Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Century Mile
Friday - October 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CTM-2   10/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADMIRAL VANNGO Sep23 Sep02 Aug06 Jul23 Jun24 (russell monic)WHITTER RANDY 124 8.00    
IMPERIALITE Sep30 Sep18 Aug28 Aug14 Aug07 (ferguson )ZENTENO JR 124 3.00    
DURITZ Aug19 Jul23 Jun24 Jun03 May21 (tracy greg)WALCOTT W 126 1.60 51% 1.00    
DR A TO D Oct09 Sep24 Sep10 Aug28 Aug14 (heggie rod)BRYAN D 126 4.50    
DARK STORM COMING Sep30 Sep03 Aug05 Jun11 May28 (grieves ron)ZENTENO EDGAR 123 2.00 16% 5.40    
 
CTM-3   10/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REMAIN CALM Oct01 Sep17 Sep03 Aug19 Aug12 (frey carson)PRESCOD N'RICO 126 1.60 9% 10.20    
STREAKIN AGAIN Sep17 Sep03 Aug19 Aug05 Jun11 (wendland wya)ZENTENO RAFAEL 123 3.00    
CONTE ROSSO Oct01 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25   (smith rob)NELSON DANE 123 2.00 60% 0.70    
AMIGO QUERIDO Oct01 Sep17 Sep03 Aug12 Jul15 (petrowski )MALVAEZ MAURICIO 126 4.50    
BEAUGATTI Sep24 Sep09 Aug06 Jul23   (tingle ken)MARTIN ANDRE 123 8.00    
 
CTM-4   10/14/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REALLY SLOW Sep19 Sep07 Aug22 Aug09 Jul27 (bro)GONZALEZ ALONZO 126 10.00 18% 4.50    
EXHI KID Sep30 Sep18 Sep02 Aug19 Jul30 (cone r)ASENCIO MARIANO 126 4.00    
TIMELY RUCKUS Sep30 Sep13 Sep06 Aug31 Jul26 (cone rodney)CUMBERBATCH R 126 8.00    
WYE CROSS Oct07 Sep23 Sep09 Aug20 Aug06 (smith ron)ZENTENO JR 126 6.00 15% 5.80    
PROVOCATIVE PRINCE Sep09 Aug20 Jul29 Jun18 May21 (grieves ron)WALCOTT W 126 3.50 27% 2.70    
FIRST PRINCE Sep23 Sep02 Jul30 Jul08 Jun24 (nicholson david)NELSON DANE 126 2.00    
 
CTM-5   10/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 2 ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S A FACT Sep24 Aug19 Jul29     (frey carson)BRYAN D 121 8.00 18% 4.60    
CATCH THE DREAM Sep24         (o'hagan colle)ZENTENO EDGAR 118 10.00    
ARROGANCE Oct01 Sep19 Aug29 Aug10 Aug02 (cone rodn)ZENTENO JR 124 4.00    
READYTOTAPNSING Sep19 Aug19 Jul29 Jul01   (brown r)WALCOTT W 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
LIL ZAPPER Sep10 Aug19 Aug06 Jul29   (payne )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 6.00    
MUDINATOR Sep10 Aug13 Jul29 Jul09   (russell monica)NELSON DANE 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
 
CTM-6   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOUTHERN WARLORD Oct01 Sep17 Jul30 Jul23 Jun10 (smith cra)ZENTENO JR 126 5.00    
ALONGTHEWATCHTOWER Oct01 Sep17 Sep02 Aug19 Aug05 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 126 8.00 13% 6.80    
DUNE D'ORO Sep30 Sep17 Sep02 Aug05 Jul22 (hawkes darcy)NELSON DANE 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
SPIRE Sep19 Aug16 Aug03 Jul18 Jun27 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 126 15.00    
PRESS GANG Aug19 Aug05 Jul01 Jun04 May21 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 126 2.50 40% 1.50    
PUMP THE BRAKES Oct07 Sep17 Sep02 Aug20 Jul31 (joseph lionel)LUNAN RICHARD 123 10.00    
HERE COMES BARNEY Sep30 Sep17 Sep09 Aug20 Aug05 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 126 8.00    
 
CTM-7   10/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOPHIE MCTROPHY Sep30 Sep18 Sep02 Aug19 Jul30 (cone rodne)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 8.00    
FLASHY SISTER Sep02 Aug13 Jul30 Jul09 Jun25 (davies dea)RIZO ALEXIS 125 2.50    
DONT GET SMART Sep28 Sep12 Aug29 Aug16 Aug08 (cone rodney)CUMBERBATCH R 125 8.00    
CAGEY Oct08 Sep03 Jul30 Jul08   (g)GRIFFITH DELANE 113 15.00 10% 9.10    
KENSINGTON MARKET Oct07 Sep24 Sep03     (ananas edwin)BALROOP SVEN 120 10.00 18% 4.40    
ENTITLED STAR Sep30 Sep03 Aug27 Aug19 Aug05 (mckenzie robe)FRASER MEAGAN 115 3.00 19% 4.20    
TEMPLE OF ZOOM Sep30 Sep18 Sep03 Aug27 Aug12 (smith rob)NELSON DANE 125 5.00 19% 4.20    
 
CTM-8   10/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT-11:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD RUNNIN MAGGIE Sep24 Sep10 Aug27 Aug13 Jul09 (walper deanna)BALROOP SVEN 117 6.00    
APRIL'S IMPERIAL Sep30 Sep17 Sep03 Aug14   (gilkyson ashl)FRASER MEAGAN 115 20.00    
AUSSIE'S BELLA Sep30         (kettleson )RIZO ALEXIS 122 8.00 7% 12.60    
BEAUTIFUL CALL Sep30 Sep03 Aug13 Jul29 Jul01 (smith rob)NELSON DANE 122 2.50 10% 8.60    
FAST LANDING Sep03         (cone rodney)BRYAN D 122 2.00 59% 0.70    
PEARLS AND CURLS Sep03 Aug20 Jul22 Jun17   (petrowski joan)MARTIN ANDRE 122 10.00    
SPARK PLUG Sep30 Sep17 Sep03 Aug06   (cone rodne)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 112 10.00    
VALENTINO ROSSA Sep02 Jul22       (hedge rick)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 5.00    
EENY MEENY MINY YO Sep30         (o'hagan colle)ZENTENO EDGAR 125 12.00    
10  LANA'S PRETTY GIRL Sep30 Sep17 Sep03 Aug06 Jul22 (petrowski jo)ZENTENO RAFAEL 125 4.00    
 
CTM-9   10/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPA BELLA Oct08 Sep17 Sep02 Jul30 Jul15 (robertson )BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 4.00 17% 4.90    
NO SURPRISE Sep25 Sep17 Sep12 Sep03 Aug29 (o'hagan colle)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 20.00    
BEAUTIFUL BABE Oct01 Sep09 Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 (calhoun ki)RIZO ALEXIS 123 15.00 8% 11.50    
SCARLETT'S FLOWER Sep27 Jul29 Jul17 Jun26 Jun12 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 122 20.00    
ANN OF WAR Oct09 Aug28 Aug13 Jul30 Jul16 (heggie rod)NELSON DANE 122 12.00 17% 5.00    
WICKED WOMAN Sep30 Sep02 Aug19 Jul30 Jul16 (wendland w)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 8.00    
NO BAKK TALK Oct01 Sep17 Aug27 Apr30   (smith k)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 8.00 6% 14.40    
SANDY BEACH Sep30 Sep02 Aug19 Jun10 May27 (heggie rod)WALCOTT W 125 3.00    
CORDILLERA Sep19 Aug19 Jul30 Jul15 Jun24 (buffalo marvi)CUMBERBATCH R 122 12.00    
10  SAVYSKYE Sep09 Aug27 Aug19 Aug06 Jul22 (russel)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 8.00    
11  LITTLE ROSALYN Sep30 Sep09 Aug05     (gilkyson as)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 6.00    
12  SHIP'S CREEK Sep23 Sep02 Aug13 Jul16 Jul02 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 5.00 26% 2.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.