Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - August 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   08/18/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTHSIDE WARRIOR Jul29 Jul09 Jun25 May05 Apr14 (hurley jack)MENDEZ MARSHALL 119 3.50 39% 1.60    
FRANKEE MERCH Jul29 Jul07 Jun25 May26 Apr30 (reggetts step)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 5.00    
JUNGLE WARRIOR Aug06 Jul15 Jun25 May21 Apr16 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.00 22% 3.60    
FAST LOADED Jul29 Jul07 May22 Apr30 Apr20 (magee kier)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 4.50    
POSITIVE PHIL Jun28 Jun14 May30 May15 Apr22 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 14% 6.10    
BUZZHOUND Jul29 Jun29 Jun11 May06 Apr15 (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 6.00    
 
CT-2   08/18/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAYYESTOTHELADY Jul21 Jun30 Jun02 May12 Apr21 (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 2.00 30% 2.40    
TRUE FLIRT Jul23 Jul02 Jun04 May19   (lewis willia)ROCHA WLADIMIR 116 3.00 12% 7.30    
CHARITABLE ANY Jul27 Jul02 Jun04 May05   (pearson michae)RIOS-CONDE A 120 15.00    
DENALI D'ORO Jul23 May25 May14 Apr15 Apr01 (dillow h)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
CEDAR RUN'S FIRE Jul22 Jul15 Jun18     (shanley m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 30.00    
EMBERLY Aug04 Jul02 Jun02 Feb10 Jan13 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 1.80 34% 1.90    
DIXIE YODELER Jul23 Jun24 Jun04 May14 Apr21 (brown ronne)RAMGEET R 116 4.50    
 
CT-3   08/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCIPALITY Jun30 Jun11 May29 May19 Apr24 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 116 1.40    
DUNLUCE CAISSLE Jun03 May11 Apr20 Mar31 Mar04 (davis r)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 6.00    
LUFTY'S KISSES Aug06 Jul01 Jun09 May18 Apr23 (shanley timothy)LIMA FELINO 115 5.00 40% 1.50    
MASTER YOO Jul07 May26 Apr15 Mar03 Feb10 (downie loffli)ADAMS L 110 20.00    
LUNAR IMAGE Jul29 Jul16 Jun25 Jun10 May21 (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 122 3.00    
SCR  SUPER HOUDINI Jun03 May11 Apr22 Mar29 Mar15 (tsiamis arthur )RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00 31% 2.20    
EARTHQUAKEDIRECTOR Jul07 May28 May06 Apr23 Apr02 (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50    
 
CT-4   08/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CITIZEN'S FIRE Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 May14 Apr23 (sewell lenworth )MAYHEW W 116 30.00    
THE IRON BANK Jul29 Jul07 Jun25 Jun16 May26 (shanley timothy)LIMA FELINO 113 10.00 13% 6.60    
SCOTTSDALE Jul28 Jul08 Jun25 Jun16 Jun02 (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 122 1.20 20% 4.00    
FRATHOUSE MUSIC Apr16 Mar09 Feb12     (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00    
TIZ AUCTION TIME Jul18 Jul07 Jun17 May27   (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00    
SURE WOULD FOREST Jul07 May26 May05 Mar29 Feb16 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.00 36% 1.80    
ENVISION SUCCESS Jul28 May26 Mar24 Mar04   (hummer richar)ADAMS L 110 30.00 8% 11.90    
 
CT-5   08/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTHERN SAVIOUR Jul29 Jul08 Jun16 May25 May04 (schottroffe e)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00    
UNNAMED SOLDIER Jul29 Jul01 Jun10 Jun02 Apr08 (pennella rhea )RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
FINAL SAY Jun25 May28 May07 Apr14 Mar11 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 1.60    
GAMING JACK Aug12 Jul01 May25 May04 Apr13 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00 6% 15.30    
SOMERSET BAY Jul31 Jul09 Jun25 Jun02 Jan27 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 12.00 15% 5.50    
MY CANDY BIZ Jul09 Jun16 May25 May18 May04 (arias alfonso)LARROSA G 122 12.00    
COOL YOUR BOOTS Aug04 Jul27 Jul14 Jun16   (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 122 10.00    
FIND YOUR BOAZ Jul29 Jun11 May18 May04 Apr14 (geris j)CECIL Y 122 15.00    
SCR  TRINGALE Jul14 Jun24 May06 Apr13 Feb26 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
 
CT-6   08/18/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EX RATED Jul21 Jul01 May19 Apr30 Apr15 (jackson an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 20.00    
YOLO CHARLOTTE Jul28 Jul02 May25 Apr23 Mar18 (lyster s)HO WESLEY 122 1.80    
LONG LEGS LOUISE Jul16 Jun24 May25 May04 Apr23 (lewis r)LIMA FELINO 113 10.00    
TIZ A COUNTRY GIRL Jun24 May28 May04 Apr20   (beattie tod)MENDEZ MARSHALL 111 2.50 36% 1.80    
CHANGE THE WORLD Jul14 Jul02 Jun16 May21 Apr23 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.00 33% 2.10    
HESSICA Jul23 Jun16 May25 May04 Apr23 (petty kris)ALMODOVAR GERALD 116 3.50    
 
CT-7   08/18/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THELADYISTRUE Jul23 Jun11 May21 Apr09 Mar17 (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 6.00    
BLACK PANDA Jul23 Jul01 May27 May12   (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00    
HANNAHS RED RUBY Jul21 Jul08 Mar23     (malgarini maw)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
ONE SMART COOKIE Jul23 Jun30 Jun09 Apr06 Mar17 (patterson)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00 19% 4.10    
FULL MOON LOVER Jul30 Jul01 Jun04 May12 Apr21 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.20 50% 1.00    
HOT CAROL Jul21 Jul08 Jun24 Apr17   (sandoval mi)RAMGEET R 116 20.00    
GOT YOUR NUMBER Jul23 Jul02 May26 Apr28 Apr14 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 6.00 7% 13.20    
U S FUNDS Jul08 Jul01 Jun10 Jun03 May11 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00    
 
CT-8   08/18/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TARGE Jul22 Jul01 May13 Apr09 Mar18 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.60 30% 2.30    
SPUNKY ALI CAT Jul02 Jun02 May12 Apr01 Feb12 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 12.00    
SAX Jul16 Jul01 Jun03 May28 May14 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 116 6.00    
SARAH BELLUM May25 May11 Apr23 Mar30 Feb12 (geris j)CECIL Y 120 30.00    
MONGOLIAN MISSION Jun30 Jun10 May12 Apr29 Jan26 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00    
SCR  DIXIELAND DANCER Jul27 Jul16 Jul01 Jun03 May14 (simone mich)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 5.00 12% 7.40    
HIDDEN PERSUASION Jul30 Jul15 Jul02 Jun17   (perez e)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 15.00 6% 17.20    
SOME IS NINE Aug07 Jul16 Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 (serey j)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
MISS WILD Jun23 Apr07       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 27% 2.60    
10  WATERLOO ROSE Aug05 Jul22       (tobin l)LARROSA G 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.