Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - October 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   10/01/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOW IS SHE Sep08 Jul15 Jun16 May25 May04 (pennella rh)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 1.40 21% 3.70    
2  MAGNIFICENT ROCKET Sep10 Aug25 Aug12 Jul15 May14 (perez ernesto)LARROSA G 124 6.00 ★    
3  CARNIVAL LUCKY Sep08 Aug06 Jun02 Apr22 Mar09 (walters dav)RAMGEET R 120 2.50 ★    
4  LOVE TO ZOOM Sep15 Aug25 Aug08 Jul21 Jun24 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 1.80 38% 1.70    
5  REVEIRS MINUTE Sep08 Jul22 Jul01 Jun23 Apr22 (hess jacob )MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 15.00 8% 12.20    
 
CT-2   10/01/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOTIVATED SPEAKER Sep24 Sep14 Jul21 Jun24 May19 (covello and)RAMGEET R 121 5.00 ★    
2  ISSUING JUSTICE Sep12 Aug29 Aug18 Jul04 Jun07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 1.80 ★    
3  TIME TO WISH Sep14 Jul29 Jul10     (farrior anthony)CULLUM W 124 3.50 15% 5.80    
4  SKIP THE BULL Sep23 Sep05 Jul29 Apr29 Apr15 (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 10.00    
5  BIG PERFECTION Sep14 Feb03 Jan13     (perez ern)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 119 10.00    
6  FOREVER THE BOSS Sep14 Aug06 Jul21 Jun30 Jun03 (collyer ja)ALMODOVAR GERALD 121 2.50 62% 0.60    
SCR  FAIRPIT Sep16 Jul30 Jun30 Feb25   (jones roylan)ROCHA WLADIMIR 122 15.00 ★    
 
CT-3   10/01/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLOW MOON Sep09 Aug04 Jul07 Jun11 Mar11 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
2  DING DING Jul07 May21 Apr06 Mar23 Mar05 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 1.60 10% 9.50    
3  DIMITRI'S ROMANCE Sep22 Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 Jul08 (shanley timo)BATISTA A 120 12.00 ★    
4  TIZ THE REASON Sep21 Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 May28 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.80 46% 1.20    
5  NANCYSAIDSO Aug22 Jul15 Jul01 Jun21 Jun05 (scott l)CECIL Y 120 15.00    
SCR  CHARM WEAVER Sep21 Apr07 Mar11 Jan28   (brown ronne)RAMGEET R 120 15.00 ★    
7  WHYCANTTHISBELOVE Sep21 Sep02 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 (aylor l)BOCACHICA O 120 30.00    
 
CT-4   10/01/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOBBYS CASE LOAD         (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 10.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  GO GO GONE         (viands stacey)MARRERO R 121 8.00 10% 8.70    
3  BENNY THE BOOK Sep16 Feb12 Jan29     (viands r)PELTROCHE F 121 1.60 32% 2.10    
4  SHAKIN IT BIG TIME Aug31 Aug17 Apr22     (oxendine adam)LIMA FELINO 114 20.00    
5  GREYSHOTT Jul21         (yovanovich d)MARRERO CARLOS 124 12.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  IRISH MCDOUGAL Jul30 May20       (jones michael )MONTANO JOSE 124 4.00    
7  LOVE MACHINE Sep09 Aug25       (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 2.00 ★    
 
CT-5   10/01/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TIMMY Sep09 Aug13 Jul08 Jun17 May11 (gazzier kri)RAMGEET R 120 15.00    
SCR  FIGAROS FORTUNE Sep07 Aug19 Jul30 Jul09 Jun30 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 118 30.00 ★    
3  HOPPING HENRY Sep07 Aug23 Jul23 Jun29 May26 (sterling michae)PELTROCHE F 120 2.50 ★    
4  WARRIOR'S ESTATE Sep07 Aug11 Jul14 Jun09 May13 (atkins michael )RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00    
5  STRONG FIBER Sep09 Aug25       (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 3.00 ★    
6  SO COURAGEOUS Sep12 Aug23 Jul14 May13 May01 (figgins ollie )RIOS-CONDE A 120 15.00 ★    
SCR  FOREVER TAKES TIME Jul14 Jun09 May19 Apr13   (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
8  DRINKWITHTHESTARS Sep07 Jul30 Jun30     (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 1.20 66% 0.50    
 
CT-6   10/01/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOMMER VELVET Sep03 Jul16 Jun18 May14 Apr24 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.80 35% 1.90    
2  POLISHED GEM Aug24 Aug04 Jul20 Jul08 Jun17 (maroun dou)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 2.50 21% 3.80    
3  DEVILISH AFFAIR Jul01 May30 Apr30 Apr08 Mar27 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 113 3.50 ★    
4  WALK A FINE LINE Aug04 Jun17 May28 Apr30 Apr07 (contrer)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 6.00    
5  HEIDI T Sep15 Aug19 Jul09 Jun17 May05 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 5.00 ★    
6  MIDNIGHT REGRET Aug25 Jul30 Jun23 Jun02 May13 (schiano-d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 10.00 17% 4.80    
 
CT-7   10/01/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VILLAREGGIA Sep23 Aug25 Jul30 Jul26 Jun22 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 113 2.50 8% 11.00    
2  LADY CINCO DE MAYO Sep09 Aug26 Aug05 May13 Apr01 (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 15.00    
3  CAST NO STONES Sep05 Jul13 Jun02     (fulmer alliso)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  OVERCOOKED Sep16 Aug26 Aug05 Jul08 Jun04 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 6.00 23% 3.30    
5  DECISIVE CAUSE Sep21 Aug31 Aug02 Jul12 Jun29 (shanley mark)RODRIGUEZ V 118 15.00    
6  MERCI ROAD Aug22 Jun19 May06 Apr13   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
7  DETERMINED TRUTH Aug16 Jul20 Feb18 Jan29   (schoenthal phil)ACOSTA D 118 5.00    
8  TAPPING SOUTH Jun23 May28 May07 Apr20 Apr09 (boykins kevin)CECIL Y 118 30.00    
9  DARE ME Sep17 Sep02 Jul27 Jul06 May25 (compton gr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 3.50 12% 7.20    
 
CT-8   10/01/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPSY DAISY DO Sep10 Aug11 Jul30 Jul09 Jun25 (aylor l)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 ★    
2  CHIT CHAT GIRL Sep10 Aug20 Aug11 Jul09 Jul01 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 1.80 37% 1.70    
3  U S FUNDS Sep23 Sep03 Aug18 Jul08 Jul01 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 124 1.60 ★    
4  CATHERINES WARRIOR Sep03 Aug20 Jul30 Apr30 Feb18 (jones roylan)ROCHA WLADIMIR 122 15.00    
5  MOONLIGHT MISS Sep10 Aug12 Jul30 Jun23 May11 (shanley timothy)LIMA FELINO 115 4.50 28% 2.60    
6  SUZZETTE STAR Jul30 May08 Mar04 Feb21 Jan28 (raymond don)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00    
7  SHAK'S HIDDEN GEM Sep10 Aug16 Jul27 Jun25 Jun04 (shanley timothy)CULLUM W 122 12.00 ★    
SCR  TAPETE CLAIRE Jul30 Jul09       (jones yat)CECIL Y 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.