Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Wednesday - September 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   09/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($42K) 2 F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUGH GAME Aug27 Aug10 Jul01     (ovando melvin)ZONETT KEYNER 119 15.00    
LADY THOR Aug23         (servis joh)SANCHEZ J 119 2.50 18% 4.60    
FANCEE GRACE C Aug25 Jul09 Jun22     (bennett dale)GREEN AUBRIE 119 1.80 52% 0.90    
ICESTORMING         (smith d)ACOSTA D 119 8.00    
ANGELOFCANTERBURY         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 4.00    
CLASSIC VINYL         (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 3.50 9% 10.40    
 
DEL-2   09/07/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BON FIRE DIVA Aug26 Aug04 Jul08 Jun17 May25 (contessa gary)ALICEA JEREMY 109 1.40 32% 2.10    
CHALK HILL Aug11 Jul27 Jul14 Jun24   (ramirez a)MENDEZ KEVIN 120 3.00 20% 4.00    
OFFLEE GRAYSFUL Aug26 Aug04 Jul27 Jul08 Jun22 (ovando melvin)ZONETT KEYNER 122 10.00    
FARCICAL Aug04 Jul08 Jul01 Jun17 Jun08 (aguayo ramon)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 15.00    
PARTY MONSTER Aug26 Jul02 Jun23 Jun11 May21 (smith collie)HENRY WESLEY 118 10.00    
VIOLET JESSOP Aug03 Jul12 Jun29 May28 Apr30 (allen ferris)CENTENO E 116 2.00 16% 5.20    
 
DEL-3   09/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROUD CIVILIAN Aug18 Jul13 Jun25 Jun10 Apr28 (brinkman brett)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 3.50 25% 2.90    
EDMUND FITZGERALD Aug20 Aug03 Jul14 Jun25 May26 (hayford jenni)SANTOS ADEMAR 125 8.00    
SILVER R Aug27 Aug18 Jul14 Jun23   (luqueno giovan)HIRALDO JOHN 125 15.00    
SCR  FLAG Aug02 Jan19       (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 6.00 12% 7.30    
PRESSING CONCERN Aug27 Aug20       (mohan dav)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 125 10.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  SHARP SENSATION Jul31 Jul14 May28 Apr23 Mar23 (kirby john)SANCHEZ J 121 2.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  DID IT BIG         (boucher li)MENDOZA JHONATAN 121 12.00    
MUD ISLAND Aug18         (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
FRONT DANCER Jul23 Jul13       (deiter lyn)ACOSTA D 121 10.00    
 
DEL-4   09/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($42K) 2 F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JIMMYDABOOK         (smith d)ACOSTA D 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
CLASSY NANCY         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 4.00    
ALVA STARR         (brinkman br)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 3.00 18% 4.60    
CHI TOWN HEAT         (bennett dale)GREEN AUBRIE 119 8.00    
BLONDE SAMARITAN         (ramirez a)MENDEZ KEVIN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
PEEP'S DAY         (carrascojr victor)ROSE J 119 6.00    
LOST LUGGAGE         (servis joh)SANCHEZ J 119 2.00 38% 1.60    
 
DEL-5   09/07/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($42K) 2 F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS KRISTY Aug10         (cibelli jane)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 6.00 14% 6.40    
SOCIAL LADY Aug22         (servis ty)OCASIO JONATHAN 119 8.00    
GIVING SPIRIT Aug03         (stidham michae)CEDENO CAROL 119 4.50 6% 15.20    
SCR  WYETH'S WAY Aug13         (matz r)CENTENO E 119 10.00    
BIZ AS USUAL Aug27 Jul01 Jun15     (nambo cesar)ALICEA JEREMY 112 15.00    
SCR  TALL GIRL Aug13         (clement chr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 1.60 53% 0.90    
TRES MARIA'S DREAM Aug26 Aug10       (neilson wallac)HIRALDO JOHN 119 12.00    
KATIE GOT LUCKY Aug23         (rubley kelly)ROSE J 119 3.50 7% 13.30    
 
DEL-6   09/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNACKSTER Aug18 Jul07 Jun25 May14 Apr15 (barboza vi)SANCHEZ J 123 6.00    
THEA'S THEME Aug18 Jul30 Jul07 Jun25 Jun02 (ramirez a)MENDEZ KEVIN 123 12.00    
AWESOME VIEW Aug18 Jul30 Jul16 Jun25 Jun09 (sepulveda carl)HIRALDO JOHN 125 4.50    
DILLY DILLY PHILLY Jun14 May24 May10 Apr28 Apr14 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.20 55% 0.80    
SCR  VITAEMI Aug04 Jun17 May29 May13 Mar24 (jones michael)TREJOS JOSEPH 123 4.00 18% 4.70    
R AVERIE LYNN Aug04 Jul13 Jun25 Jun03 May15 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 123 6.00    
MAGICGIRL Aug26 Aug08 Jul13 Jun18 May29 (mcgoey mon)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 12.00    
 
DEL-7   09/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RECYCLE Aug25 Aug17 Jul23 May12   (houghton thomas)ROSE J 122 8.00 13% 6.70    
MAKOTO Aug26 May26 Apr08 Mar18   (saleem gor)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SIMMS Aug23 Jun18 May26 Apr16 Mar19 (contessa c)CENTENO E 118 15.00    
SCR  GRAND SIR Aug06 Jun26 May26 Apr03 Mar04 (barboza vic)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 6.00    
LIVEFORTHESONG Jul09 Jun23 Jun09 May28 May04 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 8.00 9% 9.80    
MO WINE PLEASE Aug11 Jul28 Jul06 Jun18   (galvan baltaza)CEDENO CAROL 118 20.00    
LINDROS Aug21 Jul01 May19 Apr29 Mar07 (lynch cath)SANCHEZ J 122 4.50    
SCR  KARNAK Aug07 May30 Apr28 Mar09   (cibelli jane)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 5.00    
GOLDEN GULLEY Jul22 May13       (capuano ga)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 8.00    
SCR  SOVEREIGN CHANGE Aug30 Aug04 Jul18     (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 10.00    
SCR  GRUNDER'S CALL Aug14 Jul22 Jun15 May05   (cibelli jane)RENDON JAIRO 118 15.00    
SCR  CRAZY ODDS Aug06 Jul26 Jun18     (bentley fennek)CEDENO CAROL 118 10.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  LAYNES KNIGHT Aug14 Aug03 Jul01 Mar13 Jan16 (sanchez-piner)TREJOS JOSEPH 118 30.00    
SCR  BOARD CERTIFIED Aug21 Jun25 May30 May03 Mar04 (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 118 3.50 29% 2.50    
 
DEL-8   09/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SETTE STELLE Sep04 Aug25 Aug14 Jul21 Mar30 (caraballo wil)RANGEL JOEZER 122 8.00 10% 8.80    
IM YOUR PAPI Aug25 Jul08 Jun10 May26 Apr07 (nazario pe)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 3.50 39% 1.60    
DIAMANTE DE ORO Aug30 Aug18 Jul30 Jul08 Jun29 (ovando melvin)ZONETT KEYNER 124 8.00    
SO THERE Aug25 Aug03       (lawrence james)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 6.00    
BLACK LIMO Aug26 Jul28 Jul14 Apr08 Mar13 (hayford jenni)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 1.80    
MERCURY TEN Aug25 Jul28 Jul06 Jun18 May20 (shuman mar)SANCHEZ J 118 2.50 21% 3.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.