Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Los Alamitos Tb
Saturday - December 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRC-1   12/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY SPY Nov04 Oct08 Sep30 Aug21 Jul09 (cunningham )HERRERA A 120 8.00 ★    
3  BUSY PAYNTER Dec09 Sep24 Sep16 Aug26 Jul09 (pineda g)VAZQUEZ A 124 1.80 23% 3.40    
4  FAMILY TRIPS Oct16 Sep16 Jul01     (ruiz lorenzo)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 12.00 21% 3.70    
5  CA DREAMER Sep23         (uranga jesu)RAMIREZ RICARDO 124 3.00 22% 3.70    
6  FULL OF GRACE Nov24 Sep23 Aug26 Aug06 Jul04 (saldana reed)DESORMEAUX J 124 4.00    
7  WHERE'S FRANKIE Nov24 Sep14 Aug21 Jun02 Apr06 (wong jonathan)FREY KYLE 124 3.00 ★    
SCR  HILLSTONE MARTINI Dec11 Jul31 Jun08 May04   ( )TBA null      
 
LRC-2   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLORIOUS SPRING Nov12 Sep17 Jul30     (blacker dan)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 4.00 14% 6.00    
2  SHE'S BULLETPROOF Nov12 Oct16 Sep09 Aug11 May07 (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 36% 1.80    
3  BUSKER ALLIE Nov25 Sep24 Sep01 Jul31 Jun11 (d'amato phili)PYFER JESSICA 118 10.00    
4  BABY KRISTEN Oct30 Oct14 Sep22 Jul09 Jun25 (amescua rene)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.00 28% 2.50    
5  BIG SHAMROCK Nov18 Oct07 Sep02 Jan08   (mora leandr)AGUILAR ARMANDO 111 8.00    
6  GIANNA'S WILD CAT Jul28 Jul09 Apr15 Feb13   (dollase craig)FREY KYLE 118 8.00 ★    
7  SPANISH CHANNEL Nov18 Nov12 Oct28 Sep30 Sep24 (stu)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 30.00    
8  STRAWBERRYONTOP Oct09 Aug28 Jul03 May22   (cunningham br)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 30.00    
9  WRONG TURN CUPID Nov12 Oct28 Aug28     (koriner bri)HERRERA A 122 10.00 ★    
 
LRC-3   12/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARGENTINA CRIES (IRE) Dec02 Nov12 Oct10 Aug21   (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50 17% 4.80    
2  BIG STICK Nov24 Aug11       (sadler w)LOPEZ D 122 8.00    
3  EXTRA INNINGS         (lewis craig)HERRERA A 122 20.00 17% 4.80    
4  TAKE CHARGE CURLY Oct16 Sep18       (oviedo phil)FREY KYLE 122 5.00    
5  MO CAPTAIN         (dealba cesar)ORTEGA CESAR 122 15.00 13% 6.70    
6  STOP AND A TRES Dec02 Aug13       (mora leandro)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
7  LAMPY Dec02 Nov12 Oct16 Sep18   (metz jeffre)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 20.00    
8  PAT CAN'T COUNT         (guillen)CAMACHO JESUS 122 15.00 11% 8.00    
9  GOTCHA LOOKIN Nov24 Aug20       (hess b)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.00    
 
LRC-4   12/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALL BOY Nov26 Sep05 Aug13     (mora leandr)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 20.00 ★    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of MADAME MAYRA by SCAT DADDY)
2  CARMEL ROAD Oct08 Aug26 Aug06     (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00 ★    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of INSPIRED by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  FORT BRAGG Nov04 Oct10 Sep10     (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 28% 2.50    
  (by TAPIT out of MARCH X PRESS by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
4  PRACTICAL MOVE Nov20 Oct10 Sep03 Aug13   (yakteen tim)VAZQUEZ A 120 8.00 ★    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ACK NAUGHTY by AFLEET ALEX)
5  ARABIAN LION Nov04 Oct09       (baffert bob)VELAZQUEZ R 120 0.80 42% 1.40    
  (by JUSTIFY out of UNBOUND by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
LRC-5   12/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TROJAN WAY Oct15 Sep02 Jul31     (aguirre pau)AGUILAR ARMANDO 113 2.00 10% 8.90    
2  PARCO Oct30 Sep24 Sep02 Aug04 Jul09 (papaprodromo)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 113 4.00 7% 12.50    
3  SUPERCENTS Nov11 Aug26 Jul03     (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 120 5.00 7% 13.00    
4  CLEARANCE Oct08 Jul03 Jun05     (dun)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 10.00    
5  AWSOME DONNA Nov11 Oct08       (a)ROJAS EDUARD 120 12.00    
6  SHEZ OUR ARCH Oct30 Oct15 Sep24 Sep05 Jul02 (gutierrez jo)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 8.00    
7  ITALIAN LOVE SONG Sep23 Aug13 Aug07     (lucas j)HARVEY B 124 30.00    
8  MARGOT Sep10 Aug06       (sadler w)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.50 48% 1.10    
9  COMPTONS HOUSE         (bell r)FREY KYLE 120 15.00 7% 13.70    
 
LRC-6   12/17/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROUGH RIDE Aug26 Aug13 Jul17 Jun18 May21 (uranga jesu)RAMIREZ RICARDO 124 8.00    
2  FACTS MATTER Dec09 Jul29 Jun26 May29   (ruiz lorenzo)ORTEGA CESAR 124 6.00 12% 7.20    
3  EQUIPO A Dec09 Sep25 Sep16 Aug26 Aug07 (rivera sally)VAZQUEZ A 124 6.00    
4  SHARP WARNING Nov18 Oct21 Sep25 Sep17 Jul17 (monascal b)MATIAS J 124 30.00    
5  STORMINSIDE Sep16 Aug28 Aug05 Jul01 Jun26 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 5.00 18% 4.50    
6  MINOSO Nov25 Oct16 Oct07 Jul15 Jul02 (greiner gary)HARVEY B 124 8.00 13% 6.60    
7  WHOA BUDDY Dec09 Nov19 Oct28 Oct16 Oct02 (greiner gar)HERRERA A 124 10.00    
8  AWESOME HEIGHTS Aug07 Jul02 May20 Mar15   (figueroa r)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 6.00 18% 4.40    
9  BOB'S SNIPER Sep17 Jul29 Jul01     (pineda milt)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 3.00    
10  TIZ INDY Oct23 Oct10 Sep25 Aug26 Aug21 (naranjo salva)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 8.00 6% 15.40    
SCR  STAY GOLDEN Dec09 Oct01 Sep18 Aug21 Jul04 (naranjo salvador)MATIAS J 124 30.00    
SCR  COUNT TOLSTOY Dec10 Sep25       ( )TBA null      
 
LRC-7   12/17/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCY L Nov18 Oct21 Sep11 Aug11 Jul02 (yakteen tim)FREY KYLE 122 20.00    
2  KAELY'S CANDY         (jones f)CEDILLO ABEL 124 6.00 25% 3.00    
3  TRIP TO FREEDOM         (ruiz lorenzo)DESORMEAUX J 124 12.00 ★    
4  KEEP YOUR COIL Oct16 Sep24 Sep16 Aug21 Jul08 (pineda milton)CURATOLO RYAN 124 6.00    
5  SHVERE ARBETER Oct23 Sep24 Sep18 Aug21 Jul02 (morfin sergio)ORTEGA CESAR 124 8.00    
6  BONITA LEONA Nov06 Sep22 Jul31 Jun18 May27 (knapp steve)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 6.00    
7  ROSES R BLUE Nov24 Nov06 Oct07 Sep24 Aug26 (knapp steve)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 10.00 15% 5.60    
8  ENSLEYS DREAM Oct28 Sep24 Jul10     (koriner bri)HERRERA A 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
9  NAP TIME Sep18 Aug05 Jul03 Mar13 Feb25 (lucas j)HARVEY B 122 20.00    
10  BLAME IT ON ROSE Nov26 Sep22 Sep05 Aug04 Jan26 (hess b)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.50 ★    
SCR  MAJESTIC GIGI Sep24 Aug26 Apr03 Mar18 Jan14 ( )TBA null      
 
LRC-8   12/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUICK INTRO Nov27 Oct09 Sep03 Aug13 Jul30 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 124 15.00    
2  SETTECENTO Jun25 Jun03 May01 Mar18 Jan21 (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  SO I'M TOLD Nov24 Oct30 Sep25 Sep01 Jul23 (ruiz lorenz)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 5.00 9% 10.10    
4  ECONOMICAL Oct28 Oct07 Sep17 Sep04 Aug06 (mccarthy sean)FREY KYLE 120 12.00    
SCR  CRYPTO MUNNY Dec04 Nov04 Sep30 Sep01 Jul30 (papaprodromou)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 10.00    
6  HOODLUM Nov27 Oct28 Sep01 Aug04 Jul10 (ortiz s)CEDILLO ABEL 120 4.50 7% 12.80    
8  SIPPIN N KISSIN Oct28 Sep25 Aug11 Jun19 May27 (alvarez edw)AGUILAR ARMANDO 113 12.00    
9  SITTIN ON GO Oct15 Apr15 Mar20 Jan08   (amescua rene)DESORMEAUX J 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
10  CARELESS KITTEN Nov12 Oct09 Sep10 Aug18 Jan17 (brinkerhoff val)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  OUTRIGHT Nov05 Oct10 Sep18 Aug20 Jul28 ( )TBA null      
 
LRC-9   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA AGUILILLA Oct22 Sep23 Sep05 Jul31 Jul16 (ramos jesus)CEDILLO ABEL 122 8.00 ★    
2  TIGER SPICE Nov12 Sep02 Aug05     (blacker da)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  STARSHIP DEFIANT Oct16 Aug11 Jun26 Jun10 May20 (hess b)CURATOLO RYAN 124 10.00    
4  VELLA Nov12 Sep24 Aug11 Jul10 Jun10 (wong jonathan)VAZQUEZ A 122 5.00    
5  CARMEN MIRANDA Nov25 May20 Apr09 Feb13   (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.00 ★    
6  SHANGHAI SUNRISE Apr01 Feb20 Jan16     (puype mike)VALDIVIA JR 122 4.50 22% 3.50    
7  SQUARE TOMATOES         (cunningham )HERRERA A 122 20.00    
8  FLYING TO THE LINE Nov25 Sep01 Jul22 May28 May14 (saldana ree)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRC-10   12/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOC ADAMS Nov19 Nov05 Aug28 Aug07 Jul08 (knapp steve)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.00    
2  NILES CHANNEL Nov24 Nov05 Oct22 Sep05 Aug13 (ruiz lorenzo)CEDILLO ABEL 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  BEEF WINSLOW Sep24 Aug25 Jul23 Jun04 May06 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
4  SHOW TIME Nov06 Aug13 Jul04 May30   (mandella rich)PYFER JESSICA 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  FINNEUS Dec03 Nov26 Oct16 Sep03 Aug05 (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00 ★    
6  NO HANG CHARLIE Oct09 Jul24 Jun03 Mar06 Feb04 (papaprodromo)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 115 30.00    
7  HIGH HEATER Nov05 Sep23 Aug20 Jul29 Jun05 (hess b)CURATOLO RYAN 122 12.00    
8  SAVILE ROW Nov26 Oct22 Sep18     (yakteen ti)VAN DRAYDEN 122 4.00 7% 13.70    
9  SHORTMAN Nov06 Oct09 Sep16 Aug28 Jul04 (naranjo sal)HERRERA A 118 8.00    
10  DURANTE Nov27 Nov11 Oct16 Sep24 Sep09 (craigmyle keith)FREY KYLE 120 6.00    
SCR  BOLD ENDEAVOR Oct16 Sep04 Jul24 Jun11 May08 (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 5.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  ZIMBA WARRIOR Nov05 Sep23 Aug21 Jul02 May13 ( )TBA null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.