Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Tuesday - August 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   08/30/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEATIGER Aug16 Jul25 Jun29     (grabowski john)COA J 124 5.00    
SARATOGA SKY Aug09 Aug01 Jul11 Jun19 May06 (sells rach)DE EMANUEL 120 3.00 8% 10.80    
MARTINI MARGARITA Aug01 Jul11 Jun23 Apr23 Jan28 (progno christopher)GOMEZ O 120 4.50    
HARDLY WORKING Aug17 Aug03 Jul13 Jun27 Jun06 (lopez rober)CAMILO D 124 3.50 9% 9.70    
COLIGNY Aug03 Jul12       (breed ronald )NAVARRO KEVIN 120 4.00 56% 0.80    
MONTANA'SBIGSUNSET Aug02 Jul11 Jun28 Jun08 May09 (d'alessa)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 124 6.00    
NAPOLEON COMPLEX Aug01 Jul20 Jul11 Jun15 May25 (metivier richar)FRET STEVEN 124 10.00    
 
FL-2   08/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROCKMONINOFF Aug01 Jul11 Jun28 May31 May10 (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 124 3.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  PAPA TOM B May25 Feb25 Jan09     (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 3.00    
IRON LAD (IRE) Jul25 Jun20 May31 May10   (lecesse michael)BAEZ JOSE 124 8.00    
SCR  NEVER EARLY Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 Jun20 May29 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 2.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  CONFORMIST Jun22 May31 Apr08 Mar19 Feb13 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 3.50 15% 5.80    
TRIGGER PULL Aug17 Jul27 Jul04 Jun13   (loaiza )NAVARRO J 118 8.00    
DOUBLE VISION Aug17 Jul11 Jun13 May31 May16 (d'alessandro )NAVARRO KEVIN 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
 
FL-3   08/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. MIMS Aug09 Jul04 Jun21 May30   (dom)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 6.00    
1A  BLUES CITY Aug16 Jul25 Jun21 May31 May11 (domingu)NAVARRO J 122 6.00    
SMOKIN' ALONE Aug17 Aug02 Jul11 Jun14 May25 (sabine michae)DAVILA R 122 2.50 7% 14.30    
GOLDMINE KAZ Aug02 Jul20 Jun14 May23 May11 (maver eduardo)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 20.00    
BOWING SNOWMAN Aug22 Aug02 Jul12     (muller j)SONE Y 122 4.00 17% 4.70    
HOLY COWBOY Aug09 Jul19 Jul06 Jun22 May11 (breed a)ALVARADO R 124 3.50    
WHERE YA GOIN OWEN Aug22 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 May31 (maver eduardo)CRUZ JOEL 122 4.50 13% 6.60    
WHO IS JARETT Aug16 Aug02 Jul12 Jun28   (murphy timothy)PIERMARINI T 122 7.00 36% 1.70    
 
FL-4   08/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ONE TICKED LADY Jul26 Jul18 Jun20 May30 May10 (breed a)ALVARADO R 124 8.00    
SCR  SMOKIN ZIVA Aug16 Aug02 Jul26 Jul18 Jun20 (breed a)GOMEZ O 124 8.00    
PLEASEDONTBOUNCE Aug16 Aug02 Jul18 Jul05 Jun20 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 7.00    
SCR  RIP BY YOU Aug16 Jul26 Jul11 Jun29 May31 (marino e)ROHENA JR 124 20.00    
TOOTSIE'S SONG Jun20 May24 Jan22 Jan02   (baker charlton)PEREZ E 124 2.50    
SCR  ENDLESS CRUSADE Aug03 Jul19 Jun27 Jan14   (chapman james)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 4.00    
SCR  WEATHER ADVISORY Aug10 Jul26 Jul04 Jun21 Apr25 (grusmark karl)PIERMARINI T 124 3.00 62% 0.60    
DELAWARE DESTINY Aug16 Aug02 Jul18 Jul04 Jun21 (chamberlin )IGNACIO RODOLFO 124 5.00 6% 15.80    
WINE TRAIL Aug09 Jul26 Jun29 Jun13 May31 (dixon k)COA J 124 15.00    
 
FL-5   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLEEPY JOE Aug17 Aug03 Jul20 Jul05 Jun08 (loaiza )NAVARRO J 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
DREMAS BOY Aug02 Jul20 Jun27 Jun07 May09 (bartlett william )BAEZ JOSE 122 10.00    
TRUE GOLD Aug17 Jul27 Jul05 Jun07 May16 (sells rachel)COA J 122 2.50    
MARGARITA SUNRISE Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 Jun21 Jun07 (wright t)ALVARADO R 122 12.00    
DEAN VERDILE Aug16         (marino joseph)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00 12% 7.20    
MASSEY HALL Aug16 Jul26 Jun14 May31 May18 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 122 8.00 27% 2.80    
HIGHWAYTWENTYSEVEN Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 May31 May16 (clarke dylan)PEREZ E 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
WINNING WITHHONOUR Aug09 Jul12 Jun27 May18 May02 (tasso mark)CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00    
 
FL-6   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDEMPTION ROAD Aug08         (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
ANTHONY'S ROCKET Aug08         (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 120 4.50 8% 11.40    
ASAP RESTORATION         (ronen assaf)FRET STEVEN 120 8.00    
HANGOUT Aug08 Jul13 Jun29 May31   (mastin kath)IGNACIO RODOLFO 124 5.00    
SUPPORT THE CAT Aug17 Jul27       (bond br)NAVARRO J 120 12.00    
CRYPTO CAUSEWAY Aug08 Jul15       (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 20.00    
GIMMEBACKMYBULLETS May28 Apr06       (atr)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
UNCLE VIC Aug08 Jul27 Jul04     (breed de)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 120 12.00    
CLINGMAN Aug15 Jul22 Jul14 Jun18   (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 15.00    
 
FL-7   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RORY MOR Aug17 Jul11 Jun14 May31   (buckley jonath)ALVARADO R 122 7.00    
OLD MAN WINTER Jul06 Jun20 Jun06 May18   (acquilan)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 122 3.50 11% 7.70    
SCR  PATROL         (ferraro ant)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
SIMBASALLTROUBLE Aug02 Jul06 Jun27 May31 May10 (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 122 6.00    
SPECIAL STORY Aug01 Jul20 Jul06 Jun14 May31 (torelli)NAVARRO J 118 4.00 10% 8.80    
QUINTARELLI Aug16 Aug02 Jul17 Jun30 May31 (turetsky e)GOMEZ O 124 10.00    
HEYITSNRICOPALAZO Aug16 Jul26 Jul06 Jun22 May16 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 122 10.00    
SCR  LOVER'S LEAP Aug03 Jul20 Jul06 Jun20 May30 (babcock kathleen)BAEZ JOSE 122 8.00    
 
FL-8   08/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATZALIONBYTHETALE May23         (smith julie)ROHENA JR 124 3.50    
SCR  BEAUMONT BEAUX Aug22 Jan28       (iorio jr)CRUZ JOEL 124 6.00 6% 14.70    
THERESA'S BOY Jul06 Jun22 Jun08 May23   (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 12.00    
MAGIC PRO Aug22 Aug10 Jul25 Jul12 Jul04 (lopez arca)DE EMANUEL 120 12.00    
SMART STORM Aug22 Aug03 Jul06 Jun07 May18 (gutters)NAVARRO J 120 6.00    
THE HEART FIXER Aug22 Aug03 Jul20 Jul06 Jun27 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 10.00    
RICHIE'S B L Aug03 Jul06 Jun22 Jun08 May23 (wright t)BAEZ JOSE 124 20.00    
FOREST SPIRIT Jul25 Jun30 Feb26 Feb05 Jan02 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.00 63% 0.60    
SCR  CUGINE Aug22 Aug03 Jul25 Jun19 Jun05 (gutierrez a)GOMEZ O 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.