Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Lethbridge
Saturday - September 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LBG-2   09/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEIGHTSFORCE Sep11 Sep04 Aug06 Jul30 Jul20 (pigeau nelli)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 10.00    
SCR  BIG Z Sep11 Aug28 Aug21 Aug07 Jul31 (calfrobe shaw)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 6.00    
SCR  OIL COUNTRY BOY Sep11 Aug21 Aug06 Jul30 Jun25 (olsen ron)ALLEN LARRIS 124 0.60 34% 1.90    
TEE CLASS Sep11 Aug16 Aug01 Jul19 Jun26 (brown col)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 2.50    
STALWART BOY Aug14         (smith darcy)NELSON RYAN 124 12.00    
STARWALKER Sep11 Aug14 Jul31     (rutherford elly)SIMPSON W 124 1.50 25% 3.00    
ALEX TO Aug23 Aug09 Jun19 Jun10 Feb27 (brown colt )GORDON GARFIELD 124 8.00 14% 6.20    
 
LBG-4   09/24/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOB IS MY RIDE Sep11 Sep04 Aug28 Aug07 Jul24 (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 1.60    
DR A TO D Sep10 Aug28 Aug14 Jul23 Jul09 (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 7.00 15% 5.60    
PUNKY MONKEY Sep17 Sep10 Aug28 Aug20 Aug06 (strandquist c)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 10.00    
STUMPANATOR Sep10 Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 Jul30 (olsen ron)SIMPSON W 124 2.00 42% 1.40    
COZY BEAR Sep10 Aug28 Aug20 Jul30 Jul24 (pigeau o)NELSON RYAN 124 3.00    
OLD DOUBLE DIAMOND Sep10 Aug28 Aug20 Aug07 Jul31 (pigeau nelli)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 5.00 15% 5.50    
 
LBG-5   09/24/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NACHO MONEY Sep10 Aug14 Jul23 Jul09 Jun05 (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 6.00    
BLUE TWISTED STEEL Sep05 Aug23 Aug01 Jul18 Jul05 (bensmille)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 3.00    
ROWDYROOSTER Sep05 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 Jun11 (depew jim)SIMPSON W 124 1.40 34% 2.00    
WHY NOT LIVE Sep10 Sep04 Aug13 Aug07 Jul10 (pigeau nelli)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 2.00 21% 3.80    
LUCKY B. N. Sep10 Sep05       (weaselhead godf)NELSON RYAN 124 8.00 15% 5.80    
 
LBG-6   09/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKIECOOKIE Sep18 Sep05 Aug14 Jul31 Jul24 (pigeau nellie)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 6.00    
SCR  CYCLONE DAN Aug14 Jul31 Jun19     (weaselhead godf)NELSON RYAN 124 8.00 16% 5.40    
BOURBON BANDIT Sep10 Aug28 Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 (robson travi)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 7.00    
WITTS LUCKY SHOES Jun04         (calfrobe noran)SIMPSON W 124 3.50    
MY FATHER'S EYES Aug23 Aug09 Jul19 Jun20   (brown col)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 2.00 20% 4.00    
PAPA CABALLERO Aug01 Jul05 Jun17 Jun11 May27 (brown t)ALLEN LARRIS 124 8.00 16% 5.10    
REDDISH Sep05 Jul31 Jul24 Jul16 Jun25 (meineke)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 2.50 18% 4.50    
 
LBG-7   09/24/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.2K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LADY GOT AWAY Sep10 Jul30 Jul16     (gregoire )STEWART BLANDFORD 124 8.00 7% 13.20    
CANDY RED Sep10 Aug21 Aug06 Jul16 Jun26 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 1.20 47% 1.10    
JAZZED Sep10 Aug28 Aug13 Aug07 Jul17 (gwilliam b)APANGO JOSE 124 10.00    
BELLA NOCHE Aug28 Aug21 Aug06 Jul23 Jun25 (giesbrecht joc)ALLEN LARRIS 124 2.50 9% 10.50    
SAYITALL Sep12 Apr27 Apr05 Mar10 Feb25 (mooney bill)BUGEAUD L 124 6.00    
SCR  WILDLY DRAMATIC Sep07 Aug16 Jul17 Jul03 Jun15 (weaselhead godf)NELSON RYAN 124 4.00 10% 8.60    
AWESOMEAGAINNAGAIN Sep10 Aug28 Aug13 Aug06 Jul23 (pigeau nelli)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 1.60    
CHICLE SPARKS Sep10         (mohindee mankum)APANGO JUAN 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.