Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Friday - August 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   08/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 2 ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE ME NOT         (sacco)DIAZ RAFAEL 117 5.00 ★    
SCR  PERSONAL FINANCE         (sacco gregory)JIMENEZ MANNY 117 10.00    
3  TORRONE         (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 1.80 35% 1.80    
SCR  BULLWHIP SKINNY         (stephens john)TORRES JOMAR 117 8.00    
5  CRUISING DEREK         (mazza w)MOYA F 117 6.00 ★    
6  BLAME D RULE MAKER Jul23         (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 117 3.50 38% 1.70    
7  MALIBU RUMBLE         (trombetta)VARGAS A 117 4.00 ★    
 
MTH-2   08/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RHUMJAR Jul17 Jul01 Jun11 May08 Apr10 (hills timothy )RENDON JAIRO 117 2.00 43% 1.30    
2  LORD MIO Jul08 May29 Apr09 Mar25 Feb27 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 117 4.50 ★    
3  ACHILLES HEEL Jul13 Jun13 May20 Mar31 Jan22 (engle)DIAZ RAFAEL 117 5.00 24% 3.10    
4  B B BAD Jul06 Jun25 May28 May21 Apr23 (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ A 115 2.50 ★    
5  BURGEE Jul08 Jun25 May15 Apr02 Mar11 (trombetta)VARGAS A 120 8.00    
6  VERRAZANO BRIDGE Jun21 May31 Apr26 Jan04   (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 114 3.00 10% 9.30    
 
MTH-3   08/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71.875K) 2 F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKY SEAS         (owens)DIAZ RAFAEL 117 5.00 ★    
SCR  BABY CAKES Jul22 Jul08 Jun24     (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 117 20.00    
3  PROUD MULE         (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 117 3.50 18% 4.50    
4  BUSTIN DOWN DOORS Jul22 Jun24       (spina cha)VARGAS A 117 8.00    
5  FAIR AND TRUE         (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 117 10.00    
SCR  FIXED ODDS Jul22         (simoff andrew)RENDON JAIRO 117 4.00 16% 5.30    
7  MIDNIGHT HEIRESS Jul22 Jun24       (hollendorfer)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.00 46% 1.20    
8  PAINT ME BEAUTIFUL         (breen j)FERRER C 117 4.50 ★    
9  BEL PENSIERO         (margotta antho)MOYA F 117 12.00    
 
MTH-4   08/12/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARD KNOCKING Jul10 Jun18       (wilso)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 2.50 30% 2.40    
2  GRECIAN PHAROAH Jun23 May29       (rodriguez rud)CARDENAS LUIS 120 8.00    
3  TIZ A PRINCE Jul22 Jun25 Jun03     (margotta antho)MOYA F 124 3.00 7% 13.40    
4  DUQUESNE Jul24 Jun29 Jun18 May29   (marquez cesa)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 5.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  MR. EINSTEIN Jul12 Jun20 May30 May04 Apr06 (linder jr)FERRER C 120 10.00    
6  COMEDIC TIMING Jul30 Jul15 Feb06     (gomez pompey)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 8.00 17% 5.00    
7  SWING LOW Jul30 May28 Apr24 Mar31 Mar06 (sweezey j)VARGAS A 124 6.00    
8  APPRAISAL Jul30 Jul09 Jun17 Apr30 Apr16 (martin ramon)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 20.00    
9  SPARK (PER) Jul30 Jun24 Jun17     (hollendorfer j)RENDON JAIRO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHIMMERING LIGHT Jul29 Jun11 May29 Apr17 Mar20 (sanchez l)RENDON JAIRO 120 5.00    
SCR  HEARTNESS Jul20 Jun20 May19 May06 Apr09 (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ A 115 5.00    
12  LEASE Jul26 Jul09 Apr21 Mar25 Mar13 (preciado gua)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 6.00    
SCR  PASSPORT (URU) Jul27 Jul10 Jun20 May28   (marquez cesa)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 6.00    
 
MTH-5   08/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71.875K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH BOOLUM Jul31 Jul10 Jun19 May30 May08 (lynch cathal)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 2.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  HELLO POP Jul31 Jul10 Jul01 Jun19   (huston ro)RODRIGUEZ A 119 1.80 52% 0.90    
3  CHANGING THE KARMA Jul30 Jul10 Jul01 Jun19 May30 (simon l)GONZALEZ LUIS 119 6.00 6% 15.30    
4  SLEW OF TALENT Jul31         (berrios manuel)TORRES JOMAR 119 8.00 ★    
5  WINSOR MANOR Jul10 Jun19 May30     (leeson d)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 12.00    
6  JERSEY PERFECTION Jul31 May08       (nunn douglas)HERNANDEZ ANDY 114 15.00    
7  FOREVER CHOCOLATE Jul10 Jun11 May22 May08   (huston ro)VARGAS A 119 3.00 ★    
 
MTH-6   08/12/2022 5940ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEEL PIER Jul30 Jul10 Jun11 May22 Apr26 (marquez cesa)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 8.00    
2  SHIMMERING LEROID Jul22 Jun25 May28 Apr24 Mar18 (mccarthy b)ROWLAND MADELINE 112 5.00 ★    
3  WIZARD SERRAT Jul31 Jul17 Jun03 May01 Apr01 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
4  FREEZE TURKEY Jul16 Jun25 Jun17 May29 May14 (d'amodi)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 30.00    
5  BEAU BROWN Jun25 Jun05 Mar06 Feb06   (hennig mark)FERRER C 121 4.00 ★    
6  CLASSIC ESCAPE Jul29 Jul09 Jun26 Jun17 May30 (carvajal luis )TORRES JOMAR 117 10.00    
7  JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT Jul24 Jul04 Jun19 May29   (foglia m)JUAREZ NIK 119 10.00 ★    
8  MYSTIFIED Jul17 Jun24 May27 May01   (d'angelo jose)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 2.50 55% 0.80    
9  NOBLE CONQUEST Jul22 Jul02 Jun16 May20 Apr23 (abreu r)CARDENAS LUIS 121 4.00    
SCR  REINER Apr13 Feb25 Jan21     (lerma)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 5.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  AUSTIN WHYLIE Jul20 Jun27 Jun13 May26 May16 (whylie herold)RANGEL JOEZER 121 20.00    
 
MTH-7   08/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABY MAN Jul10 Jun10 May07 Mar27   (rodriguez rud)CARDENAS LUIS 115 2.50 15% 5.70    
SCR  BATTLE CRY Jul21 Jul01 Apr23 Mar23 Feb23 (barboza vict)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.00 51% 1.00    
3  DAZZY Jun12 May15 Mar26     (hills timothy)JIMENEZ ALBIN 115 20.00    
4  MY MAGGIE MOO Jul23 Jul01 Jun11 May29 May15 (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 120 10.00    
5  I CAN RUN Jul23 Jul03 May28 May14 Feb03 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 115 6.00 9% 10.40    
6  SWEET SURPRISE Jul10 Jun12 May07 Apr01 Feb24 (hil)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 6.00    
7  BAZZARINA Jul29 Jan23       (mazza w)FERRER C 120 20.00    
8  FIRENZE FREEDOM Jul23 May08       (breen j)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00 ★    
9  WORLD PARTY Jul11 Jun11 Apr21 Mar02 Jan21 (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ A 122 4.00 ★    
 
MTH-8   08/12/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANY PORT Jul28 Apr15 Mar11 Feb12   (lerma)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 2.50    
2  N Y FANCY Jun25         (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 10.00    
3  WAR IN PARADISE Jul23 Jul01 May27 Apr24 Apr10 (gonzalez clau)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.50 5% 19.00    
4  HOT LITTLE NUMBER Jul09 Jun11       (marquez cesa)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 15.00    
5  TIME GOES FAST Jul23 Jul08 Jun18 May28   (jua)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 4.50 6% 16.50    
6  FAR HEART Jul15 Jun11       (gomez pompeyo)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 8.00    
7  GRACE IN MOTION Jul23 Jul08 Jun18     (sweezey j)VARGAS A 123 6.00    
8  RELENTLESS CANDY Jul13 Jun15 Jun01 Jan10   (coletti edwa)HERNANDEZ ANDY 116 30.00    
9  PEGASUS IN FLIGHT Jul01 Jun18       (crook-demasi k)RENDON JAIRO 123 4.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  ANOTHER SAUCY SIX Jul24 Jun25 Feb16 Feb05 Jan22 (carvajal luis )CAMACHO SAMY 123 6.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  ONLY GIRL Jul23 Jul10 Jun18 Jun10 May28 (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 15.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.