Handicappers' Racing Form

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Charles Town
Wednesday - October 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CT-1   10/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 ALL PT- 7:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINDSOR'S STAR Sep24 Sep03       (casey a)MONTANO JOSE 122 1.60 41% 1.40    
HAZEDNCONFUSED Sep24         (casey w)LARROSA G 122 2.50 11% 7.90    
ZIGGY STARDUST Sep14 Sep03       (contreras javie)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
SUMMONING DENIS Sep24         (casey a)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 10.00    
ALDRINALINE Sep14         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 6.00    
DENIZETTI Sep24         (casey james)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00    
 
CT-2   10/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHANGHAI CANDY Sep05 Aug23 Aug03 Jul14 Jun29 (jones e)MONTANO JOSE 120 1.60 10% 8.50    
CHAMPAGNE JAM Sep01 May26 Apr28 Apr15 Mar17 (barber c)CECIL Y 122 10.00    
QUICK WIT Sep21 Sep08 Aug20 Jul21 Jun10 (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 7% 13.50    
THATZA ALPHA Aug24 Aug01 Jul12 Jun04 May26 (viands gregory)ADAMS L 110 8.00    
SCR  CHESAPEAKE CHARLIE Sep21 Aug26 Aug12 Jul16 Jun25 (schottroffe ed)BATISTA A 122 4.50    
SULEMAN Oct02         (viands gregory)BOCACHICA O 122 1.40 54% 0.90    
 
CT-3   10/12/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NANCYSAIDSO Oct01 Aug22 Jul15 Jul01 Jun21 (scott l)CECIL Y 124 4.50    
CAPTAIN SAM Aug28 Aug22 Aug01 Jul09 Jun18 (patterson ke)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 1.20 32% 2.20    
MAKE IT A DOUBLE Sep22 Sep01 Jul22 Jun10 May19 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00 27% 2.80    
UNCANNY Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 Jun11 (viands stacey )MARRERO CARLOS 120 6.00    
CLEARLY VISIBLE Sep21 Sep01 Aug11 Jul29 Jun19 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 10.00 8% 11.50    
CHARM WEAVER Sep21 Apr07 Mar11 Jan28   (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00    
 
CT-4   10/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN APPEAL Sep23 Sep14 Aug27     (craig e)RAMGEET R 124 8.00    
GRECIAN ADMIRAL Sep14 Aug20 Jun25 May13 Apr14 (greaves vernon)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 10.00    
PISTOL P Sep15 Aug25 Jul29 Jul14 Jun02 (hurley jack)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 2.00 50% 1.00    
URBAN WARRIOR Sep15 Aug25 Aug12 Jul30 Jul06 (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 122 3.50    
SNOW CANDY Oct01 Sep18 Sep08 Aug28 Aug20 (garibay andres)BATISTA A 118 12.00    
TWEET THIS Sep14 Jun30 May26 May05 Apr22 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 1.40 25% 3.10    
 
CT-5   10/12/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ THE REASON Oct01 Sep21 Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.00 32% 2.10    
VALID REASON Sep21 Sep02 Jul02 Jun11 May05 (mckee d)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.20    
SCARLET TANAGER Jun23 May07 Apr13 Mar19 Feb24 (lauro c)RODRIGUEZ V 120 8.00 7% 14.10    
CHEESE LOUISE Sep28 Aug11 Jul22 Jun24 Jun10 (brown w)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 12.00    
DIMITRI'S ROMANCE Oct01 Sep22 Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 (shanley timothy)LIMA FELINO 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
TRUE HEIRESS Sep23 Sep02 Jul27 Jul14 Jun09 (gazzier krist)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 6.00 32% 2.10    
MS HEADLEY Sep21 Sep02 Mar04 Feb17 Jan15 (pickett crys)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 10.00    
 
CT-6   10/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANNAHS RED RUBY Sep10 Aug18 Jul21 Jul08 Mar23 (malgarini mawin)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
HOWSAFEAREMYCOLORS Sep15 Jun23 May28 May07 Apr10 (walters david)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 3.00 11% 7.70    
LOVE TO ZOOM Oct01 Sep15 Aug25 Aug08 Jul21 (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.20 37% 1.70    
SCR  FEEL THE GLORY Sep18 Jun26 May07 Apr10 Mar05 (pickett crystal)THORPE DARIUS 120 12.00    
TAPPING SOUTH Oct01 Jun23 May28 May07 Apr20 (boykins kevin)CECIL Y 120 15.00    
KATALIMA Sep10 Aug06 Jul21 Jun24 May28 (hanagan lela)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
 
CT-7   10/12/2022 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FULLY CONNECTED Aug28 Aug06 Jul18 Jun19 Jun03 (farrior anthon)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 3.00 29% 2.50    
BAYTOWN FROSTY Jul06 Jun22 Jun13 May23 Apr10 (mcentee paul)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 5.00    
NEWS FLASH Sep14 Aug12 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 (keller chris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50    
STORM BOARDER (CHI) Sep14 Aug06 Jul08 May30 Apr18 (patterso)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.50 47% 1.10    
FREE DANCER Aug28 Jul23 Jun24 Jun01 Apr08 (farrior antho)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 4.00    
BAYTOWN WARRIOR Sep25 Aug24 Aug06 Jul03 May31 (mcentee paul)ARAUJO DENIS 120 5.00    
DR. RUSTY RAYMOND Sep14 Jun19       (pickett crystal)THORPE DARIUS 120 15.00    
 
CT-8   10/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
S S ALASKAN CRUZ Sep22 Sep07 Jul22 Jun04 May12 (lucas anthony)LARROSA G 120 10.00    
MEGALODON'SREVENGE Sep22 Jul22 Jun30 Jun04 May25 (shanley timothy)LIMA FELINO 113 8.00    
CHARITABLY GIFTED Sep22 Sep09 Jul08 Jun18 Apr16 (knoblauch-perez)ADAMS L 112 1.20 36% 1.80    
A FAREWELL YODEL Apr07 Mar04 Jan26 Jan14   (hurley jack)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.00 22% 3.60    
POSTED Sep28 Aug20 Jul20 Jun04 May26 (schottroffe edward )CECIL Y 124 10.00    
AIR MEDAL Oct06 Sep16 Aug26 Aug05 Jul02 (pickett g)CULLUM W 120 5.00 14% 6.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.