Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - September 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   09/08/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CASH FOR THE SOUL Aug09 Jul14 Jun25 Mar31 Mar10 (joy j)RIOS-CONDE A 120 6.00 11% 8.10    
WIDGET FACTORY Aug20 Jul29 Jul09 Jun11 May12 (clatterbuck)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 2.50 55% 0.80    
FLUENT IN SARCASM Aug20 Jul28 Jul08 Jun16 May20 (shanle)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00    
KUKULKAN (MEX) Sep01 Aug11 Jul28 Jul08 Jun16 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 4.50    
SCR  TO THE FRONT Sep04 Jul28 Jul08 Jun09 May26 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 99.00 11% 8.20    
MOSS BOSS Jul08 Jun16 May25 Apr20 Mar30 (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 0.80    
 
CT-2   09/08/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARNIVAL LUCKY Aug06 Jun02 Apr22 Mar09 Feb17 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00    
SISTER JOANN Jul28 Jun18 May11 Apr21 Apr09 (hess g)MORALES KELVIN 122 6.00    
DIXIE SUNRISE Aug05 Jul01 Jun24 May19 May07 (lewis william)ADAMS L 112 10.00    
REVEIRS MINUTE Jul22 Jul01 Jun23 Apr22 Apr09 (hess jacob )MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 20.00 5% 18.30    
HOW IS SHE Jul15 Jun16 May25 May04 Apr07 (casey jame)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 0.60 34% 1.90    
DYLADDIE May28 May19 Apr14 Mar09 Feb04 (tobin l)LARROSA G 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
 
CT-3   09/08/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OFFICER APPEAL Aug26 Aug04 Jul16 Jun25 Jun09 (kirlew lenwo)MARRERO CARLOS 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
PRINCIPALITY Aug25 Aug18 Jun30 Jun11 May29 (serey j)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
SOCIAL EQUALITY Jul30 Jul13 Jul04 Jun07 May16 (jones michae)BATISTA A 120 3.00    
LUFTY'S KISSES Aug18 Aug06 Jul01 Jun09 May18 (shanley timothy)LIMA FELINO 115 10.00 20% 4.10    
GABBYS BIG NOTION Aug27 Aug12 Jul29 Jul09 Jun18 (rideout ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 5.00    
SCAREDY CAT Aug27 Aug05 Jul21 Jul07 Jun10 (dillon l)LARROSA G 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
EARTHQUAKEDIRECTOR Aug27 Aug18 Jul07 May28 May06 (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00    
CITIZEN'S FIRE Aug18 Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 May14 (sewell lenworth )MAYHEW W 120 20.00    
 
CT-4   09/08/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($38.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REMYS SHOWTIME Aug26 Aug06 Jul15 Jun25 May19 (grams timothy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
SCR  ISHIHARA Jun16 May18 Apr29 Apr08 Mar11 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80    
BUFF'S EYE VIEW Jun04 Apr08 Mar16 Jan27   (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00    
CHARITABLE VISIT Aug19 Jul29 May26 Apr29 Apr20 (pennel)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 20.00    
OUT OF CENTS Jun16 May06 Mar25 Mar02 Jan27 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 3.00 31% 2.30    
RUNNIN'TOLUVYA Jul28 Jul15 Apr30     (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 1.60 44% 1.30    
 
CT-5   09/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SMALL PAW Aug20 Apr13 Mar18 Feb25 Feb05 (jackson ange)MARRERO CARLOS 124 12.00    
ROCKET BALLAD Aug19 Jun17 May04 Feb25 Feb05 (myers larry)CECIL Y 124 50.00    
SCR  EVANESCO Aug19 Aug13 Jul23 Jun30 Jun16 (stehr joseph )SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00    
ORANGEBURG Aug19 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 Jun04 (meehan elizab)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00    
REAL RICK Aug31 Aug15       (williams g)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 113 6.00    
ONE NIGHT MIKE Aug19 Jul29 Jun30     (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 1.60 31% 2.30    
RIVER MALBUMOONRVF Aug19         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.40 47% 1.10    
ANGELA'S ROMEO Jul29 Jun30 Apr20 Apr06 Mar23 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 120 12.00    
 
CT-6   09/08/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRATHOUSE MUSIC Aug18 Apr16 Mar09 Feb12   (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
TRUE CROSSING Aug20 Jul31 Jul07 Jan27 Jan12 (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 122 12.00    
MY CANDY BIZ Aug18 Jul09 Jun16 May25 May18 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00 6% 16.60    
SURE WOULD FOREST Aug18 Jul07 May26 May05 Mar29 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
LIQUID LOUIE Aug25 Jul07 Jun22 May24 May10 (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 122 10.00 12% 7.60    
TIZ AUCTION TIME Aug18 Jul18 Jul07 Jun17 May27 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00    
CANTAKEITANYMORE May11 Mar19 Feb11 Jan28 Jan13 (keller christoph)ACOSTA D 122 0.60 33% 2.00    
 
CT-7   09/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPANGLISH Jun16 May21 Apr16 Mar24 Mar04 (meehan elizab)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00    
SPUNMAN Aug06 Jul16 Jun16 Jun02 May12 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 3.50 10% 8.70    
C R'S UNCLE LINO Aug27 Jul23 May28 May11 Apr27 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
PENGUIN PARADE Jul23 Jun23 May27 May05 Mar25 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00    
NIGHT TRAIN WAYNE Aug27 Aug04 Jun16 May19   (straughn wil)ROCHA WLADIMIR 120 30.00    
HOT FUDGE SONDE Aug06 Mar25 Feb26 Feb05   (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 120 3.00 39% 1.60    
HAPPY YEARS Aug19 Jun23 May27 Apr20 Mar19 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 4.50    
 
CT-8   09/08/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SALTY J J Jul08 Jun30 Jun09 Apr28 Apr08 (brown ronne)RAMGEET R 124 5.00    
VIDMER'S COURAGE Aug20 Jul29 Jul09 Jun25 Jun18 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 6.00    
QUICK WIT Aug20 Jul21 Jun10     (pennella rh)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
EASTBOUND N DOWN Jul09 Jun20 May01 Apr06   (meehan elizabe)RIOS-CONDE A 124 3.50 15% 5.50    
TANELEER Aug20 Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 Mar03 (raymond donovan)CECIL Y 120 15.00    
SCR  HENRY STANDINGBEAR Sep02 Aug06 Jul01 Jun09 May07 (roman-salon n)SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00    
DOC ELM Jun18 May18 Mar25 Mar19 Mar02 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.50 52% 0.90    
BOOZYMILKSHAKEBAR Aug20 Aug08 Jul09 Jun24   (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 122 4.00    
RUN LEA RUN Aug29 Aug08 Aug02 Jun23 May27 (viands grego)BATISTA A 120 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.