Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Los Alamitos Qh
Saturday - January 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LA-1   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7)-(5/7/6/2)-(5/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (5/7)-(7/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LA-2   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/3/2/1)-(7/5/3/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3)-(1/6)-(1/5/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
LA-3   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6/7/3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/6/7/3/4)-(1/6/7/3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
LA-4   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2/6/3)-(1/5/2/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LA-1   01/07/2023 1650ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S NOT TO BLAME Dec14 Nov16 Nov05 Sep01 Aug21 (perkins)CAMACHO JESUS 123 20.00    
BLUE BUTTERFLY Dec11 Nov06 Oct29 Sep17 Aug14 (morfin sergio)ORTEGA CESAR 123 3.00    
RAGTIME GIRL Dec31 Oct23 Sep23 Sep09 Aug13 (baze t)FRANCO CESAR 123 10.00    
SCR  NAOMI FRALEY Dec17         (nunez jesu)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 123 10.00 14% 6.10    
NICE AND TRUE Oct29 Sep03 Aug14 Jul03 Jun17 (uranga jesu)RAMIREZ RICARDO 123 3.50 35% 1.90    
IT'S A RIDDLE Oct23 Aug04 Jun25 Feb20 Jan28 (pine)ORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO 123 6.00    
FLASHY PASS Dec17 Aug26 Aug20 Aug13   (farias )LOPEZ REYNOSO 123 2.00 28% 2.60    
NIP NAP Dec14 Sep14 Aug27     (perkinson cc)GARCIA ERICK 123 8.00    
 
LA-2   01/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COJO Dec18 Nov19 Nov06 Oct08 Sep25 (zuaz)GONZALEZ ODILCER 113 20.00    
TROMADOR Dec11 Nov12 Oct23 Oct01 Mar20 (craigmyle keit)GARCIA ERICK 125 3.00    
RAYRAY Dec10 Nov19 Oct23 Oct01 Aug28 (farias adan)RAMIREZ RICARDO 125 4.50 7% 13.50    
ELUSIVE VIRTUE Dec18 Nov12 Oct08 Sep25 Aug07 (naranjo salvad)ORTEGA CESAR 123 10.00    
SURPLUS Dec10 Nov06 Oct08 Sep04 Aug07 (nunez jesu)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 123 4.50 21% 3.80    
BATTLING GERVINHO Dec10 Oct23 Sep25 Sep04 Aug07 (morfin )CAMACHO JESUS 123 8.00    
VERMEER Dec18 Dec10 Nov27 Aug26 Aug21 (naranjo)LOPEZ REYNOSO 125 1.60 47% 1.10    
ARRIVEDERCI ROMA Dec18 Dec10 Sep25 May06   (vall)ORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO 123 20.00    
 
LA-3   01/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABADON Dec03 Nov26 Nov12 Oct16 Oct08 (uranga jesu)RAMIREZ RICARDO 125 1.80 38% 1.60    
POLITICAL LOOPHOLE Dec11 Nov27 Nov12 Sep25 Sep18 (nunez jesus)GARCIA ERICK 123 15.00    
SHARP WARNING Dec17 Nov18 Oct21 Sep25 Sep17 (monascal jairo)ORTEGA CESAR 123 8.00    
MACHO SAM Oct14 Sep10 Jul28 Jul08   (saldana re)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 123 6.00    
JAY BOY Nov27 Oct16 Sep25 Sep04 Aug21 (nune)GONZALEZ ODILCER 113 30.00    
VIVIAN'S BOY Dec11 Dec03 Oct16 Sep18 Aug21 (zuaz)ORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO 125 2.00 33% 2.00    
OLYMPIC SILVER Dec11 Dec04 Nov26 Nov12 Oct15 (farias )LOPEZ REYNOSO 125 3.00    
 
LA-4   01/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-10:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHOA BUDDY Dec17 Dec09 Nov19 Oct28 Oct16 (greiner gary)GARCIA ERICK 125 3.00 26% 2.90    
BOB'S SNIPER Dec17 Sep17 Jul29 Jul01   (pine)ORDUNA-ROJAS FRANCISCO 123 3.00 22% 3.60    
STAY GOLDEN Dec09 Oct01 Sep18 Aug21 Jul04 (naranjo salvad)ORTEGA CESAR 123 3.50    
COUNT TOLSTOY Dec18 Dec10 Sep25     (mendoza j)ALEGRIA V 118 20.00    
ROSAT Dec11 Sep25 Aug20 Aug07 Jul23 (naranjo salvad)FRANCO CESAR 123 4.00 24% 3.10    
ROUGH RIDE Dec17 Aug26 Aug13 Jul17 Jun18 (uranga jesu)RAMIREZ RICARDO 123 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.