Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Thursday - August 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   08/25/2022 4950ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABBEY LANE Jul18 Jun27 Jun04     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 115 3.00 46% 1.20    
2  RED HOT MOON Jul21 May28 Apr30 Apr02 Mar03 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 113 10.00    
3  ITSONLYMONEYHONEY Jul21 Jun17 May27 May19   (broberg karl)THORNTON G 115 3.50 ★    
4  LADY VALENTINE Aug05 Jul01 Jun17 May31 Apr29 (pomier chas)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 1.80 32% 2.10    
5  SERAPE Jun04 Mar26 Feb03     (brinkman bre)MAGNON H 110 12.00 ★    
6  TEASIN' TESLA Aug06 Jul01 May06 Feb23 Jan21 (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 118 4.00 ★    
7  GATOR PROUD Aug10 Jul29 Jul13 Jun01 Apr21 (boxie jose)ALBERT S 110 15.00    
 
EVD-2   08/25/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNBRIDLED PULPIT Jun23 Jun10 May11 Apr07 Jan27 (west henry)HEBERT J 123 10.00    
2  CORN SOUP Jul27 Jul09 Jun23 Jun08 May14 (patt rolan)ALBERT S 113 15.00    
3  AMBASSADOR HOUSE Aug03 Jul08 Jun10 Jan01   (charles jon)BALTHAZAR JARED 123 6.00 ★    
4  HOPE FOR CHANGE Aug13 Jul29 Jul13 Jun30 Jun10 (milburn kat)LEDET THEODRICK 123 8.00 ★    
5  IDE LIKE HAWAII Jul27 Jul13 Jun30 May28 Feb02 (zenon shelton)MCMAHON J 123 2.00 31% 2.20    
6  GOTTATAKEHIMTO Jul13 Jun24 May11 Apr07 Feb17 (latour nich)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 4.00 16% 5.30    
7  BIG BOSS MAN Jun30 Jun10 Apr14 Mar23 Feb11 (rubin donald)MELANCON G 123 20.00    
8  K T'S JILTED GROOM Aug03 Jul13 Jun30 Jun08 May28 (alonzo howar)MAGNON H 123 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
EVD-3   08/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALLEN'S JUDY Jul16 Jun11 May27 Apr27 Apr06 (core b)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 123 15.00    
2  CUPIE CUTIE Aug04 Jul20 Jun30 Jun16 May13 (gelner scot)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 10.00 7% 12.60    
3  HIGH VALUE TARGET Aug11 Jul23 Jul06 Jun10 May12 (ducoing sturges)MCMAHON J 123 2.00 56% 0.80    
4  BISTINEAU BELLE Jul23 Jul14 Jun29     (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 118 20.00    
SCR  ANN'S STORM Jul23 Jul06 Jun03 May14 Mar04 (harrison cor)MAGNON H 118 3.00 9% 10.30    
6  K V SQUARED Aug11 Jul23 Jul08 Jun18 May25 (huval brian)THORNTON G 118 3.50 ★    
7  TRACK QUEEN Jun17 May25 May04 Apr09 Feb17 (landry ray)STOKES J 123 5.00 ★    
8  JIG TIME BANDIT Aug04 Jun30 Jun01 Apr06 Feb11 (williams k)ALBERT S 113 8.00    
 
EVD-4   08/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APPLEWOOD Apr29 Apr20 Mar03 Feb04   (matthieu ronald)LEBLANC C 120 20.00    
1A  DUTCHMAN Jun08 May27 Feb24 Jan07   (matthieu ron)MAGNON H 117 20.00    
SCR  OAK HILL LG Jul27 Jul13 Jun30 Jun10 May14 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 4.50 5% 19.00    
3  PARTY OF FIFTEEN Aug05 Jul06 Jun08 May06 Apr14 (cox l)MCMAHON J 120 10.00    
4  DEBONNAIRE DUDE Jul29 Jul16 Jun30 Jun15 May28 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 3.00 37% 1.70    
5  LATE NITE MISCHIEF Apr23 Apr09 Mar25 Mar10 Feb26 (zenon charles)HERNANDEZ V 120 8.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  B B MOODY Feb24 Jan29 Jan15     (cox edward)ALBERT S 112 12.00 ★    
7  UNWANTED INTRUDER Jun18 May22 Mar23 Feb26 Jan07 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 15.00    
8  OCTOBER SURPRISE Jul27 Jul06 Jun15 May27 Apr27 (zenon char)MARQUEZ L 120 6.00    
9  HOT STOVE LEAGUE Jul29 Jul06 Jun09 May18 Apr22 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 2.00 26% 2.80    
 
EVD-5   08/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VETERAN'S HOLIDAY Aug08 Jul10 Jun25 May29 May08 (govea cesar)STOKES J 123 3.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  WESTERN STAR Aug15 Jul10 Apr28 Apr09 Mar05 (govea cesar)STOKES J 120 3.00    
2  MONITOR MILLS Aug11 Jul22 Jul13 Jun16 Apr10 (chatte)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 120 4.50 ★    
3  THISGUYCANFLY Aug07 Jul26 Jul02 Jun18 Jun06 (mallery vonn)FUSILIER C 120 8.00    
4  MARVINS GOLD Jul29 Jul07 Jun16 May27 May05 (gelner jay)ALBERT S 118 10.00    
5  DRAFT CHOICE Aug13 Jul22 Jul08 Jun23 May26 (robbins j)MCMAHON J 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  FLIT N FLOT TIME Aug03 Jul16 Jun11 Apr22 Feb17 (breaux samue)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 20.00    
SCR  XANTHUS WRATH Jul29 Jul09 Jun30 Jun08 May19 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 115 5.00 12% 7.00    
8  MATH MAN Aug11 Jul12 May27 Feb20 Feb06 (larrosa jua)MORALES ROBERTO 118 12.00    
9  BIG RESULTS Aug13 Jul15 Jul02 Jun08 May25 (washington ri)RIVERA JOSEAN 115 20.00    
10  LEROY JENKINS Aug11 Jul21 Jul02 Jun03 Apr28 (alonzo howa)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.50 39% 1.60    
 
EVD-6   08/25/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEAN AMERICAN Jul08 Jun02 May13 Apr23 Feb18 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 12.00    
2  LUTIE MO Jul29 Jul07 Jun11 May12 Mar10 (landry alle)DEL-CID VICENTE 108 8.00    
3  RESPECT ALL Jul28 Jul07 Jun09 May12   (mojica edit)MORALES ROBERTO 118 15.00    
4  ABSOLUTELY MINDY Aug06 Jul15 Jun25 May28 May13 (charles jon)LEDET THEODRICK 118 20.00    
5  OURS AND THEIRS Jul17 Jun05 Mar25 Mar12   (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 113 2.50 27% 2.70    
6  SUNSHINE STAR Jul27         (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 113 3.00 16% 5.30    
7  FRIENDLY ACES Apr08 Feb17 Jan22     (breaux samue)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 10.00 ★    
8  DIATONIC Aug06         (landry ray)STOKES J 118 4.50 ★    
9  NOT SO SWEET Jul23         (pomier)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 115 4.00 35% 1.90    
 
EVD-7   08/25/2022 4950ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREME DE BALI Jul09 Jun13 May09 Mar25 Feb28 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 113 4.50    
2  BLUSHINSTREETDEVIL Jul29 Jul02 Jun03 May19 Feb25 (alonzo howard)THORNTON G 118 15.00    
SCR  REAL CITY SPEED Jun15 Jan20       (bourgeois ke)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 4.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  DANCIN WITH ANGELS Jul28 May05 Apr16 Feb10 Jan15 (brinkman br)DEL-CID VICENTE 108 8.00 13% 6.90    
5  SMOKEY HARBOR Jul31 Jul09 Jun24 May19 May01 (govea cesar)STOKES J 118 2.50    
6  LULOS Jul21 Jun15 Apr02 Mar23 Feb10 (sturrock bil)MAGNON H 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  TAYLOR'S SENSE         (sam w)STOKES A 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  WAITA MINUTE HAYES         (courville ricky)MCMAHON J 113 12.00    
SCR  SCORING DRIVE Jul16 Jun18 Jun03 May11 Apr13 (richards corale )FUSILIER C 110 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
EVD-8   08/25/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRAYFORTHEWIN         (rubin dona)ALBERT S 115 20.00 12% 7.20    
2  BIG RUSSSS Aug13 Jul29 Jul13 Apr30 Feb24 (robbins han)DEL-CID VICENTE 110 12.00 ★    
3  ISLE CALL U LATER Jul13 Jun17 Jun03     (west henry)HEBERT J 115 8.00    
4  HONORABLESTATEMENT Jul29 Jun25 Jun04     (keith d)FUSILIER C 120 15.00    
5  GENES FEATHER Aug13 Aug04 Jul21 Jul06 Jun22 (zenon )RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 120 4.50    
6  CHAN         (fuselier jonah)STOKES J 115 6.00 13% 7.00    
7  BIG SESSY Aug11 Jul27 Jul06 Jun11 May25 (washington richa)STOKES A 115 2.50 13% 7.00    
8  T D Z HI COURT Aug04 Jul15 Jun17 May18 Apr21 (roberts kenneth)MCMAHON J 115 1.60 41% 1.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.