Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Wednesday - April 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (3)-(4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3)-(4/1)-(5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
WRD-2   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/1)-(5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(5/2)-(3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
WRD-3   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/2)-(3/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(3/1/4)-(1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
WRD-4   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(1)-(2/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
WRD-5   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (1)-(2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1)-(2/5/1)-(3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
WRD-6   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(3/6)-(5/8/10/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
WRD-7   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/6)-(5/8/10/7) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
WRD-8   WIN (5/8/10/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/10/7)-(5/8/10/7/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (5/8/10/7)-(5/8/10/7/3)-(5/8/10/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   04/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHERN ORBIT Mar14 Feb17 Jan20 Nov12 Oct13 (pruitt jody )JORDAN R 124 2.00 ★    
2  ROWDY GALE Mar21 Mar14 Dec08 Nov19 Nov05 (oberlande)TRIANA JR 124 15.00 ★    
3  BABY LIAISON Mar21 Mar13 Dec16 Nov19 Oct20 (gladd andy)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 1.60 58% 0.70    
4  WHAT ABOUT JIMMY Mar14 Dec09 Nov11 Jun14 May16 (brooks jimm)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 8.00    
5  SWEET ALEX Mar07 Feb05 Nov03 Oct06 Aug27 (craddock k)ERAMIA E 118 1.80    
 
WRD-2   04/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EURO SUPRISE Mar07 Dec01 Oct21 Oct06 Sep22 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 124 3.00 16% 5.40    
2  ONOMATOPOEIA Mar07 Jan22 Dec12 Dec01 Nov15 (williams steve)MORA GERARDO 124 8.00    
3  OKIE UNION Sep30 Aug26 Jul11 Jun20 May17 (hunt s)TRIANA JR 124 8.00    
4  ROWDY RIVER Mar20 Mar07 Dec15 Dec07   (gladd andy)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 1.40 54% 0.90    
5  BROTHER AARON Mar20 Mar07 Feb11 Jan22 Jan06 (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 124 1.80 ★    
 
WRD-3   04/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJOR GRIFFIN Mar27 Mar21 Mar07 Dec10 Dec02 (camillo a)TRIANA JR 124 3.50 ★    
2  FREER Mar21 Mar02 Feb10 Jan27 Sep11 (stephens jer)JORDAN R 124 2.00 12% 7.20    
3  HELLEPHENT Mar07 Jan22 Jan01 Dec02 Nov08 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 2.50    
4  ELUSIVE FREUD Mar21 Mar07 Dec10 Dec02 Nov19 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 8.00    
5  GRAYGHOSTGRANVILLE Sep03 Jul12 Jun21 Jun07 May18 (williams j )HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 3.00 58% 0.70    
6  HES BIG CHIEF Mar14 Mar07 Oct26 Sep24 Sep01 (espiritu luc)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 20.00    
 
WRD-4   04/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST OKIE Mar21 Mar07 Nov30 Nov21 Nov11 (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 118 2.00 15% 5.80    
2  EL BLAZE Mar07 Feb10 Dec17 Nov22 Nov07 (martin steve)SANCHEZ OBED 124 6.00    
3  PAPA BILL Mar21 Mar07 Dec14 Dec02 Nov05 (oberlander)ERAMIA E 118 3.00 48% 1.10    
4  CRAZY LOVER Mar21 Mar07 Dec17 Dec01 Nov22 (moreno carlos)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 4.00 10% 9.20    
5  GOSPEL TRUTH Mar21 Dec01 Oct28 Oct05 Sep17 (williams st)WETHEY JR 124 5.00    
6  MINGUS Mar21 Mar07 Dec16 Dec02 Nov05 (biehler m)TRIANA JR 118 6.00    
 
WRD-5   04/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAROLS KITTEN         (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 2.00 69% 0.40    
2  GOTOTHEWINDOW Mar20 Mar06 Dec15 Dec08 Nov03 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 118 12.00    
3  MY GOLDEN PRIZE Mar20 Feb26 Feb12 Dec09 Sep01 (lee mark)JORDAN R 124 1.20 ★    
4  SWEET OLIVE Mar19 Jan22 Dec22 Jul23   (corderman)TRIANA JR 118 8.00 ★    
5  RIVER BLING Jul11         (thomas dena)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 15.00    
6  PREACH IT GIRL Mar20 Mar06 Feb09 Jan25 Sep26 (dixon tim)BAILEY CHEL-C 118 4.00    
 
WRD-6   04/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWBOY MISCHIEF Mar05 Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 Sep23 (young e)MORA GERARDO 117 8.00 11% 8.50    
2  PALUXY Dec17 Nov21 Oct12 Sep25 Sep14 (young scott)WETHEY JR 126 1.00 38% 1.60    
3  ROWDY RASCAL Mar13 Dec17 Nov11 Sep23 Sep09 (caster boyd)BIRZER E 120 5.00    
4  ROYALLY Mar13 Feb10 Dec16 Nov21 Nov02 (buehrer m)TRIANA JR 120 4.00    
5  NEWPORT BEACH Mar17 Feb10 Oct20 Sep25 Sep08 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
WRD-7   04/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANDY'S LITTLE TIP Nov18 Oct30 Aug27 Jul25 Jul11 (green gerald)HEBERT LINDSEY 116 20.00    
2  DOCTOR TINK Mar13 Feb05 Jan07 Dec06 Nov01 (williams s)ERAMIA E 121 2.00    
3  BOX SEAT Nov08 Aug19 Jun21 May16 May03 (caster boyd)BIRZER E 121 1.60 32% 2.10    
4  SPANISH HOMBRE Mar20 Jun21 May24 May10 Apr25 (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 121 5.00    
SCR  TRUE SAINT Mar13 Feb02 Aug08 Jul24 Jul03 (johnston la)STILLION BROOKE 121 10.00 13% 6.90    
6  JUST CHILLIN Mar13 Mar28       (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 121 3.50 24% 3.20    
 
WRD-8   04/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ARTISTIC VISION Jan16 Dec17 Nov30 Oct21 Sep16 (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 118 15.00    
2  TOTAL INSANITY Dec16 Dec02 Oct06 Sep01   (young phillip)BAILEY CHEL-C 124 20.00    
3  PRINCESS BALL Mar20 Dec16       (caster boyd)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 6.00 ★    
4  ALWAYS BE DANCIN Mar20 Nov30 Nov04 Oct22 Oct07 (swan e)BIRZER E 118 20.00    
5  CANDY'S A DANDY Mar20 Mar06 Dec17 Dec02 May23 (oberlander)ERAMIA E 124 3.00 51% 1.00    
6  BILLIE BABY Mar13         (ferrell jor)WETHEY JR 118 20.00    
7  HOT TAMALLI Nov30 Nov18 Nov03 Sep30 Sep16 (bravo francisc)LINDSAY CHAD 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  SURE SHOT SHELLY Mar20         (bravo fra)TRIANA JR 124 4.00 18% 4.60    
9  JUST ROSIE Mar20 Dec17 Dec10 Nov08 Sep21 (oberlander je)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 20.00    
10  STORMY BISONETTE Mar20         (mitchell ralph)LANDEROS C 124 5.00 7% 14.30    
11  LA PARADISO JORDAN Mar06 Dec15 Nov18     (swan patrick)JORDAN R 118 15.00    
12  GOSPEL MOLLY Mar20 Mar06 Dec02 Nov07 Oct12 (williams steve)SANCHEZ OBED 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.