Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Sunday - March 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1/8/5)-(4/2/1/8/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(1/3/2/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(1/3/2/6)-(7/4/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SA-2   WIN (1/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/6)-(1/3/2/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/6)-(1/3/2/5/6)-(1/3/2/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/2/6)-(7/4/2/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2/6)-(7/4/2/1)-(2/4) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
SA-3   WIN (7/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/1)-(7/4/2/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/1)-(7/4/2/1/5)-(7/4/2/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/4/2/1)-(2/4) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2/1)-(2/4)-(5/6/9/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
SA-4   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/3/5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/3/5/6)-(2/4/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4)-(5/6/9/2) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(5/6/9/2)-(5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-5   WIN (5/6/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/9/2)-(5/6/9/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/6/9/2)-(5/6/9/2/3)-(5/6/9/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/6/9/2)-(5/3/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/6/9/2)-(5/3/1)-(3/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SA-6   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1/2/6)-(5/3/1/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(3/7/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(3/7/4)-(1/3/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SA-7   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4/9/1)-(3/7/4/9/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(1/3/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4)-(1/3/4)-(11/8/7/5/6) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
SA-8   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/2/6)-(1/3/4/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(11/8/7/5/6) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
SA-9   WIN (11/8/7/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/8/7/5/6)-(11/8/7/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/8/7/5/6)-(11/8/7/5/6)-(11/8/7/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   03/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHOSPHORESCENCE (FR) Jan21 Dec31 Oct20     (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 123 2.50 12% 7.60    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of CREATE A DREAM by OASIS DREAM)
2  MALTESE FALCON (IRE) Feb04 Dec26       (powell le)DETTORI LANFRANCO 123 4.00 18% 4.40    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of ISABELLA by GALILEO (ARG))
3  STORM THE NIGHT Feb17 Jan06 Nov19 Aug20   (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 3.50    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of HOLIDAY MOON by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  PRECISION STRIKE Mar04 Feb11       (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 123 6.00 49% 1.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of INCENTIVE by MR. GREELEY)
5  ZIHUATANEJO Feb17 Dec26 Nov19     (glatt mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 4.00 ★    
  (by COLLECTED out of IT'SCHEMISTRYBABY by MEADOWLAKE)
6  RAJI Feb10 Oct09 Sep04     (o'neill dou)AGUILAR ARMANDO 116 6.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of KITTY QUALITY by QUALITY ROAD)
7  CALM SEA Feb11 Nov26       (papaprodromo)DESORMEAUX J 123 12.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SURRENDER by STORMY ATLANTIC)
8  STONKS Dec30 Nov12 Oct07     (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 123 15.00 ★    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of HOW UNUSUAL by UNUSUAL HEAT)
9  SURF AFFAIR Feb11         (drysda)BERRIOS ISAAC 123 20.00    
  (by IRISH SURF out of GIRLFRIENONTHESIDE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
SA-2   03/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($29K) 3 F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOBE Jan28 Dec04       (puype mike)DESORMEAUX J 122 2.00 38% 1.60    
2  TIME TOGETHER Jan02 Nov20 Oct29 Sep03   (hanson r)ELLINGWOOD A 122 6.00 10% 8.90    
3  PRESTIGIOUS Feb12 Jan27 Dec04     (mendez luis)HERRERA A 122 2.50 13% 6.90    
4  JACQUELINE COCHRAN Feb12 Jan27 Jan02     (miyadi steven)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50    
5  ANACARAVA (IRE) Feb18 Dec10 Nov05 Sep17   (hernandez jo)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 115 5.00 ★    
6  GILA Jan22 Sep11 May14 Apr10   (knapp steve)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 10.00 8% 11.80    
 
SA-3   03/12/2023 3300ft TURF RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  READY JET GO Feb04 Nov20 Oct21 Aug28 Jun11 (cunningham bria)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.50 11% 8.10    
2  TEEN DRAMA Feb11 Nov18 Oct23 Aug21 Jul03 (quinonez rol)DESORMEAUX J 122 4.00 13% 6.90    
3  KEEP YOUR COIL Jan20 Dec17 Oct16 Sep24 Sep16 (pineda milton )CEDILLO ABEL 124 8.00    
4  KUORA (PER) Feb18 Feb03 Nov12 Oct15 Aug28 (azcarate da)HERRERA A 122 6.00 19% 4.30    
5  BOWL OF CHERRIES Feb20 Jan22 Jan06 Dec16 Nov19 (morfin serg)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 5.00 ★    
6  ANGELCENTS Jan13 Nov19 Sep22 Sep02 Jun11 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 122 3.00    
7  BABY KRISTEN Feb22 Dec17 Oct30 Oct14 Sep22 (amescua re)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 6.00 28% 2.60    
8  MAJESTIC GIGI Feb20 Jan06 Sep24 Aug26 Apr03 (palma hecto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 8.00    
 
SA-4   03/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MITICO Feb10 Dec10 Nov11 Oct22 Sep09 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 124 4.00    
2  SAWASDEE Feb17 Jan15 Dec18 Nov24 Oct30 (koriner bri)HERRERA A 124 1.80 51% 1.00    
3  SONIC BREES Feb17 Jan27 Jan15 Dec30 Dec16 (ganbat enebish)CEDILLO ABEL 124 3.50 ★    
4  SHUT UP MICHAEL (IRE) Jan14 Dec10 Jun17 May20 Apr16 (wong jonathan)VAZQUEZ A 124 4.00 21% 3.80    
5  BUTKUS Feb17 Oct28 Sep30 Sep17 Aug19 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 2.50 ★    
6  STIR THE POT Jul01 Jun11 May15 Apr17 Mar26 (knapp steve)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 4.00 ★    
 
SA-5   03/12/2023 4290ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE SILK STOCKING Feb04 Dec30 Nov18 Oct15 Sep04 (o'neill doug)VELAZQUEZ R 117 6.00    
2  TIDAL FORCES May14         (d'amato phil)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  MECKLENBURG (IRE) Feb05 Jan08 Dec04 Oct23   (mullins je)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 5.00 ★    
4  HIGHLAND GHOST Feb18 Jan20 Aug13 Jun18 May29 (jauregui o)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00    
5  YENG AGAIN Jan29 Oct09 Sep10     (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
6  STANDING O Jun19 Apr30 Mar26     (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  ZOFFARELLI (IRE) Feb10 Jan02 Dec04 Nov05 Oct08 (mullins jeff)VAZQUEZ A 124 8.00    
8  VANTASTIC Jan20 Nov05 Oct08 Jul24 May14 (eurton pe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 5.00    
9  KANDEREL Feb05 Jan13 Nov05 Oct01 Aug05 (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 15.00 11% 7.80    
10  FAYATHAAN (IRE) Feb10         (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 124 12.00    
 
SA-6   03/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPANISH CHANNEL Jan20 Dec17 Nov18 Nov12 Oct28 (wong jonathan)VAZQUEZ A 124 4.00 6% 16.60    
2  SHEMAKESCENTS Feb11 Jan27 Dec09 Nov20 Nov04 (brinkerhoff )CONTRERAS LUIS 124 8.00 ★    
3  SPOILED ROTTEN Feb12         (o'neill dou)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 4.00 9% 9.60    
4  SILENT BEAUTY Jan20 Dec09 Apr10 Feb27 Feb11 (eurton pet)VAN DRAYDEN 124 1.80    
5  BIG BELL Feb11 Dec30 Mar18 Feb25   (saldana re)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 57% 0.80    
6  NAUGHTY EVELYN Jan27 Mar25 Jan22     (meredith de)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 6.00 ★    
 
SA-7   03/12/2023 6600ft TURF RC12 GOOD Santa Ana Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANNAGHLASA (IRE) Jan28 Oct28 Mar11 Feb12 Jan09 (d'amato philip)VAZQUEZ A 120 6.00 ★    
  (by ESTIDHKAAR out of ANALASA (IRE) by SINGSPIEL (IRE))
2  QUEEN OFTHE TEMPLE Jan21 Nov24 Oct08 Jul28 Jun19 (blacker da)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of QUEENAMEINA by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
3  AUSTRALIA MIA Jan21         (mccarthy )DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
  (by STREET SENSE out of ANDINA (IRE) by SINGSPIEL (IRE))
4  ASCENDANCY Feb19 Jan29 Dec10 Nov11 Sep10 (jauregui j)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 12.00 23% 3.30    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of TENSAS PUNCH by WAR FRONT)
5  DUVET DAY (IRE) Jan21 Dec26 Nov24 Oct15 Aug19 (mccarthy mic)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 4.00    
  (by STARSPANGLEDBANNER out of JE T'ADORE by SPUN TO RUN)
SCR  MYFAVORITEDAUGHTER Jan28 Dec26 Nov18 Oct30 Oct15 (cerin vladimir)BRAVO J 120 12.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of MOMMA'S FAVORITE by SKY MESA)
7  BUZZ OF NEW YORK (IRE) Mar05 Feb03 Dec03 Oct28 Sep04 (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 6.00 25% 3.00    
  (by TORONADO (IRE) out of BUZZ OFF BARROSO by BIG BAD BOB (IRE))
SCR  HARPER'S GALLOP Feb18 Jan20 Dec16 Oct15 Sep17 (powell leonar)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of DYPSY by BROKEN VOW)
9  BALLET DANCING Feb03 Dec26 Nov12 Aug20 Jul24 (callaghan simo)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 ★    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of FULLY LIVING by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
SA-8   03/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($47K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I GOT NO MUNNY Feb11 Jan15 Jul23     (gla)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
2  GOOD VIBES ONLY Nov26 Sep18 Aug13 Jul22 Jun11 (sadler w)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 ★    
3  TOOK CHARGE Jan15 Dec26 Feb04     (powell leon)HERRERA A 122 5.00 22% 3.60    
4  SUNRISE JOURNEY Feb20 Jan20 Dec11 Oct16 Sep25 (barocio librado)MALDONADO E 122 4.00 9% 10.10    
5  CLAMPETT May08 Apr08 Mar13 Feb19   (glatt mar)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 5.00    
6  JOKER BOY Feb17 Jan15 Nov19 Oct29 Sep03 (o'neill doug)BRAVO J 122 6.00 ★    
 
SA-9   03/12/2023 3300ft TURF RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INCH Feb11 Oct22 Aug25 Aug06 Jun11 (mullins jeff)SMITH E 122 12.00    
2  MAVEN Jan22 Nov26 Oct22 Sep04 Jul28 (hanson ry)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 6.00    
3  TETON VALLEY Feb06         (knapp steve)MALDONADO E 122 15.00    
4  BARRISTAN THE BOLD (GB) Jan22 Nov04 Oct01 Sep04 Jul16 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 122 8.00    
5  DUTTON Aug07 Jul10 May28     (ruiz lorenzo)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  FULLY LOADED Feb19 Jan22 Nov26 Jun03 May13 (puy)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  SEE THROUGH IT Feb18 Oct10 Sep02 Aug06 May07 (pineda g)PENA BRYAN 124 5.00 10% 9.30    
8  CHAOS THEORY Jan22 Nov26 Sep02 Aug06 May13 (puype )BERRIOS ISAAC 124 2.50 12% 7.70    
10  CONCH DADDY Feb17 Jan22 Jan02 Nov20 Oct15 (deleon rafae)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 20.00    
11  MY SUMMER DREAM Feb10 Jan13 Dec11 Oct21 Oct08 (jauregui o)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.00 49% 1.10    
12  MY HARBORS DREAM Feb11 Jan15 Nov26 Aug25 Aug14 (brinkerhoff )CONTRERAS LUIS 124 20.00    
SCR  FINALLY HERE Feb19 Jan22 Nov26 Oct22 Sep24 ( )TBA null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.