Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Sunday - April 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/4)-(1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(1/3)-(1/2/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SA-2   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/4/7)-(1/3/4/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/3)-(1/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(1/2/4)-(5/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-3   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(5/3/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(5/3/6)-(1/5/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SA-4   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(1/5/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(1/5/7)-(1/7/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SA-5   WIN (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/7)-(1/5/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/7)-(1/5/7/2)-(1/5/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/5/7)-(1/7/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7)-(1/7/2)-(4/6/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-6   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2/11) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/2/11)-(1/7/2/11) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/2)-(4/6/7/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2)-(4/6/7/1)-(2/4/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SA-7   WIN (4/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/1)-(4/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/1)-(4/6/7/1)-(4/6/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/7/1)-(2/4/5/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7/1)-(2/4/5/6)-(8/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SA-8   WIN (2/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6/7)-(2/4/5/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/4/5/6)-(8/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5/6)-(8/1/5)-(1/2/11/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
SA-9   WIN (8/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/5)-(8/1/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/5)-(8/1/5/2/6)-(8/1/5/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/1/5)-(1/2/11/8/4) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
SA-10   WIN (1/2/11/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/11/8/4)-(1/2/11/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/11/8/4)-(1/2/11/8/4)-(1/2/11/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   04/23/2023 3960ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REDLINE Mar05 Feb19 Jan15 Oct29 Sep30 (knapp steve)VAZQUEZ A 122 5.00    
2  COMMANDER (FR) Jan13 Nov06 Oct08 Sep01 Jul30 (palma o)ESPINOZA V 122 3.00 51% 1.00    
3  JETOVATOR Feb11 Oct16 May15 Mar20   (eurton peter)MALDONADO E 122 2.50    
4  TOOK CHARGE Mar12 Jan15 Dec26 Feb04   (periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
5  CREW DRAGON Mar04 Jan21 Dec04 Oct23 Jun12 (azcarate da)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 20.00 ★    
6  SOUTHERN HORSE (ARG) Apr08 Feb11 Jun19 May13 Apr01 (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.80    
 
SA-2   04/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 35 M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONQUISTAR Mar03 Feb05       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.60 48% 1.10    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MY MISS CHIFF by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  ROSES N' CHROME         (saldana reed)ESPINOZA V 118 30.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of CUDDLE ALERT by BEDFORD FALLS)
3  RUBY NELL Mar18 Jan22       (mandella richar)VAZQUEZ A 118 1.80 28% 2.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of RICH LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
4  APPLE FEST         (baffert bob)CEDILLO ABEL 118 3.00 ★    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of STARLIKE by ESKENDEREYA)
5  COLLECTMYTHOUGHTS         (koriner bri)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 6.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of VOLTARRA by GIACOMO)
6  DUCHESSOFBAYRIDGE         (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 118 15.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of HATPIN by SMART STRIKE)
7  VIRASANA Mar18         (eurton peter)MALDONADO E 118 12.00 ★    
  (by LORD NELSON out of ASANA by ARCH)
 
SA-3   04/23/2023 4290ft TURF RC11 FIRM Siren Lure Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIR FORCE RED Mar04 Feb04 Dec31 Oct29 Oct01 (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.20 20% 4.10    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of MESANA by MIZZEN MAST)
2  WHATMAKESSAMMYRUN Mar05 Dec31 Dec03 Oct01 Sep04 (glatt mark)BRAVO J 124 2.50 19% 4.20    
  (by WE MISS ARTIE out of REGGAE ROSE by TOUCH GOLD)
3  INDIAN PEAK Mar19 Jul24 Apr30 Apr10 Mar20 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 124 5.00    
  (by COMIC STRIP out of MS. BOOTY by ROAR)
4  SUNRISE JOURNEY Apr07 Mar12 Feb20 Jan20 Dec11 (barocio librado)MALDONADO E 124 4.00 19% 4.20    
  (by GOOD JOURNEY out of PLEASING SUNRISE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  BURNIN TURF Feb18 May29 Apr09 Mar05 Jan30 (blacker dan)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 5.00    
  (by ACCLAMATION out of HOT OUTTA THE OVEN by VRONSKY)
 
SA-4   04/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($40K) 35 ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAZEN BULL         (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 120 6.00    
2  AMERICAN LIVIN         (powell leonard)BRAVO J 120 12.00    
3  MOR TEQUILA Aug18         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 23% 3.30    
4  PRINCIP Feb20 Dec26 Nov18 Oct23   (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 3.00    
5  MOTORCADE Feb04 Jan06       (sadler john)HERRERA A 120 4.00 38% 1.60    
6  EVER A REBEL Jan29 Oct08 May12     (d'amato philip)MALDONADO E 120 2.00 17% 4.90    
 
SA-5   04/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISS MY KAT Mar27 Mar03 Jan22     (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 3.00 55% 0.80    
2  SHEMAKESCENTS Mar12 Feb11 Jan27 Dec09 Nov20 (brinkerhoff)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 12.00 ★    
3  LASTING LOVE Mar09 Jan22 Dec18     (callaghan )HERNANDEZ J 126 2.50    
4  JORDAN Mar09 Jan08 Dec03 Nov11 Oct05 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 118 4.00    
5  SILENT BEAUTY Mar12 Jan20 Dec09 Apr10 Feb27 (eurton pet)VAN DRAYDEN 126 3.00 13% 6.80    
6  CAL Nov04 Oct10 Sep18 Aug28 Jul02 (ruiz lorenz)HERRERA A 126 8.00    
7  IT'S SAUL RIGHT Mar26 Mar03 Jan29 Oct28 Sep25 (periban )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 118 8.00 7% 13.70    
 
SA-6   04/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($35K) 35 M/F PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAMBALA GIRL Apr01         (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 4.00 37% 1.70    
2  BOGINSKAYA         (m)ROJAS EDUARD 118 5.00 6% 15.20    
3  CHEVY GIRL Mar27 Jan22 Nov04     (wallace jerr)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 119 5.00    
SCR  TURQUOISE BIKINI Mar27 Mar09 Feb17 Jan27 Jan02 (morfin sergio)CEDILLO ABEL 118 6.00    
SCR  NEVER NOT ONCE         (aguirre paul)VALDIVIA JR 126 6.00 ★    
6  CLASSY CANDY Mar19 Feb19       (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 118 12.00    
7  STAY IN LINE Mar19 Feb17       (periba)BERRIOS ISAAC 118 3.50 34% 1.90    
8  COPPER BO TEN Jan28 Jan02       (gaines carla)ESPINOZA V 126 12.00    
9  ZZYZX Jul23         (ord)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 20.00    
10  TIME TOGETHER Mar12 Jan02 Nov20 Oct29 Sep03 (hanson r)ELLINGWOOD A 118 20.00    
11  SHEZA LUCKY CHARM Apr01 Mar09       (powell leon)AGUILAR ARMANDO 111 20.00 ★    
 
SA-7   04/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRANADA FLAVOR Mar18 Jan21 Dec30 Dec10 Oct28 (mccarthy sean)CEDILLO ABEL 126 2.50 7% 14.00    
2  WARRENS CANDY MAN Mar18 Feb19 Dec30 Oct07 Aug06 (harris andrew)MALDONADO E 126 6.00    
3  TEMBO Mar19 Apr02 Feb20 Jan17   (miyadi steve)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 119 12.00    
4  STORMY SAMURAI Mar31 Mar04 Jan14 Dec26 Dec04 (puy)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 126 4.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  CHICKASAW Jan27 Jan06 Jul09 Jun05   (bell r)FREY KYLE 126 12.00    
6  PAPALE Mar18 Feb19 Dec30 Dec04 Jul22 (mulhall kristin)BRAVO J 126 4.00 25% 3.00    
7  SETTECENTO Mar18 Feb19 Feb03 Dec30 Dec17 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 4.00 10% 9.40    
8  MONGOLIAN FORD Apr09 Feb12 Jan29 Oct28 Apr08 (knapp steve)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 8.00    
 
SA-8   04/23/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 35 M/F PT- 7:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETSY IS THE CODE Mar19 Feb19       (alvare)BERRIOS ISAAC 118 30.00    
  (by DESERT CODE out of CALL BETSY by FLAT OUT)
2  ROSIE FORECAST Mar19 Feb19       (cecil d)GUTIERREZ MARIO 126 3.00 41% 1.40    
  (by NYQUIST out of TANGELO by OLYMPIO)
3  PALACSINTA Mar04 Feb17 Feb05     (yakteen tim)AGUILAR ARMANDO 111 12.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of WHOOPI by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  CANDY ON TOP Mar26 Feb12 Jan13 Nov27 Nov04 (gaines car)HERNANDEZ J 126 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CANDY CAUSEWAY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  IDESSIA Mar19 Feb03       (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 2.50 8% 11.70    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of SILVER SWALLOW by ALPHABET SOUP)
6  TIMELY LUCK Apr07 Feb05 Jan07     (mccarthy sean)FREY KYLE 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of THIRD TIME LUCKY by GILDED TIME)
7  ELA CALIMERA MOU Mar18 Feb19 May06 Apr10 Mar20 (lenzini michae)CEDILLO ABEL 126 8.00 ★    
  (by CALIMONCO out of CRAZY TRICIA by MOMENTUM)
8  YVETT'S SURPRISE Mar26 Feb17       (periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 15.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of R SUNDAY SURPRISE by LUCKY PULPIT)
9  TAPIT ROCKS Mar26 Feb12 Jan13 Dec03 Apr17 (dun)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 126 30.00    
  (by HEAVEN'S GLORY out of INCREDIBLE TEN by ROCK HARD TEN)
 
SA-9   04/23/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG SWEDE Mar31 Jan21 Dec30 Dec04 Nov13 (cerin vladim)BARBOSA CARLOS 116 5.00 15% 5.80    
2  ECONOMICAL Feb20 Dec30 Dec17 Oct28 Oct07 (mccarthy sean)CEDILLO ABEL 126 6.00 ★    
3  GUARDSMAN PASS Mar26 Feb28 Feb06 Jan11 Dec27 (metz jeffrey)VALDIVIA JR 126 30.00    
4  DIVINE FEMININE Mar31 Mar09 Jan20 Oct30 Oct09 (ganbat eneb)HERRERA A 126 10.00    
5  CHICKNFINGERFRIDAY Mar18 Feb10 Jan08 Nov25 Oct22 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 118 3.00 8% 12.20    
6  CARELESS KITTEN Mar31 Jan21 Dec17 Nov12 Oct09 (brinkerhoff val)VAZQUEZ A 126 6.00 ★    
7  LITTLEBROTHERJOEY Mar25 Dec02 Oct30 Oct16 Aug18 (blacker dan)AGUILAR ARMANDO 111 5.00    
8  MISSED CALL Feb11 Jan02 Dec11 Oct08 Sep10 (aguirre pau)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 3.50 56% 0.80    
9  CRYPTO MUNNY Mar27 Feb10 Dec04 Nov04 Sep30 (kru)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 126 10.00    
 
SA-10   04/23/2023 5940ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($35K) 35 ALL PT- 8:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE KEY IS UNITY Mar26 Feb19 Jan21 Nov25 Oct28 (pederson dean)VAZQUEZ A 126 6.00 40% 1.50    
2  KEEN TO GO Apr02 Mar11 Feb04 Dec30 Dec04 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 118 4.00 21% 3.90    
3  TRUMP FORTY FIVE         (powell leonard)CEDILLO ABEL 126 20.00    
4  CHURCHMEISTER Mar26         (jon)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 126 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  CRYPTOHOLIC Mar09 Aug07 Jun12     (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 118 5.00    
6  HORNUNG Feb12         (mandella ri)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 8.00    
7  TIZ A CLASS ACT         (powell leon)HERRERA A 126 20.00    
8  RUSSELLS HUSTLE Mar11 Feb17 Jan15 Dec04 Oct09 (papaprodro)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 6% 16.70    
9  STORM THE NIGHT Mar12 Feb17 Jan06 Nov19 Aug20 (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 6.00    
10  BLUEGRASS RYDER Mar11 Feb17 Jan21 Dec04 Oct23 (oviedo phil)FREY KYLE 118 12.00    
11  BELMONT BILL Mar26 Feb19 Jan29 Apr16 Mar27 (saavedra an)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 3.50 13% 6.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.