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  TOM HORN Apr09 Aug20       (miyadi steven)FREY KYLE 118 12.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of MIRANDA ROSE by TRIBAL RULE)
 
SA-6   04/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 35 ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NICKEL NICKEL NINE Apr14 Mar25 Feb26 Feb04 Jan06 (wong jonathan)VAZQUEZ A 126 3.50 28% 2.60    
GOLD EXPRESS Apr01 Mar18       (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 15.00    
SCR  TAPIT DOWN Mar18 Mar11 Feb17 Jan29 Dec31 (gomez ruben)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 111 30.00    
SCR  KREACHER         (hanson ryan)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 126 8.00 12% 7.60    
LE VRON JAMES Mar17 Feb03       (koriner bri)HERRERA A 118 12.00    
DONTTESTYOURLUCK Apr01 Mar26 Feb10 Jan15 Dec31 (o'neill dou)AGUILAR ARMANDO 111 3.00    
SAMBA FLAVOR Dec31 Nov12 Jun25 May06 Feb06 (gallagher )VAN DRAYDEN 126 15.00    
TAKE CHARGE CURLY Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 Jan21 Jan08 (ovi)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 4.00    
BALLROOM PRINCE         (mullins )ELLINGWOOD A 126 10.00 13% 6.80    
10  BUCK OWENS Mar17 Feb18 Jan28 Jan08 Nov27 (miyadi ste)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  DEEP RIVER Mar26 Jan15 Jan08 Aug26 Jul24 ( )TBA null      
 
SA-7   04/28/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARRIOR'S MOON Sep22 Sep01 Jul31 May30 May08 (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 12.00    
SUNSHINE BABE Apr07 Jan28 Jan07 Nov25 Oct30 (polanco marc)DESORMEAUX J 126 3.00 6% 14.90    
ELEUTHERA Mar17 Jan28 Dec26 Jun05 Apr09 (cecil d)GUTIERREZ MARIO 126 2.50 33% 2.00    
SHEZMISBEHAVING Mar26 Feb12 Nov04 Oct09 Aug28 (gutierrez jorge)FREY KYLE 126 10.00    
GOLDEN AGAIN Mar31 Mar03 Jan29 Jan07 Dec09 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 6.00    
TRUE PATRIOT Jan28 Dec26 Nov25 Oct28 Aug19 (gaines car)HERNANDEZ J 126 4.00 36% 1.80    
GHOSTEM Apr01 Mar17 Jun05 May27 May06 (papaprodromou g)MALDONADO E 126 6.00    
MADIHA May20 Apr15 Mar26 Mar11 Feb04 (dollase cra)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 8.00    
 
SA-8   04/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($71K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EDA Mar06         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.60 24% 3.20    
KRISTI'S TIGER Mar26 Feb20 Jan06 Oct15 Oct01 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 119 8.00 22% 3.50    
HALF PAST TWELVE Mar25 Jun11 May07 Feb12 Jan16 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 12.00    
TEDDY'S BARINO Feb18 Oct02 Sep05 Aug07 Jun05 (glatt mark)SMITH E 121 1.80 29% 2.50    
VIOLENT RUNNER Mar25 Feb05 Dec31 Nov27 Sep22 (knapp steve)MALDONADO E 122 4.00    
HEELS UP Mar06         (baffert bob)VAZQUEZ A 122 5.00    
 
SA-9   04/28/2023 4290ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($35K) 35 ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MT. ZEROR         (hanson ryan)SMITH E 118 10.00    
WARRIOR ROAD Mar17 Jan27 Dec18 Nov18 Jun19 (yaktee)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 3.50    
MOON TIME Mar18 Feb17 Jan08 Aug11   (saavedra an)HERRERA A 118 20.00    
PORT ROYAL Jul16 Jun22 Jun09 Mar18 Feb19 (desormeaux j)DESORMEAUX J 126 12.00    
HEARTBREAK KID Dec04 Nov04 Oct07 Sep11 Aug06 (o'neill doug)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 6.00 6% 14.60    
BATTLE CALL Apr16 Mar19 Feb20     (sadler j)ELLINGWOOD A 126 4.00 65% 0.50    
SCR  OVERRULE Jan27 Apr02 Mar05     (mandella r)HERNANDEZ J 126 4.00    
CHARLIE'S GHOST Feb26         (pal)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 126 12.00    
CARPE BELLUM Mar17 Mar18 Feb25 Jan09   (koriner brian)VAZQUEZ A 126 8.00    
10  SNAPP DADDY Mar04 Feb04 Jan06     (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 118 6.00    
SCR  HABEAS Mar26 Feb10 Jan02 Oct30   (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50    
SCR  MEGA MOON Mar27         (miller peter)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 111 8.00    
SCR  EL ORO (FR) Mar30 Dec24 Nov27     (barocio librado)VAZQUEZ A 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STORMING CHROME Apr01 Mar09 Jan29 Nov24 Oct23 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 126 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.